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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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STRONG results in this league! $$$

2024-05-06

比赛分析

主队波希米亚人LOGO

波希米亚人

爱超

已完赛

星期二2024-05-07 00:00

客队戈尔韦联LOGO

戈尔韦联

解读理由

Bohemians VS Galway United


Bohemians welcome Galway for this Irish Premier Division round 14 battle at Dalymount Park in Dublin very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is very low for European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of worse than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity to make more profit betting on this league here! We have won four of the last five picks betting on the Premier Division. Bohemians currently occupy the 4th place in the standings. They have 20 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is significantly lower – 15.22 to be precise. Last season Bohemians finished in 6th place. At the moment they are in 7th place in my power rating. This rating reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting lineup – excluding the motivation factor as well as the possible fatigue – caused by a demanding schedule. Galway, on the other hand, are currently in 5 th place in this rating. Bohemians, rather weirdly for a team in 4th place, have a negative score difference. Indeed, they have netted the ball 14 times so far and do have a little more offensive power than Galwat. They visitors have scored only seven goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is much higher - 12.12 to be precise. Bohemians' number of xG is 13.11.

Galway, have played much better than I would have expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. For a a newly-promoted team they have strong squad and also have decent financial resources overall. They are in 6th place and have 17 points to their account. However, they would have deserved 19 or 20 points in terms of xPTS. Their defence has been amazingly solid – they have allowed only seven goals! This is clearly the lowest number in this league. We should thank their very good manager, not only the players for this. Galway have not lost any of their last five games but four of these have been draws – resulting in only a satisfactory level of points earned. In their last game they faced Derry City as solid underdogs on the betting market and no goals were scored. I loved the way Galway suffocated Derry's offense! Before this they were big underdogs on the road against Shamrock Rovers, the reigning champions, but took a point despite being forced to defend quite a lot. Bohemians have been in decline lately – winning only one of their last three games. On the 26th of April they even lost to the rock-bottom team, Dundalk 0-2. Galway deserve to be narrow favourites here.



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波西米亚人VS戈尔韦联队


北京时间周二凌晨,波西米亚人将在都柏林戴利蒙特公园迎来爱尔兰超级联赛第14轮的比赛。以欧洲的标准来看,这个联赛的水平很低。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场低于联赛平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有一个非常有利可图的投注机会,可以在这个联赛中获得更多的利润!我们在过去的5次英超联赛中赢了4次。波希米亚人目前在积分榜上排名第四。他们的账户上有20分。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)要低得多,准确地说是15.22。上个赛季波希米亚人排名第六。目前,他们在我的功率评级中排名第七。这个评级反映了球队的纯粹等级,他们拥有最好的首发阵容——排除了动力因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的赛程引起的。另一方面,戈尔韦目前在这一评级中排名第五。对于一支排名第四的球队来说,波西米亚人的得分差是负值,这很奇怪。事实上,到目前为止,他们已经有14次进球,他们的进攻能力确实比高瓦特队强一些。客队只进了7个球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)要高得多——准确地说是12.12个。波希米亚人的xG值为13.11。

不管怎样,他们的表现比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要好得多。对于一支新提升的球队来说,他们拥有强大的阵容,总体上也有不错的财政资源。他们排在第6位,有17分。然而,他们应该得到19或20分的积分。他们的防线出奇地坚固——他们只丢了7个球!这显然是联盟中最低的数字。我们应该感谢他们出色的教练,而不仅仅是球员。戈尔韦在最近的五场比赛中没有输过一场,但其中四场是平局,因此只获得了令人满意的积分。在上一场比赛中,他们面对的是在博彩市场上处于劣势的德里城队,没有进球。我喜欢戈尔韦扼杀德里进攻的方式!在此之前,他们在客场对阵卫冕冠军三叶草流浪者的比赛中处于劣势,但尽管被迫防守,他们还是拿到了一分。波希米亚人最近一直在走下坡路,他们最近三场比赛只赢了一场。4月26日,他们甚至以0比2输给了排名垫底的登多克队。戈尔韦在这里应该是微弱的热门。

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