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Who wins today's EPL match? 英超 水晶宫VS曼联

2024-05-06

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期二2024-05-07 03:00

解读理由

A very interesting game where I can’t find any reason to see Palace favorites.

The Eagles are in good form since the coach changed: with Oliver Glasner they have won the same number of games (4) in 10 games than previous manager Roy Hodgon in more than 6 months. There has been a clear improvement with Glasner, especially players like Jean-Philippe Mateta who is making great performances recently and have scored 6 goals in the last 7 games.

The Eagles are coming with confidence to this fixture, as they have won against top teams like Newcaste, Liverpool or West Ham in recent weeks. However, they were pretty lucky in some games, especially Liverpool’s one.

They sit 14th in the table without any other motivation than to enjoy the rest of the season.

On the other hand, the Red Devils are fighting for Europe: Conference League (TOP6) is just 2 points above and Europa League (TOP5) is 6 above. In both cases, with one less game which means that winning today could be 6th and just 3 points below Tottenham who is 5th.

They have a difficult calendar to finish the season (Arsenal , Newcastle and Brighton) which means that this game is very important for them. They also need to be ready for the FA Cup Final against Man City next 25th.

United have been lacking consistency during the whole season, especially in defense. Have conceded 77 goals among all competitions so far, the highest number since the 1977-78 campaign where they conceded 80. Their ratio of 1.64 goals conceded per game in 2023-24, meanwhile, is their worst since 1962-63 (1.75). They are conceding many goals, shots and chances, but also are converting a lot with several players in good form upfront.

However, they have been performing well in 2024: only three defeats in the whole year so far: Chelsea, Man City and Fulham in an unlucky game where they deserved to win but conceded a late goal at 97’.

The previous meeting in Old Trafford finished 0:1 for Palace but it was totally undeserved, as United dominated the whole game and deserved to win. For this fixture, guests have much more motivation and have also more quality, which are reasons enough to see them favorites. I believe that the Eagles have been over performing a bit in the recent weeks and I don’t expect an easy game for them here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

一个非常有趣的游戏,我找不到任何理由看到宫殿的最爱。

自从教练更换后,老鹰队的状态很好:在奥利弗·格拉斯纳的带领下,他们在6个多月的时间里,在10场比赛中赢得了与前任主教练罗伊·霍奇金同样多的比赛(4场)。在格拉斯纳的带领下,球队有了明显的进步,尤其是像让-菲利普·马塔这样的球员,他最近表现出色,在过去的7场比赛中打进了6球。

老鹰队对这场比赛充满信心,因为他们在最近几周战胜了纽卡什特、利物浦和西汉姆联等强队。然而,他们在一些比赛中相当幸运,尤其是与利物浦的比赛。

他们排在积分榜第14位,除了享受赛季余下的比赛,他们没有任何其他的动力。

另一方面,红魔正在为欧洲而战:联盟联赛(TOP6)仅领先2分,欧联杯(TOP5)领先6分。在这两种情况下,少一场比赛意味着今天的胜利可能会排在第6位,只比排在第5位的热刺少3分。

他们有一个艰难的赛程来结束这个赛季(阿森纳,纽卡斯尔和布莱顿),这意味着这场比赛对他们来说非常重要。他们还需要为下个月25日对阵曼城的足总杯决赛做好准备。

曼联整个赛季都缺乏稳定性,尤其是在防守方面。到目前为止,在所有比赛中丢了77个球,这是自1977-78赛季以来的最高数字,当时他们丢了80个球。与此同时,他们在2023-24赛季的场均失球率为1.64,是自1962-63赛季(1.75)以来的最差水平。他们丢了很多球,射门和机会,但也有很多球员在前场状态良好。

然而,他们在2024年表现不错:到目前为止,全年只输了三场:切尔西、曼城和富勒姆,在一场不幸的比赛中,他们应该获胜,但在97分的最后时刻丢了一个球。

之前在老特拉福德的比赛中,水晶宫以0:1结束了比赛,但这完全是不值得的,因为曼联控制了整场比赛,应该获胜。对于这场比赛,客人有更多的动力,也有更多的质量,这是足够的理由看到他们的最爱。我相信老鹰队最近几周的表现有点过头了,我不认为他们会在这里轻松取胜。

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