Tapio头像
外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
  • 2

    方案

  • 17

    粉丝

STRONG results in this league! $$$

2024-05-03

比赛分析

丹麦甲

已完赛

星期五2024-05-03 00:00

解读理由

Sonderjyske VS Fredericia



Sonderjyske host Frederica for this Danish 1st Division Promotion Group round 28 clash at Haderslev Football Stadium in Haderslev very early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest level of Danish football. The level of this league is mediocre by European standards – for a second tier I mean. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of very high quality by this competition's standards here. Most importantly, we have a very lucrative betting opportunity to make more profit here! Both teams are playing a strong season! Indeed, Sonderjyske currently top the standings. They have grabbed a fine 59 points, Aalborg, in second place, have taken 56 points. These two are definitely the best two teams in this league. The top-2 teams will be promoted to the Superliga for the next season. Sonderjyske's number of expected points (xPTS) is "only" 55.43. They have netted the ball an impressive 65 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is significantly smaller – 58.77 to be precise. Even so, they do unarguably have a lot of firepower for this level. Their defence has been solid but can sometimes be surprisingly vulnerable to fast counter attacks.. This is something Frederica are good at! The hosts have conceded 25 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 29.04.

Frederica cannot, in all honesty, match the hosts in any area of the game. With today's expected lineups Sonderjyske deserve to be pretty clear favourites here but the odds on the home win are still way too low – around 1.50. Fredericia have been much better than I estimated in my in-depth preseason analysis.. Indeed, they currently occupy the 3rd place with a pretty strong 44 points in their pocket. They would deserve much more respect from the bookies! We will take the +1.5 goals handicap option with a big chance of winning – once again! They have been in good form recently – winning four of their last six matches. In their last game they did very well – beating Aalborg 2-1 at home as clear underdogs on the betting market. They had 53% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts than Aalborg. The visitors did, however, generate more in xG. Before this they defeated Hobro 2-1 on the road as slim underdogs according to the bookies – generating 1.87 in xG. The hosts managed 1.45. Sondersjyske have won three of their last five games. In their last match they defeated Kolding IF (5th place) 3-0 away from home but the final score is misleading! They recorded three more goal attempts than the hosts - 11-8 to be precise. Furthermore, Sonderjyske generated only 1.38 in xG – the hosts' number was 0.94. before this Sonderjyske were disappointing and failed to beat Vendsyssel at home as clear favourites on the betting market. No goals were scored – the xG numbers were 0.59-0.44.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Sonderjyske VS Fredericia



北京时间周五凌晨,丹麦甲级联赛升级小组第28轮比赛将在哈德斯列夫足球场举行。这是丹麦足球的第二高水平。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是平庸的——我的意思是,对于一个二线球队来说。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以本届比赛的标准来看非常高质量的比赛。最重要的是,我们有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会,在这里赚取更多的利润!这两个队本赛季都打得很好!事实上,桑德兰目前排名第一。他们拿到了59分,排在第二的奥尔堡拿到了56分。这两支球队绝对是联盟中最好的两支球队。前两名的球队将在下个赛季升入超级联赛。Sonderjyske的期望分数(xPTS)“只有”55.43。他们有令人印象深刻的65次进球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)要少得多,准确地说是58.77。即便如此,毫无疑问,他们在这个级别上确实有很多火力。他们的防守一直很稳固,但有时在面对快速反击时却出奇地脆弱。这是弗雷德里卡的拿手好戏!东道主已经丢了25个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是29.04个。

说实话,弗雷德里卡在比赛的任何方面都无法与东道主匹敌。根据今天的预期阵容,桑德兰斯克应该是非常明显的热门,但主场获胜的赔率仍然太低-大约1.50。弗雷德里西亚比我在季前赛的深度分析中估计的要好得多。事实上,他们目前以44分占据了第三的位置。他们应该得到博彩公司更多的尊重!我们将采取+1.5个进球障碍选项,有很大的机会获胜-再一次!他们最近状态很好,最近6场比赛赢了4场。在上一场比赛中,他们表现非常出色,在主场2-1击败奥尔堡,在博彩市场上他们显然处于劣势。他们有53%的控球率,进球次数也比奥尔堡多。然而,访客确实产生了更多的xG。在此之前,根据博彩公司的数据,他们在客场2-1击败了Hobro,在xG中产生了1.87分。东道主的成绩是1.45分。桑德兰斯克在最近五场比赛中赢了三场。在上一场比赛中,他们客场3-0击败了排名第五的科灵,但最后的比分是误导人的!他们比东道主多三次射门,准确地说是11比8。此外,Sonderjyske在xG中仅产生1.38,而宿主数量为0.94。在此之前,桑德兰日德兰队的表现令人失望,未能在主场击败旺迪塞尔队。没有进球——xG值为0.59-0.44。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。