STRONG results in this league! $$$
2024-05-15
比赛分析
解读理由
FC Zurich VS Servette
Zurich and Servette lock horns in this Swiss Super League Championship Group round 36 battle at very early Thursday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is slightly better than average by European standards. Football fans and us serious profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of pretty high level by this league's standards. The stakes are high for both teams here and we can expect an intense and probably a physical battle here. Zurich are in 5th place with a decent 51 points to their account. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 54.32. They have netted the ball 47 and cannot match the top-teams in terms of offensive quality. They have a good offensive structure but lack some creativity and individual skill compared to the best team in this league, Young Boys. The Zurich defence, on the other hand, has been even more solid than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. They have allowed only 38 goals, seven goals less than Lugano, currently in 2nd place. The visitors have scored 56 goals and their number of expected goals (xG) is 53.67. Their defence is pretty good but can be broken through intense pressing. Zurich are not experts in this but will surely be fired up here – boosted by their loud fans. I expect them to be aggressive right from the kickoff! They are in an intense fight with Winterthur (49 points) for 5th place – and a ticket for the UEFA Conference League qualification for next season. Servette are in 3rd place and still have a chance to topple Lugano, who have taken 62 points. Servette have grabbed 61 points and their number of xPTS is 59.12. The top-2 teams qualify for the UEFA Champions League qualification for next season. They should be a little more motivated than Lugano but in front of their fans I expect Zurich to leave everything they have on the pitch.
With the expected lineups, based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based analysis the visitors are marginally the better team here. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Servette are the slightly bigger team here. Their squad is valued at some 27 million, the hosts' players have an estimated market value of some 21 million, which is a little too low though. The teams last locked horns in April and Zurich won 1-0 on the road. They were priced around 4.00 to win but recorded nine shots on goal – Servette managed only one. The xG numbers were 1.22-1.32 in Zurich's favour. At home Zurich deserve to be slim favourites – the bookies disagree – offering the visitors odds of around 2.35 to win. The hosts +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here to increase the winning streak! Zurich beat Winterthur 3-1 on the road in their last game. They were very narrow favourites according to the bookies in this game. The hosts had 57% ball possession but Zurich recorded many more goal attempts (6-3) as well as dangerous attacks. Moreover, the visitors generated 1.55 in xG – Winterthur managed 1.04. Before this they lost to Young Boys 0-2 at home but would have had a decent chance of taking at least a point if it was not for C. Conde's red card in the 48th minute. The score was 0-1 at this point.. Even so, Zurich recorded more dangerous attacks than Young Boys! Servette have won only three of their last 10 games. In their last game they played a draw against St. Gallen on the road. The match was pretty balanced as a whole. The hosts had 59% ball possession and recorded more shots on goal. The visitors had five more attacks. Before this they beat Winterthur 2-1 at home – priced around 1.45 to win. Yes, they were the better team on the pitch but did not really impress me.. The ball possession was 50-50% and the xG numbers were 1.34-0.88. In rounds 29-32 of the Super League they lost four games in a row and it is clear that they are a pretty erratic team and are definitely worse – somehow oddly imbalanced in many games - than last season when they took 2nd place.. On a good day they can certainly beat any team in this league but these days are surprisingly rare.. Lastly, I would like to mention that Servette's head coach, R. Weiler is not a great tactician – or leader. He is an overrated coach in my expert opinion..
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苏黎世FC VS塞尔维特
苏黎世和塞尔维特将于北京时间周四凌晨在瑞士超级联赛小组赛第36轮的比赛中展开较量。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平略高于平均水平。足球迷和我们这些极度渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准来看相当高水平的比赛。两支球队在这里的赌注都很高,我们可以期待一场激烈的身体对抗。苏黎世以51分的不错成绩排在第五位。他们的期望值(xPTS)是54.32。他们只有47次进球,在进攻质量上无法与顶级球队相比。他们有很好的进攻结构,但与联盟中最好的球队年轻男孩相比,他们缺乏一些创造力和个人技术。苏黎世的防守,另一方面,比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的更加稳固。他们只丢了38个球,比目前排名第二的卢加诺少了7个球。客队已经进了56个球,他们的预期进球数(xG)是53.67。他们的防守很好,但可以在激烈的压迫下突破。苏黎世不是这方面的专家,但肯定会在这里被点燃——被他们响亮的球迷所鼓舞。我希望他们从开球开始就有侵略性!他们正与温特图尔(49分)激烈争夺第5名,以及下赛季欧洲联盟联赛资格的入场券。塞尔维特排名第三,仍然有机会超越卢加诺,卢加诺已经获得62分。塞尔维特队得到61分,他们的得分为59.12分。前两名的球队有资格参加下赛季的欧洲冠军联赛。他们应该比卢加诺更有动力,但在他们的球迷面前,我希望苏黎世能在球场上付出他们的一切。
根据预期的阵容,根据我复杂的,强有力的数据分析客队在这里稍占优势。根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com, Servette是这里规模稍大的球队。他们的球队价值约为2700万英镑,而东道主球员的市场价值估计约为2100万英镑,不过这个数字有点太低了。两队上一次交锋是在今年4月,苏黎世客场1-0获胜。他们的胜率在4英镑左右,但他们射正了9次,而塞尔维特只射进了1次。xG值为1.22-1.32,对苏黎世有利。在主场,苏黎世理应成为夺冠热门——博彩公司不同意这一说法——为游客提供2.35左右的夺冠赔率。东道主+0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的赌注在这里增加连胜!苏黎世在上一场比赛中客场3-1击败温特图尔。在这场比赛中,根据博彩公司的说法,他们的胜算很小。主队有57%的控球率,但苏黎世的进球次数更多(6比3),而且进攻也很危险。此外,游客在xG产生了1.55 -温特图尔的1.04。在此之前,他们在主场0-2输给了年轻男孩队,但如果不是C. Conde在第48分钟的红牌,他们至少有很好的机会拿到一分。此时比分是0比1。即便如此,苏黎世记录的危险攻击还是比《年轻男孩!》塞尔维特队在最近10场比赛中只赢了3场。在上一场比赛中,他们在客场与圣加仑队打成平局。比赛总体上是相当平衡的。东道主的控球率为59%,射门次数也更多。v星人又发动了五次袭击。在此之前,他们在主场2-1击败了温特图尔,价格在1.45左右。是的,他们是球场上更好的球队,但并没有给我留下深刻的印象。控球率50-50%,xG值1.34-0.88。在第29-32轮的中超联赛中,他们连输4场,很明显,他们是一支非常不稳定的球队,而且肯定比上赛季排名第二的时候更糟糕——在很多比赛中,他们的表现都很不平衡。如果运气好的话,他们当然可以击败任何一支球队,但最近却出奇地少。最后,我想提一下,Servette的主教练R. Weiler不是一个伟大的战术家,也不是一个伟大的领导者。在我看来,他是一个被高估的教练。
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