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+70% winning rate in the PL! 英超 布赖顿VS曼城

2024-04-25

比赛分析

主队布赖顿LOGO

布赖顿

英超

已完赛

星期五2024-04-26 03:00

客队曼城LOGO

曼城

解读理由

This should be an easy game for Manchester City. They continue their pursuit for a fourth Premier League title, facing a Brighton team who isn’t in their best form.

After a fantastic season last year that took the Seagulls into Europe, Brighton have had an indifferent term this time around and sit in 10th place in the table. I believe that the season is already over for them, as are 16 points below TOP5 with many teams involved in that fight. So they could be already lacking motivation. They have struggled with fatigue due to the midweek games in Europe.

Despite having lost only 2 home games so far, Brighton have endured a pretty dismal run, winning just three of their Premier League games in 2024. They lost just their second home match of the season when Arsenal won 3-0 at the beginning of April, however, that was their fifth defeat in the league in 2024.

The Seagulls have only kept five clean sheets at home this season, with three of those coming in Europe. Only Nottingham Forest and Wolves have failed to score at Brighton during the current campaign.

Their revelation this season has been the Brazilian striker Joao, who has bagged 19 goals in all competitions this season, scoring in every game of the Conference League group stage games. He has had 57 shots on target, the most in the Brighton side and has a very impressive 33% goal conversion rate. But isn’t the only danger in Brighton: Simon Adingra (7 goals) is also dangerous upfront, with Pascal Grob and Kaoru Mitoma giving assists to their teammates. Grob is the key player in Brighton's midfield, controlling the games and having an amazing accuracy pass rating of 90%.

If City wants to win this fixture and control the game, they need to control those players. However, it won’t be easy as Roberto De Zerbi's team is usually solid and can cause problems.

However, Manchester City is in great form. Unbeaten since December 23 against Aston Villa, they are now fully focused in the Premier League after Real Madrid’s defeat in the UCL last week. And they have a golden chance to reach the TOP1, after Arsenal and Liverpool’ defeats this month, which gave them the opportunity to be the leaders again winning the postponed games they have pending to play.

Pep will be concerned about the number of goals have conceded this season: 32 so far in the league. They usually don’t give you a sniff, but this season they have conceded a lot and suffered more defeats. This season they have already conceded more goals than in the previous 4.

I think this is caused by several things. Due to injuries, they haven't been able to find a solid defense, and although they are still winning games, they are not dominating and destroying rivals as they used to do. However, they have players like Kevin de Bruyne or Foden who are in amazing form, especially Foden who is one of the best players in the world at the moment. With 21 goal contributions in the premier league that is only two less than Haaland which shows his importance.

With the Blues now close to the finish line as they chase down the title, the team will be determined to pick up the three points on offer in order to get the job done at the end of the campaign.

Arsenal 's and Liverpool's capitulation has provided the perfect opportunity for City to occupy the driving seat in the race to secure another league title. And it's now City's title to lose.

In the reverse fixture in Manchester, Brighton gave the blues a bit of a scare. The blues were 2-0 up after just 19 minutes, but Ansu Fati pulled a goal back with 17 minutes remaining and, when Manuel Akanji was sent off, Brighton pushed for an equaliser that, thankfully, never came.

I expect Manchester City to dominate this game, play with more motivation, and given their quality to get a much needed win to make a big step for the title.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这场比赛对曼城来说应该很轻松。他们继续追逐第四个英超冠军,面对的是状态不佳的布莱顿队。

在经历了去年带领海鸥进入欧洲赛场的梦幻赛季后,布莱顿本赛季表现平平,排在积分榜第10位。我相信这个赛季对他们来说已经结束了,因为他们比TOP5低16分,还有很多球队在争夺。所以他们可能已经缺乏动力了。由于周中在欧洲的比赛,他们一直在与疲劳作斗争。

尽管到目前为止,布莱顿只输掉了2场主场比赛,但他们在2024年的英超联赛中只赢了3场。4月初阿森纳以3比0取胜,他们本赛季的第二场主场比赛失利,但这是他们在2024年联赛中的第五场失利。

本赛季海鸥只在主场保持了5场零封,其中3场是在欧洲。在目前的比赛中,只有诺丁汉森林和狼队未能在布莱顿进球。

他们本赛季的亮点是巴西前锋若昂(Joao),他本赛季在各项赛事中打进19球,在东部联赛小组赛的每一场比赛中都有进球。他有57次射正,是布莱顿队中射正次数最多的,并且有令人印象深刻的33%的进球转化率。但这并不是布莱顿唯一的危险:西蒙·阿丁格拉(7球)在前场也很危险,帕斯卡尔·格罗布和三oma也为队友提供助攻。格罗布是布莱顿中场的关键球员,控制着比赛,他的准确率高达90%。

如果曼城想赢得这场比赛并控制比赛,他们需要控制这些球员。然而,这并不容易,因为罗伯托·德泽比的球队通常都很稳固,也会制造问题。

然而,曼城的状态很好。自去年12月23日对阵阿斯顿维拉以来,他们一直保持不败,在上周皇家马德里在欧冠联赛中失利后,他们现在完全专注于英超联赛。在本月阿森纳和利物浦的失利之后,他们有一个进入TOP1的黄金机会,这让他们有机会在推迟的比赛中再次成为领头羊。

佩普将会关注本赛季丢球的数量:联赛目前为止丢了32个球。他们通常对你不屑一顾,但是这个赛季他们丢了很多球,输了更多的球。本赛季他们丢的球已经超过了前4个赛季。

我认为这是由几个因素引起的。由于伤病,他们还没有找到一个坚实的防守,虽然他们仍然赢得比赛,但他们不像以前那样统治和摧毁对手。然而,他们有像凯文·德布鲁因和福登这样状态惊人的球员,尤其是福登,他是目前世界上最好的球员之一。他在英超联赛中贡献了21个进球,只比哈兰德少2个,这表明了他的重要性。

随着蓝军在追逐冠军的过程中接近终点线,球队将下定决心在赛季结束时拿到三分,以完成任务。

阿森纳和利物浦的投降为曼城在夺取另一个联赛冠军的竞争中占据主导地位提供了绝佳的机会。现在曼城要丢掉的是冠军头衔。

在与曼彻斯特的比赛中,布莱顿给了蓝军一点惊吓。19分钟后蓝军2-0领先,但法蒂在比赛还剩17分钟时扳回一球,阿坎吉被罚下后,布莱顿试图扳平比分,但幸运的是,他们没有扳平比分。

我希望曼城能统治这场比赛,踢得更有动力,以他们的实力赢得一场急需的胜利,向冠军迈进一大步。

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