In my opinion Kawasaki has a really good chance to make 3 points in today's match.

Kawasaki have big mental advantage before this game because their record against Tosu is really good. Kawasaki recorded 3 consecutive wins against them and have all the required tools to continue this streak today. Sagan Tosu had big problems with goalscoring against Kawasaki - they failed to score in 10 of the last 12 matches against today's opponents (!!!).

Kawasaki in previous round won 3:0 at home against Sapporo. That was great performance from strong, experienced striker Gomis as he scored 3 goals in first half. For sure that was big boost of confidence for offensive formation and they shouldn't have any problems with goalscoring today. According to the expected goals conceded model, Sagan Tosu is the worst defensive formation in whole league (26.7). Kawasaki is able to score more than one goal here.

On the other hand, Kawasaki kept clean sheet already 4 times. Only 4 times recorded more in current season. On the road, Kawasaki conceded 7 goals in 6 away matches. Defensive formation confidence should be on high level after clean sheet in last round.

Sagan Tosu lost 0:2 in last home game against Tokyo Verdy and I expect similar scoreline today

在我看来，川崎在今天的比赛中很有可能得3分。

川崎在这场比赛前有很大的心理优势，因为他们对东津的战绩非常好。川崎在对他们的比赛中取得了3连胜，并且拥有今天继续连胜的所有必要条件。在对阵川崎的比赛中，萨根托苏在进球方面有很大的问题——他们在最近的12场比赛中有10场没有进球(!!)

川崎在上一轮主场3:0战胜札幌。这是强壮、经验丰富的前锋戈米斯的出色表现，他在上半场进了3个球。毫无疑问，这极大地增强了进攻阵型的信心，他们今天在进球方面应该不会有任何问题。根据预期失球数模型，萨根-托苏的防守阵型为26.7，是全联盟最差的阵型。川崎在这里能够进不止一个球。

另一方面，川崎已经4次保持零封。本赛季只有4次比他多。在客场，川崎在6场客场比赛中丢了7球。在上轮零封之后，防守阵型的信心应该处于高水平。

在上一场主场对阵东京Verdy的比赛中，Sagan Tosu以0:2输掉了比赛，我预计今天会有类似的比分