GREAT results in this league! $$$
2024-05-15
比赛分析
解读理由
Olympiakos Piraeus VS AEK Athens
Olympiacos host AEK Athens for this Greek Super League Championship Group round 35 battle Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium in Piraeus very early Thursday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is better than average by European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of very high level by the Super League standards. A total of 36 rounds will be played. The stakes are high here – but the much more motivated team should be AEK Athens. They top the standings with 75 points in their pocket. PAOK, in 2nd place, are only one point behind them. AEK are the reigning champions of Greece. Last season they took 83 points, 10 more than Olympiacos. I believe AEK have a big chance of lifting the trophy – again! Olympiacos are in 4th place with 70 points in their pocket. The teams who finish 2nd-3rd will earn a ticket for the UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification for next season. This is something Olymipiacos would surely like to achieve but let's not forget that it is only the 3rd-highest of UEFA's club competitions. This league is "nothing" compared to winning the championship – consequently qualifying for the iconic Champions League. AEK have been clearly better than Olympiacos in the Super League this season. The difference between the teams in pure class is bigger than the standings and some statistics would suggest.. AEK's score difference is 77:33. The hosts have netted the ball 74 times and their number of expected goals (xG) is 68.77. They have conceded 34 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 38.67.
Taking the important motivation factor into account – with the expected lineups - AEK deserve to be very solid favourites here. Odds of around 2.45-2.50 are widely available on the betting market! This is simply too high! We will take the +0.5 goals handicap option with a very strong chance of winning – again! Both teams have won three times, taken one draw and lost once in their last five games. In their last game Olympiacos lost to PAOK away from home 0-1. The hosts were not at their best and Olympiacos played slightly above their normal level in this game. Even so, PAOK generated much more in xG – 1.23-0.47 to be precise. Before this team beat Aston Villa in the Conference League 2md leg battle at home 2-0. The aggregate was 6-2. However, we must remember that Aston Villa clearly had their main focus in taking 4th place in the English Premier League. This will bring them a place in the Champions League group stage next season, which is a massive thing for this club! Villa had 70% ball possession in the 2nd leg and also recorded more goal attempts (14-9), shots off goal corner kicks (9-0), attacks and dangerous attacks (67-27). Both teams generated 1.33 in xG. In the first leg Aston Villa were the better team on the pitch – the final score 2-4 is very misleading. The hosts recorded many more goal attempts (17-8), shots on target, shots off goal, attacks and dangerous attacks (67-27). Villa also generated more in xG. It seems the bookies give beating Aston Villa way too much emphasis.. Even so, Olympiacos do deserve credit for defeating Aston Villa but they also played above their normal level in both legs. Olympiacos will surely have their main focus on the Conference League final against Fiorentina. They have a genuine chance of winning the final - earning a ticket for the UEFA Europa League for the next season. The match will be played later this month..
AEK lost to PAOK 2-3 away from home in their last game. However, they generated more in xG – 2.44-1.04 to be precise. I liked their performance as whole - against a tough opponent. Before this they were excellent at home – beating Panathinaikos 3-0 at home. They recorded many more goal attempts (16-8), shots on target (7-1) corner kicks (4-2), attacks and dangerous attacks. AEK generated a whopping 3.45 in xG – Panathinaikos managed only 0.22! In round 32 of the Super League AEK Athens were in almost full control on the pitch in Thessaloniki, in front of the demanding Aris fans, despite winning only 2-1 in the end. Aris recorded only 0.33 in xG – AEK'S number was an impressive 3.65! With this kind of performance they would probably beat Olympiacos here! AEK have a great coach by this league's standards - both in terms of tactical skills and as a leader and the team have no obvious weaknesses!
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奥林匹亚科斯VS雅典AEK
北京时间周四凌晨,奥林匹亚科斯主场迎战雅典AEK,参加希腊超级联赛小组赛第35轮,比赛将在比雷埃夫斯的卡拉斯卡基斯球场进行。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平高于平均水平。足球爱好者和我们这些极度渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以超级联赛标准衡量的高水平比赛。比赛共进行36轮。这里的赌注很高,但更有动力的团队应该是AEK雅典。他们以75分位居榜首。排在第二的PAOK只落后他们一分。AEK是希腊的卫冕冠军。上赛季他们拿到了83分,比奥林匹亚科斯多10分。我相信AEK有很大的机会举起奖杯——再一次!奥林匹亚科斯以70分排名第四。获得第二至第三名的球队将获得下赛季欧联杯资格赛的入场券。这当然是奥林匹亚科斯想要达到的目标,但我们不要忘记,这只是欧足联第三高的俱乐部比赛。与赢得冠军相比,这个联赛“微不足道”——因此有资格参加标志性的欧洲冠军联赛。AEK在本赛季的中超联赛中表现明显好于奥林匹亚科斯。纯级别球队之间的差距比排名更大,一些数据表明…AEK的得分差是77:33。东道主取得了74次进球,预期进球数(xG)为68.77。他们丢了34个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是38.67个。
考虑到重要的动力因素——加上预期的阵容——AEK在这里应该是非常受欢迎的。在投注市场上,赔率约为2.45-2.50 !这实在是太高了!我们将采取+0.5个进球障碍选项,这是一个非常大的获胜机会-再次!两队在最近5场比赛中都取得了3胜1平1负的战绩。在上一场比赛中,奥林匹亚科斯客场0-1输给了PAOK。东道主没有发挥出最佳状态,奥林匹亚科斯在这场比赛中的表现略高于正常水平。即便如此,准确地说,PAOK在xG - 1.23-0.47中生成的内容要多得多。此前,这支球队在联盟联赛第二回合主场2-0击败了阿斯顿维拉。总比分是6比2。然而,我们必须记住,阿斯顿维拉的主要目标显然是在英超联赛中获得第四名。这将为他们带来下赛季欧冠小组赛的席位,这对俱乐部来说是一件大事!维拉在第二回合拥有70%的控球率,并且在进球次数(14胜9负)、角球射门(9胜0负)、进攻和危险进攻(67胜27负)方面也取得了更多的成绩。两支球队在xG上的得分都是1.33。第一回合阿斯顿维拉在球场上表现得更好——2-4的比分很容易误导人。东道主的进球次数(17胜8负)、射正、射偏、进攻和危险进攻(67胜27负)都更多。Villa在xG上也产生了更多的收益。似乎博彩公司过于强调击败阿斯顿维拉了。即便如此,奥林匹亚科斯击败阿斯顿维拉确实值得赞扬,但他们在两回合的表现也超出了正常水平。奥林匹亚科斯肯定会把他们的主要注意力放在与佛罗伦萨的联赛决赛上。他们有真正的机会赢得决赛——赢得下赛季欧联杯的入场券。比赛将在本月晚些时候进行。
上一场比赛AEK客场2-3输给了PAOK。然而,准确地说,在xG - 2.44-1.04中,它们产生了更多。我喜欢他们在面对强敌时的整体表现。在此之前,他们在主场表现出色,在主场3-0击败了帕纳辛纳科斯。他们的进球次数(16-8次)、射正次数(7-1次)、角球次数(4-2次)、进攻和危险进攻次数更多。AEK在xG中产生了惊人的3.45,而Panathinaikos只产生了0.22!在第32轮的超级联赛中,雅典AEK几乎完全控制了塞萨洛尼基的球场,面对苛刻的阿里斯球迷,尽管最终仅以2-1获胜。Aris在xG的成绩只有0.33,而AEK的成绩是令人印象深刻的3.65!有这样的表现,他们可能会在这里击败奥林匹亚科斯!AEK有一个伟大的教练,在这个联盟的标准-无论是在战术技巧和作为一个领导者和球队没有明显的弱点!
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