Partick Thistle FC VS Raith Rovers

Partick Thistle and Raith lock horns in this Scottish Premiership Relegation Playoffs quarter-finals 1st leg early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Officially this is Relegation Playoffs but in reality both teams have played in the Championship, the second level of Scottish football, this season. The level of this league is relatively low by European standards – for a second tier I mean. Football enthusiasts and us serious profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of very good level by the Championship standards. The stakes are high and I expect a slightly more defensive, possibly even a bit cautious battle here. Both will surely try to avoid big risks – in an attempt to avoid losing this game by a margin of more than two goals. In this situation the chances of qualifying would be very slim. Partick Thistle have had a slightly disappointing season as a whole so far – even despite the fact that they finished in 3rd place after the regular season.. Last season they ended up in 4th place but were surely hoping for a better season in 2023-2024. They took a total of 55 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) was a little higher though. They netted the ball a strong 63 times but their number of expected goals (xG) was smaller – 57.87 to be precise.

The visitors ended up in 2nd place after a better season than most journalists or bookies probably would have estimated before the season kicked off. I raised their power rating many times as the season progressed. They have improved massively from last season! The bookies should respect them more here. Indeed, I disagree with the bookmakers who see Partick Thistle as slim favourites, offering them odds of around 2.60 to win. We will take the Raith +0.5 goals handicap option here. Raith scored less goals than the host but Raith's number of xG was a bit higher - 59.12. With the expected lineups they have an edge over the host in all areas of the game! Indeed, their defence is much better structured than the hosts' – Raith have allowed only 42 goals. The hosts' defensive structure – as well as midfield as a whole – are often rather imbalanced and they can be very vulnerable to fast counter attacks. Partick Thistle allowed 54 goals in the regular season. That is many more than for example Inverness (40), who ended up in 9th place!

The hosts have won only two of their last seven games! In their most recent match they did, however, beat Airdrieonians 2-1 at home -priced around 2.10 to win by the bookies. However, the visitors recorded many more goal attempts, shots off goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also had 61% ball possession. The first leg against the same team was a 2-2 draw but the opponents were – once again - the better team on the pitch with many more goal attempts. Raith have not been quite at their best recently but have still avoided defeat in their last four games – winning two matches. In their last game they crushed Airbroath 5-0 at home after an excellent performance. They had 10 shots on goal – the visitors managed only two! The win was surely a big boost to their confidence!

帕克蓟FC VS Raith流浪者

北京时间周三凌晨，苏格兰超级联赛保级季后赛1 / 4决赛首回合，帕特里克·斯特尔和莱斯展开了激烈的角逐。官方称这是降级季后赛，但实际上两支球队本赛季都参加了苏格兰足球的二级联赛。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平是相对较低的——我的意思是对于二线球队来说。足球爱好者和我们这些极度渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场按照英冠标准非常高水平的比赛。赌注很高，我希望在这里进行一场稍微防御性的战斗，甚至可能有点谨慎。这两支球队肯定都会尽量避免大的风险——避免以超过两个球的差距输掉这场比赛。在这种情况下，出线的机会非常渺茫。到目前为止，蓟雀队整个赛季都有点令人失望——尽管他们在常规赛结束后排名第三。上个赛季，他们最终排名第四，但他们肯定希望在2023-2024赛季有一个更好的赛季。他们总共拿了55分，但他们的期望分数(xPTS)略高。他们的进球次数高达63次，但他们的预期进球数(xG)更少，准确地说是57.87。

客队本赛季的表现好于大多数记者或博彩公司在赛季开始前的估计，最终排名第二。随着赛季的进行，我多次提高了他们的能量等级。他们比上赛季进步了很多!这里的博彩公司应该更尊重他们。事实上，我不同意博彩公司将parkk Thistle视为微弱的热门，为他们提供约2.60的赔率。我们将采用Raith +0.5进球障碍选项。Raith的进球数比东道主少，但他的xG数略高，为59.12。有了预期的阵容，他们在比赛的各个方面都比东道主有优势!事实上，他们的防守结构比东道主要好得多——雷斯只丢了42个球。东道主的防守结构——以及整个中场——往往相当不平衡，他们很容易受到快速反击的攻击。帕特克·蓟在常规赛中丢了54个球。这比排在第9位的因弗内斯(40)要多得多!

东道主在过去七场比赛中只赢了两场!然而，在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场以2比1击败了埃尔德里翁人，博彩公司的胜率约为2.10英镑。然而，客队的进球次数、射门次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都有所增加。他们还有61%的控球率。首回合与这支球队的比赛是2-2战平，但对手——再一次——在球场上表现更好，进球次数更多。雷斯最近的状态不太好，但在过去的四场比赛中，他们仍然避免了失败，赢得了两场比赛。在上一场比赛中，他们表现出色，在主场以5比0击败了埃布尔罗斯。他们射门10次，客队只射进2次!这场胜利无疑极大地增强了他们的信心!