In my opinion Nagoya has bigger chances to win than bookies want to suggest for us based on their odds.

Nagoya record against Tokyo is solid as they went unbeaten in last 5 consecutive home matches against them and recorded 2 wins in the last 3.

Nagoya have huge motivation to win and to score some goals. In last two home matches they recorded two losses - against Kobe and Gamba. In both matches they failed to score. Two underserved results in front of big home crowd - in both matches Nagoya had higher expected goals scored value than opponents. Frustrated coach Hasegawa said: "Both game's that should not end with zero points. Matches where we had to put more pressure on our opponent. It's really pathetic.'" I expect big reaction today.

Nagoya should be able to score, their top scorer Kasper Junker came back in last match for last 25 minutes. He should be available and this is big boost of confidence for offensive formation. On the other hand, Tokyo in current season kept only one clean sheet so far and today they are without their first goalkeeper Go Hatano.

Nagoya is top6 in goals conceded per game. On the other hand, Tokyo offensive formation is overrated. They scored 24 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 15.4. It's huge difference at this stage of the season, no doubt about that.

I see open game and more than one goal for hosts. That should be simply enough to make 3 points.

在我看来，名古屋获胜的机会比博彩公司根据他们的赔率给我们的建议要大。

名古屋对东京的记录是稳固的，他们在最近的5场主场比赛中保持不败，并且在最近的3场比赛中取得了2胜。

名古屋有巨大的动力去赢球和进球。在最近的两场主场比赛中，他们分别输给了科比和甘巴。两场比赛他们都没有得分。两场比赛在主场观众面前表现不佳——在两场比赛中，名古屋的预期进球值都高于对手。沮丧的长谷川说:“两场比赛都不应该以零分结束。在比赛中，我们必须给对手施加更大的压力。这真的很可悲。’”我预计今天会有很大反应。

名古屋应该能够进球，他们的头号射手卡斯帕·容克在上一场比赛的最后25分钟回来了。他应该可以上场，这将极大地增强进攻阵型的信心。另一方面，东京本赛季到目前为止只保持了一场零封，今天他们失去了他们的第一个门将畑野。

名古屋场均失球排名前6。另一方面，东京的进攻阵型被高估了。他们进了24球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该只进15.4球。毫无疑问，在赛季的这个阶段，这是巨大的不同。

我看到了一场开放的比赛，东道主会有不止一个进球。这应该足够简单，可以得到3分。