In my opinion Granada has a bigger chance to avoid loss in this game than bookies want to suggest for us based on their odds.

I see huge difference between both teams in terms of motivation to win this game. Sevilla is on safe place in the league table, 12 points above the relegation zone. Basically they playing for nothing till the end of the season. On the other hand, Granada is is the relegation zone and for them this is 'must win' to keep alive chances to avoid relegation. For sure team motivation is at the highest possible level and team will give absolutely everything to make positive result today.

There is also big difference between both teams in points, but according to the expected goals scored model, both teams are on very similar level. Sevilla in current season produced 38.1 expected goals scored, Granada 37.5.

It's not long trip for guests', it's less than 3 hours drive by car between both cities. Granada came here with all key players available and full of confidence as they recorded 7 points in last 3 rounds and they are able to stop Sevilla which is not strong at home in current season - failed to win in 11 of their 16 home league matches. In addition to that, home side have serious squad problems as they are today without 6 important players: winger Suso (1 goal & 4 assists), offensive midfielder Torres (27 matches), central defender Gudelj (21 matches), striker Romero (4 goals & 4 assists), defensive midfielder Sow (24 matches) and left defender Pedrosa (1 goal & 4 assists).

In those circumstances I see excellent value on the away side.

在我看来，格拉纳达在这场比赛中避免输球的机会比博彩公司根据他们的赔率给我们的建议要大。

在赢得这场比赛的动力方面，我看到了两支球队之间的巨大差异。塞维利亚在积分榜上处于安全位置，比降级区高出12分。基本上他们在赛季结束前都是白打。另一方面，格拉纳达是降级区，对他们来说，这是“必须赢”，以保持活着的机会，避免降级。可以肯定的是，车队的动力处于最高水平，车队将尽一切努力取得今天的积极成果。

两队在积分上也有很大的差异，但根据预期进球模型，两队处于非常相似的水平。塞维利亚本赛季的预期进球数为38.1，格拉纳达为37.5。

这对客人来说不是很长的旅程，两个城市之间的车程不到3小时。格拉纳达带着所有的主力球员来到这里，并且充满信心，他们在最近的3轮比赛中拿到了7分，他们有能力阻止本赛季在主场不强的塞维利亚——他们在16场主场比赛中有11场未能获胜。除此之外，主队还有严重的阵容问题，因为他们今天缺少6名重要球员:边锋苏索(1球4助攻)、攻击型中场托雷斯(27场比赛)、中卫古德雷(21场比赛)、前锋罗梅罗(4球4助攻)、后腰索(24场比赛)和左后卫佩德罗萨(1球4助攻)。

在这种情况下，我看到了客场的巨大价值。