CS Universitatea Craiova VS CFR Cluj

Univ. Craiova and CFR Cluj lock horns in this Liga 1 Championship Group 6 battle at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the first tier of Romanian football. The level of this league is of mediocre level by European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a game of better than average quality by this league's standards here! Most importantly, we have a very lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won nine of the last 10 picks betting on this league! The points calculation system is a bit confusing in the Championship Group stage as only points from matches played against specific teams in the regular season are taken into account.. Consequently we will have to take a look at the statistics in the regular season to understand the teams' level. At the moment the hosts have 34 points to their account, Cluj have 31 points in their pocket. In the regular season CFR Cluj, however, recorded 53 points. Their number of expected points (xPTS) was, however, bigger – 56.44 to be precise. They netted the ball 54 times. Furthermore, they conceded 29 goals – only one more than FCSB who topped the standings after regular season by a margin of nine points to FC Rapid Bucuresti! Their defence has no obvious weaknesses. I want to mention that CFR Cluj usually raises the level as a whole in big games - late into the season in the spring. Let's not forget that CFR Cluj are one of the few big teams in Romania in terms of success in the past, fan-base and players' estimated total market value. Yes, they sold many players after the last season, making many millions of euros. As a result they are not quite as good as last season - at least on paper. Even so, based on my expert analysis, their squad is worth much more than listed on Transfermarkt.com at the moment. I also trust their coach in terms of both tactical skills and as a leader!

The hosts finished in 4th place after the regular season with 49 points to their account. Their score difference was 47:38. This is significantly worse than Cluj's. Neither team have been in good form recently – losing three of the last four games. Univ. Craiova did, however, take a win in their last match. They beat Seps St. Gheorghe 3-1 on the road. However, The hosts had 54% ball possession and also recorded more goal attempts, attacks and dangerous attacks – 57-40. Sepsi also generated much more in expected goals (xG) - 2.34-1.74 to be precise. The visitors did definitely deserve the three points. Before this they were lame at home – it was a goalless draw at home against Farul Constanta. Univ. Craiova were priced around 1.80 to win by the bookies but generated a pathetic 0.27 in xG – the visitors managed 0.45. Both teams had 15 goal attempts but Farul recorded five more shots on goal than disappointing Univ. Craiova! In round 3 Univ. Craiova had a few chances to score but lost to FCSB 0-2 away from home. The xG numbers were 1.76-0.73 in the hosts' favour. Cluj lost to Farul 1-5 on the road in their last game. It was a bizarre game as both teams had 50% ball possession and Cluj even had many more attacks and dangerous attacks. Cluj also generated, rather weirdly, more in xG – 2.12-1.99 to be precise. The final score could not be any more misleading and it seems to bookies give this result way too much emphasis.. Before this they were – once again – unlucky – losing to a very strong opponent, FSCB, 0-1 at home. Cluj had 53% ball possession and recorded a whopping 22 goal attempts! They also recorded many more corner kicks and dangerous attacks. The xG numbers were 2.23-1.13! After watching the game it was almost impossible to understand how Cluj did not score even one goal. Well, my fans know that this can sometimes happen in football.. In round 3 Cluj were extremely strong - I would even say "on fire" - crushing FC. Rapid Bucuresti 4-1 away from home! Yes, the hosts had 22 goal attempts but most of these were pretty "desperate" attempts where the xG was very small. The main reason for this was Cluj's well-structured defence - the midfielders were also very active in defending and the Cluj plyers showed great fighting spirit - going hard for almost every loose ball. Bucuresti's total xG was only 0.97. Cluj were priced close to 4.00 to win the game by the bookies but fully deserved the three points! The bookies, once again, underestimated Cluj in this match.. The same is true against Univ. Craiova! Odds on the home win are around 2.45 at the time of writing this analysis Thursday afternoon Beijing time. However, I expect the smart money to pile up on Cluj before the kick off and recommend my fans to place the bet as soon as possible.. Cluj are solid favourites here with a 42.50% chance of winning – based on my strongly data-based expert analysis. The bookies keep making mistakes with their odds in Liga 1 and it is time to go for even more profit together with the Cluj +0.5 goals handicap option!

Craiova大学VS CFR Cluj

北京时间周五凌晨，克拉约瓦大学和克鲁日将在西甲联赛第6组的主场奥布莱门科球场展开激战。这是罗马尼亚足球的第一梯队。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平属于中等水平。足球爱好者和我们认真的投注者-考虑到长期利润-可以期待一场比这个联赛的标准更好的比赛!最重要的是，我们有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们在过去的10次选秀中赢了9次!在冠军小组赛阶段，积分计算系统有点混乱，因为只有在常规赛中与特定球队的比赛中获得的积分才会被考虑在内。因此，我们必须看一下常规赛的数据来了解球队的水平。目前东道主有34分，克鲁日有31分。但是在常规赛中，克鲁日只得到53分。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)更大——准确地说是56.44。他们把球打进54次网。此外，他们丢了29个球，只比FCSB多一个，后者在常规赛结束后以9分的优势领先于快速队。他们的防守没有明显的弱点。我想说的是，克鲁日通常会在春季赛季后期的大型比赛中提升整体水平。我们不要忘记，从过去的成功、球迷基础和球员估计的总市场价值来看，CFR克卢日是罗马尼亚为数不多的几支强队之一。是的，他们在上个赛季之后卖掉了很多球员，赚了数百万欧元。结果他们没有上赛季那么好——至少在纸面上是这样。即便如此，根据我的专家分析，目前他们的阵容价值远高于Transfermarkt.com上的数据。我也相信他们的教练在战术技巧和作为一个领导者!

常规赛结束后，东道主以49分排名第四。他们的比分差是47:38。这比克鲁日的情况严重得多。两队最近的状态都不太好，最近四场比赛输了三场。然而，克拉约瓦大学在最后一场比赛中取得了胜利。他们在客场3-1击败了圣乔治。然而，主队的控球率为54%，进球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数也更多——57比40。Sepsi也产生了更多的预期进球(xG)——准确地说是2.34-1.74。客队绝对应该得到三分。在此之前，他们在主场表现不佳——主场对阵法鲁尔·康斯坦塔的比赛是一场0比0的平局。克拉约瓦大学的赌注在1.80左右，但在xG上只得到了可怜的0.27，客队只得到了0.45。两队都有15次射门尝试，但法鲁尔的射门次数比令人失望的克拉约瓦大学多5次!在第三轮比赛中，克拉约瓦大学有几次得分机会，但在客场0-2不敌FCSB。对东道主有利的xG值为1.76-0.73。克鲁日在上一场客场1-5输给了法鲁尔。这是一场奇怪的比赛，两队都有50%的控球权，克鲁日甚至有更多的进攻和危险的进攻。更奇怪的是，Cluj还在xG - 2.12-1.99中生成了更多的内容。最后的比分不能再误导了，似乎博彩公司给了这个结果太多的强调。在此之前，他们又一次不幸地在主场0-1输给了强大的对手FSCB。克鲁日有53%的控球率，并且有22次射门!他们也创造了更多的角球和危险的进攻。xG值是2.23-1.13!看完比赛后，几乎无法理解克鲁日为何连一个球都没进。嗯，我的球迷知道这在足球中有时会发生…第三轮克鲁日非常强大——我甚至会说“着火了”——碾压了FC。快速布加勒斯特4-1客场!是的，东道主有22次进球尝试，但其中大多数都是非常“绝望”的尝试，xG很小。主要原因是克鲁日的防守结构很好——中场球员在防守中也很活跃，克鲁日球员表现出了很强的斗志——几乎每一个无球可争。Bucuresti的总xG仅为0.97。克鲁日赢得比赛的赌注接近4.00，但这三分是完全应得的!在这场比赛中，博彩公司又一次低估了克鲁日。克拉约瓦大学也是如此!在北京时间周四下午撰写本文时，主场获胜的赔率约为2.45。然而，我希望在开球前，聪明的钱会堆积在克鲁日身上，并建议我的球迷尽快下注