Empoli vs Frosinone

Empoli and Frosinone lock horns in this Italian Serie A round 35 battle at ... late Sunday evening Beijing time. A total of 38 rounds will be played. This is the fourth-best league on the planet. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of lower than average quality here between these two pretty lowly teams. However, betting-wise the game is very interesting and we have a great chance of extending the streak of six consecutive wins betting on this league! I will post at least one more pick on this league for tomorrow. Empoli currently occupy the 17th place in the standings in this league with a total of 20 clubs. The rock-bottom three teams will be relegated to the Serie B for the next season. Indeed, the stakes are extremely high here! Udinese (19th place) have grabbed 26 points, Sassuolo (20th place) have taken 26 points and are still in the fight to avoid relegation. Salernitana with 15 points will be relegated. Frosinone are in the 16th place in the league table. Both Empoli and Frosinone have 31 points to their account. I expect an anxious and pretty defensive game here. Neither team are expected to take big risks for as long as the score is level.. Indeed, I see this game is more low-scoring than the bookies. The probability of under 2.5 goals to be scored is 56.50%. Empoli have been slightly unlucky as a whole this season – their number of expected points (xPTS) is 32.67. They have, however, scored only a pathetic 26 goals in the Serie A – this is the lowest number in this league – together with Salernitana. Their number of expected goals (xG) is somewhat higher but it is still impossible to mention anything positive about their offense! Indeed, their offense lacks individual skill, creativity and speed – the structure is not great either. Their defence, on the other hand, is a little more solid than that of Frosinone. Empoli have conceded 50 goals in the Serie A but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is much higher - 56.03.. Frosinone's number of xPTS is 39.12. They are definitely the stronger team with the expected lineups. The hosts will be without Cerri and Ebuahi. Berisha and Ismajli are questionable at the time of posting this preview.. As for the visitors Oyono is out due to an ankle injury - Harroui and Kalaj are questionable.

The biggest bookies who accept the biggest stakes from customers have made yet another mistake with their odds. Indeed, they see Empoli as solid favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.35 to send Frosinone home empty-handed. However, I expect Empoli's odds to go up before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on the visitors.. Based on my strongly data-based in-depth expert analysis this match is a coin toss – without an actual favourite. Frosinone +0.5 goals is the obvious smart bet here! They have scored a whopping 17 goals more than Empoli in this league and have been a little unlucky in terms of xG. Yes, their defence is not pretty leaky, no denying that, but Empoli are unlikely to be able to exploit these weaknesses.. Frosinone are vulnerable when the opponent presses them in an organized way but only the top-9 teams are usually able to do this for long periods of time. Frosinone have conceded 63 goals but their number of (xGA) is significantly lower! 

Empoli have been in relatively poor form recently, losing six of their last eight matches! In their last match they faced Atalanta in Bergamo, losing 0-2.  Atalanta were pretty dominant -  recording many more goal attempts (17-11), shots on target, corner kicks (8-1), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 2.45-0.42. Before Empoli they beat Napoli 1-0 at home but did not deserve the win. Yes, Napoli are the reigning champions but have been massively weaker than last season. Indeed, they are only in 9th place at the moment! The bookies seem to give this lucky win too much emphasis! Napoli had 73% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts, corner kicks (8-2), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks (61-27). Both teams, rather weirdly, had just one shot on goal. In round 32 Empoli were pathetic against Lecce (36 points) despite losing only 0-1 on the road. Lecce dominated the events at Stadio Via del Mare recording hugely more goal attempts (14-3), corner kicks (10-3), total passes, completed passes. Lecce also had many more attacks, dangerous attacks and shots on goal. Empoli, in fact, failed to record a single shot on target – Lecce had seven! The xG numbers were very imbalanced - 2.94-0.13!

Frosinone, on the other hand, have not lost any of their last five games but four of these five matches have been draws. Consequently, Frosinone have not been able to secure their place in the first tier yet.. In their last game Frosinone crushed Salernitana 3-0 at home but the visitors, too, had their chances - generating  a decent 0.77 in xG.  However, Frosinone's number was 2.05 and they did deserve the three points. Before this Frosinone played well on the road against Torino (10th place) as big underdogs - priced around 5.50 to win by the bookies. No goals were scored but Frosinone recorded more shots on goal and dangerous attacks (54-38). Moreover, Frosinone generated more in xG - 0.83-0.55. The hosts had one more goal attempt though – 13-12. Before this Frosinone took a point in Napoli through a 2-2 draw. The visitors' M. Soule even missed a penalty kick in the 30th minute.. Napoli were very big favourites in the betting market - priced around 1.30 to win by the bookies and had  a whopping 66% ball possession. However, they generated only marginally more in xG than Frosinone -  2.31-2.26 to be precise.

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恩波利vs弗罗西诺内

恩波利和弗罗西诺内将在意甲第35轮的比赛中交手。北京时间周日晚间。总共将进行38轮比赛。这是世界上第四好的联盟。球迷们和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待这两支相当低级的球队之间的比赛低于平均水平。然而，在投注方面，这场比赛非常有趣，我们有很大的机会延长在这个联赛的六连胜!我将在明天的比赛中至少再发布一个选秀权。恩波利目前在这个联赛中排名第17位，总共有20家俱乐部。排名垫底的三支球队将在下个赛季降级到乙级联赛。事实上，这里的风险非常高!乌迪内斯(第19名)拿到了26分，萨索洛(第20名)拿到了26分，他们仍在为保级而战。萨莱尼塔纳得到15分将降级。弗罗西诺内在联赛中排名第16位。恩波利和弗罗西诺内各得31分。我预计这将是一场焦虑和防守的比赛。只要比分持平，两队都不会冒太大的风险。事实上，我认为这场比赛比赌徒们的得分更低。进球数低于2.5球的概率为56.50%。恩波利这个赛季整体上有点不走运，他们的期望积分(xPTS)是32.67。然而，他们在意甲联赛中只进了可怜的26球，这是联赛中最少的，还有萨莱尼塔纳。他们的预期进球数(xG)有点高，但仍然无法对他们的进攻提出任何积极的评价!事实上，他们的进攻缺乏个人技巧、创造力和速度——结构也不太好。另一方面，他们的防守比弗罗西诺内更坚固。恩波利在意甲丢了50个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)要高得多——56.03个。Frosinone的xPTS数是39.12。他们绝对是拥有预期阵容的更强的球队。东道主将没有切里和埃瓦希。在发布这篇预告时，Berisha和Ismajli是有问题的。至于客队，奥约诺将因脚踝受伤而缺阵，哈鲁伊和卡拉吉也不确定。

从客户那里接受最大赌注的最大博彩公司在赔率上又犯了一个错误。事实上，他们认为恩波利是最受欢迎的球队，他们开出2.35的赔率让弗罗西诺内空手而归。然而，我预计恩波利的赔率会在开球前上升，因为很多人都把钱押在客队身上。根据我基于数据的深度专家分析，这场比赛就像扔硬币一样——没有真正的赢家。弗罗西诺内+0.5个进球显然是明智的选择!在这个联赛中，他们比恩波利多进了17个球，并且在xG方面有点不走运。是的，他们的防守不是很有漏洞，不可否认，但恩波利不太可能利用这些弱点。当对手以一种有组织的方式压迫他们时，弗罗西诺内是脆弱的，但只有前9名的球队通常能够长时间做到这一点。弗罗西诺内丢了63个球，但他们的进球(xGA)要少得多!

恩波利最近状态不佳，最近8场比赛输了6场!在上一场比赛中，他们在贝加莫面对亚特兰大，以0比2输掉了比赛。亚特兰大在比赛中占据统治地位，他们的进球次数(17胜11负)、射正次数、角球次数(8胜1负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都比亚特兰大多。预期目标(xG)值为2.45-0.42。在恩波利之前，他们在主场1-0击败了那不勒斯，但他们不应该赢得这场胜利。是的，那不勒斯是卫冕冠军，但比上赛季弱了很多。事实上，他们目前只排在第9位!博彩公司似乎把这种幸运的胜利看得太重要了!那不勒斯有73%的控球率，并且有更多的进球次数、角球次数(8胜2负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(61胜27负)。奇怪的是，两支球队都只有一次射门。在第32轮恩波利对阵莱切(36分)的比赛中，尽管客场只输了0-1，恩波利的表现却很可怜。莱切在马雷球场的比赛中占据统治地位，他的进球次数(14胜3负)、角球次数(10胜3负)、总传球次数和完成传球次数都要多得多。莱切也有更多的进攻，危险的进攻和射门。事实上，恩波利没有一脚射正，而莱切有七脚!xG数据非常不平衡- 2.94-0.13!

另一方面，弗罗西诺内在过去的五场比赛中没有输过一场，除了四场

五场比赛打成平局。因此，弗罗西诺内还不能确保他们在第一梯队的位置。在上一场比赛中，弗罗西诺内在主场3-0击败了萨勒尼塔纳，但客队也有机会——在xG上取得了0.77的好成绩。然而，弗罗西诺内的得分是2.05，他们确实应该得到三分。在此之前，弗罗西诺内在客场对阵都灵(第10名)的比赛中表现出色，被认为是大输家——博彩公司开出的胜率在5.50左右。虽然没有进球，但弗罗西诺内的射门和危险进攻更多(54比38)。在xG - 0.83-0.55时，Frosinone的生成量较大。东道主还有一次进球的机会，比分是13-12。在此之前，弗罗西诺内在那不勒斯2-2战平的比赛中拿到了一分。客队的M. Soule甚至在第30分钟罚丢了一个点球。那不勒斯是博彩市场上的大热门——博彩公司开出的赔率约为1.30，控球率高达66%。然而，它们在xG中只比Frosinone多一点点——准确地说是2.31-2.26。

05月05日恩波利 VS 弗洛西诺尼比赛分析直播