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5/5 last picks WON! $$$ 荷甲 前进之鹰VS费耶诺德

2024-04-25

比赛分析

荷甲

已完赛

星期五2024-04-26 03:00

解读理由

Go Ahead Eagles VS Feyenoord


G.A Eagles and Feyenoord lock hors i this Eredivisie round 31 battle at early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the first tier of Dutch football. The level of De Adelaarshorst in Deventer. This league is of significantly better-than-average level by European standards. However, the top-4 leagues are much better – the French Ligue 1 is also more competitive than the Eredivisie. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a game of better than average quality by this league's standards here! Most importantly, we have a very lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won five of the last six picks betting on this league! Feyenoord are the second-best team in this league, there is no doubt about that. However, they are still not as good as the statistics would reflect.. The best top-teams are usually not worth betting on in handicap betting, especially away from home. There is, in fact, extensive long-term data showing that in the long run betting on -1.5 goals handicap – not to mention bigger handicaps – is on average an awful idea! We will take the G.A Eagles+1.5 goals handicap option here with an over 65%% chance of winning once again. Odds of around 1.65 are widely available on the betting market at the time of posting this preview. Feyenoord have a fine 72 points to their account. There are only four more rounds left in the regular season. PSV, in second place, have taken 81 points. This means that PSV have a clearly over 99% chance of winning the championship. Twente are in third place with 63 points in their pocket and have a score difference of 59:31. If teams finish on equal points at the end of the season, score difference will be the tie-breaker. Feyenoord will almost certainly finish in 2nd place as their score difference is 77:23. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 73.12 and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 25.99.

I would not be at all surprised if Feynoord's excellent coach were to rotate his squad – perhaps even significantly in this game. Indeed, Feyenoord have a large number of talented young players who have not played a lot of minutes this season but are very motivated to prove their skills to the coach. At home Feyenoord will most probably field a strong squad in the remaining games this season – and keep trying to score goals to entertain the demanding fans - even despite not having much to play for. On the road this might not necessarily be the case.. PSV have three four of their last four games. However, only one of the third wins came by a margin of more than one goal. This win came at home 6-0 over Ajax in round 29 as big favourites on the betting market. Yes, they were pretty dominant but the final score is still misleading.. The xG numbers were 3.04-0.13. In their last game they beat Nijmegen in a KNVB final at home 1-0. They were priced around 1.25 to win in the 90 minutes of play by the bookies. Yes, they were the better team – but not by a very clear margin. They recorded only three more goal attempts than the visitors – 16-12. The xG numbers were 1.35-0.93. Before this they took another narrow win – 1-0 – away from home over Sittard and were priced around 1.30-1.35 on the betting market. However, they did not really impress me.. Sittard even recorded more goal attempts – 14-10. Both teams recorded the same number of shots on goal, Feyenoord did generate more in xG though.

G.A Eagles, of course, cannot match Feyenoord in any area of the game but are still a pretty strong team and will surely believe in their chances of taking at least a point here in front of their enthusiastic and loyal fans.. Even a point would help them a lot! They are in 8th place and have much to play for! The teams who finish in 6-9th places will play in the Playoffs where a ticket for the UEFA Conference League qualification for the next season is up for grabs.. This would mean a lot for a relatively small club like G.A Eagles. The hosts have 42 points to their account but their number of xPTS is 45.14. Sparta Rotterdam, in 9th place, have taken 40 points. Heerenveen are in 10th place with 36 points to their account - chasing G.A Eagles and Sparta.. G.A Eagles have scored a decent 44 goals and have allowed only 39 goals. This the 4th-lowest number in this league. For example, a big team Ajax, in 5th place, have allowed 58 goals! Their defence has no obvious weaknesses – and the structure is very solid. This helps them a lot as their defenders are not among the most skilled individuals in this league.. Their offense lacks speed, individual skill and creativity to challenge for a top-4 position though. G.A Eagles have lost only one of their last four games. This defeat came in their last game, against Utrecht 1-2 away from home. G.A Eagles were priced over 5.00 to win the game. The ball possession was 51%-49% and the hosts had two more goal attempts – 16-14. Before this they were lame offensively and it was a 1-1 draw at home against Almere City, the visitors. However, Almere played significantly better than usual. In round 28 G.A Eagles played well against Ajax on the road as big underdogs. It was a 1-1 draw.



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继续,老鹰VS费耶诺德


北京时间周五凌晨,老鹰队和费耶诺德队在英超第31轮的比赛中锁定胜局。这是荷兰足球的第一梯队。Deventer的De Adelaarshorst关卡。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平明显高于平均水平。然而,四大联赛要好得多——法甲的竞争也比荷甲更激烈。足球爱好者和我们认真的投注者-考虑到长期利润-可以期待一场比这个联赛的标准更好的比赛!最重要的是,我们有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们赌这个联赛赢了过去6次选秀中的5次!费耶诺德是这个联赛第二好的球队,这是毫无疑问的。然而,他们仍然没有统计数据所反映的那么好。在障碍博彩中,最好的顶级球队通常不值得下注,尤其是在客场。事实上,大量的长期数据显示,从长远来看,下注1.5个进球的不利条件——更不用说更大的不利条件了——平均来说是一个糟糕的主意!我们在这里选择G.A老鹰+1.5个进球障碍的选项,有超过65%的机会再次获胜。在发布此预览时,在投注市场上可以广泛获得约1.65的赔率。费耶诺德被罚72分。常规赛只剩下四轮了。排名第二的埃因霍温已经拿到了81分。这意味着埃因霍温有超过99%的机会赢得冠军。特文特以63分排名第三,两队的分差为59:31。如果两队在赛季结束时得分相等,则得分差将成为决胜局。费耶诺德几乎肯定会获得第二名,因为他们的比分差距是77:23。他们的预期进球数(xG)是73.12,他们的预期进球数(xGA)是25.99。

如果费诺德的优秀教练要轮换阵容,我一点也不会感到惊讶——也许在这场比赛中会有很大的变化。的确,费耶诺德有很多有天赋的年轻球员,他们本赛季没有多少上场时间,但他们非常有动力向教练证明他们的技术。在主场,费耶诺德很可能会在本赛季剩下的比赛中派出一支强大的阵容,并继续努力进球来取悦苛刻的球迷,即使没有太多的比赛。在路上就不一定是这样了。埃因霍温最近四场比赛有三场四场。然而,在第三场比赛中,只有一场比赛的比分超过一球。这场胜利是在第29轮主场6-0战胜阿贾克斯的比赛中取得的,是博彩市场上的大热门。是的,他们很有统治力,但最后的比分仍然是误导…xG值为3.04 ~ 0.13。在上一场比赛中,他们在KNVB决赛中主场1-0击败奈梅亨。在90分钟的比赛中,他们的价格约为1.25美元。是的,他们是一支更好的球队——但差距并不明显。他们的进球次数只比客队多3次,16胜12负。xG值为1.35 ~ 0.93。在此之前,他们在客场以1-0险胜西塔德,在博彩市场上的价格在1.30-1.35左右。然而,他们并没有真正打动我。西塔德的进球次数甚至更多——14胜10负。两支球队的射门次数相同,但费耶诺德在上个赛季的射门次数更多。

当然,老鹰队在比赛的任何方面都无法与费耶诺德匹敌,但他们仍然是一支相当强大的球队,他们肯定会相信自己有机会在热情忠诚的球迷面前至少拿到一分。即使是一分也会给他们很大的帮助!他们排在第8位,还有很多比赛要踢!排在第6-9名的球队将进入季后赛,届时下赛季的欧洲联盟联赛资格将被争夺。这对于G.A Eagles这样的小俱乐部来说意义重大。主机的帐户中有42个点数,但它们的xPTS数量为45.14。排名第九的鹿特丹斯巴达队积40分。老鹰队和斯巴达队以36分排在第10位。老鹰队进了44个球,只丢了39个球。这是联盟第四低的数字。例如,排名第五的豪门球队阿贾克斯丢了58个球!他们的防守没有明显的弱点,结构也很坚固。这对他们很有帮助,因为他们的防守球员并不是联盟中技术最好的。他们的进攻缺乏速度,个人技术和创造力来挑战前四的位置。老鹰队最近四场比赛只输了一场。这次失败发生在他们的家里

第一场比赛,客场1-2对阵乌得勒支。G.A老鹰队赢这场比赛的价格超过5英镑。控球率为51%比49%,主队有两次射门机会,16比14。在此之前,他们的进攻很差劲,主场1-1战平了客队阿尔米尔城。然而,阿尔米尔的表现明显好于平时。在第28轮,老鹰队在客场对阵阿贾克斯的比赛中表现出色。双方1比1战平。

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