Tapio头像
外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
  • 2

    方案

  • 17

    粉丝

A fine match to bet on! $$$ 挪威杯 瓦勒伦加VS汉坎

2024-05-08

比赛分析

挪威杯

已完赛

星期四2024-05-09 00:00

解读理由

Valerenga Fotball Elite VS Ham-Kam


Valerenga and HamKam lock horns in this Norwegian NM Cup clash at Intility Arena in Oslo very early Thursday morning Beijing time. This is a battle between two teams from different tiers of Norwegian football. Indeed, Valeranga play in the OBOS-Ligaen, two second-highest level of Norwegian football. HamKam, on the other hand, play in the Elit defeateeserien. I want to emphasize that the difference in class between these two leagues is substantial. Even so, Valeranga definitely have their chances here – last year they played in the Eliteserien but were weak, finishing in 14th place in this league with a total of 16 clubs. HamKam ended up in 11th place. The biggest bookies who accept the biggest wagers from customers, see the hosts as favourites here, offering them odds of around 2.40 to win during the 90 minutes of play. I must strongly disagree, based on my expert analysis, the visitors deserve to be the favourites here – not very clear though. Valerenga have started the season in disappointing fashion and are currently in 7th place in the OBOS-Ligaen table. They have grabbed 11 points in six games and have a negative score difference. They have netted the ball only nine times and have conceded 11 goals. They definitely do have potential for more potential, no denying that, but the bookies seem to give too much emphasis to this potential..

In their last game Valeranga defeated Bryne 1-0 at home but failed to really impress me as a whole. They were priced around 1.70-1.85 to win by the bookies at the time of kickoff. However, the ball possession was close to 50% and the visitors even recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal (10-7), attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they beat Tromso 1-0 at home in the first round of the NM Cup after extra time. Their performance was pretty mediocre as a whole. In round 5 of OBOS-Ligaen Valerenga were extremely disappointing, losing to Mjondalen 3-5 in the road as very clear favourites – pri9ced around 1.55 to win on the betting market. They did record two more goal attempts than the hosts but looked very poorly organized on the pitch for the most of the 90 minutes. HamKam have not been convincing in the Eliteserien so far. They are in 15th place at the moment with only three points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is clearly bigger. Their defense is quite well structured – they have conceded only seven goals, the same number as Molde, a big team who are currently in 3rd place. However, their defence unarguably does lack some individual skill, speed and creativity compared to the top-5 teams in particular. They have scored only three goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is 6.04. They have improved from the poor early season, taking two wins and two draws in their last four matches. In their last game they faced Kristiansund on the road as narrow underdogs. The hosts recorded more goal attempts but HamKam had many more shots on goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated 1.45 in xG – the hosts managed only 0.62. Before this HamKam easily defeated Egersund 3-1 on the road in the NM Cup. Egersund are in 2nd place in the OBOS-Ligaen. In round 5 of Eliteserien HamKam played well on the road against Lillestrom as big underdogs – forced around 6.00 to win. It was a 1-1 draw but HamKam recorded more goal attempts, shots off goal (6-1),corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks – 95-47. The xG numbers were 1.77-0.52 in the visitors favour!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Valerenga足球精英VS Ham-Kam


北京时间周四凌晨,瓦勒伦加和哈姆卡姆将在挪威国家杯的比赛中对决。这是两支来自挪威足球不同层次的球队之间的战斗。事实上,瓦莱兰加效力于OBOS-Ligaen,两支挪威足球第二高水平的球队。另一方面,哈姆卡姆在精英队的比赛中失利。我想强调的是,这两个联赛的阶级差别是很大的。尽管如此,瓦莱兰加在这里绝对有机会——去年他们参加了精英联赛,但实力较弱,在联赛中排名第14位,共有16家俱乐部。哈姆卡姆最终获得第11名。那些从顾客那里接受最大赌注的最大博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的,在90分钟的比赛中,他们的赔率约为2.40。我必须强烈反对,根据我的专家分析,客队应该成为最受欢迎的球队——尽管不是很清楚。瓦勒伦加本赛季的开局令人失望,目前在obo - ligaen积分榜上排名第七。他们在6场比赛中拿到了11分,分差为负值。他们只有9次进球,丢了11个球。不可否认,他们确实有更大的潜力,但博彩公司似乎过于强调这种潜力。

在他们的上一场比赛中,瓦莱兰加在主场1-0击败了布莱恩,但整体上没有给我留下深刻的印象。开球时,博彩公司的定价在1.70-1.85左右。然而,客队的控球率接近50%,进球次数、射正次数(10比7)、进攻和危险进攻都更多。在此之前,他们在加时赛第一轮主场1-0击败特罗姆瑟。总的来说,他们的表现相当平庸。在obos的第5轮比赛中,ligaen Valerenga非常令人失望,以3-5的比分输给了Mjondalen,这是一个非常明显的夺冠热门——博彩市场上的胜率约为1.55。他们的进球次数确实比东道主多了两次,但在90分钟的大部分时间里,他们在球场上的组织能力都很差。到目前为止,哈姆卡姆在精英队的表现并不令人信服。他们目前排名第15位,只剩下3分。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)显然更大。他们的防守结构很好——他们只丢了7个球,和莫尔德一样,莫尔德是一支目前排名第三的强队。然而,与排名前五的球队相比,他们的防守无疑缺乏一些个人技术、速度和创造力。虽然他们只进了3个球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)是6.04个。他们已经从赛季初的糟糕状态中取得了进步,在最近的四场比赛中取得了两胜两平。在上一场比赛中,他们以微弱劣势面对克里斯蒂安桑德。东道主的进球次数更多,但哈姆卡姆的射门、角球、进攻和危险进攻次数更多。他们在xG中也产生了1.45个,而东道主只产生了0.62个。在此之前,汉姆卡姆在客场3-1轻松击败埃格尔松德。Egersund在OBOS-Ligaen排名第二。在第五轮的精英汉姆卡姆打得很好,在客场对阵利勒斯特罗姆大劣势-被迫在6.00左右获胜。虽然战成1比1平局,但哈姆卡姆的进球次数、射偏(6比1)、角球、进攻和危险进攻都比对手多(95比47)。xG的数字是1.77-0.52,客队获胜!

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。