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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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PROFIT from Norway? $$$ 挪超 布兰VS汉坎

2024-04-18

比赛分析

挪超

已完赛

星期四2024-04-18 00:00

解读理由

Brann VS Ham-Kam


Brann welcome HamKam for this Eliteserien clash at Brann Stadion in Bergen very early Thursday morning Beijing time. This is the highest level of Norwegian football. The level of this league is somewhat mediocre by European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of a bit better than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly my fans and I have yet another very interesting betting opportunity here! Both teams have played three matches in this league so far. As three games do not tell too much we will have to take a look at last season's results.. Brann played a strong season – finishing in 2nd place In 2022 they still played in the second tier! Brann grabbed a fine 61 points last season - nine points less than the champions Bodo/Glimt managed to take.. Brann's number of expected points (xPTS) was "only" 55.67 though. I would be surprised if they were to finish in the top-2 this season. HamKam ended up in 11th place but can improve a bit this season – especially in terms of defence.

Brann's record is one win, one draw and one defeat. They have not impressed me as a whole. Indeed, in round 1 they lost to Fredrikstad 0-2 at home – priced around 1.35 to win by the bookies. HamKam have taken one draw and have lost twice in the Eliteserien so far. However, both defeats were narrow – by a margin of one goal. In their last game they played okay bit lacked offensive creativity and speed. They lost the game to Rosenborg 0-1 on the road as very clear underdogs. HamKam defended pretty well though. Before this they crushed Ridabu 5-0 away from home in a cup game. Yes, Brann, of course, have an edge in all areas of the game over the visitors here but the odds on the home win are around 1.30 at the time of posting this analysis and this is clearly too low! HamKam will surely defend hard – perhaps with all 10 mean at times - here and Brann will probably find it rather challenging to break the visitors' pretty defence.. The obvious smart bet here is the HamKam +1.5 goals handicap with a 56.50% chance of winning! Odds of around 2.00 are widely available.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

布兰恩VS咸锦


布兰恩欢迎哈姆卡姆参加北京时间周四凌晨在卑尔根布兰恩球场举行的精英队之战。这是挪威足球的最高水平。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平有些平庸。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平好一点的比赛。最重要的是,我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个非常有趣的投注机会!到目前为止,两队在这个联赛中已经打了三场比赛。三场比赛并不能说明什么,我们必须看看上赛季的结果。布兰恩打出了一个强劲的赛季——获得了第二名。2022年,他们仍然在第二梯队比赛!布兰恩上赛季拿到了61分,比冠军博多/格里姆特少了9分。不过,布兰恩的预期点数(xPTS)“仅”为55.67。如果他们本赛季能进入前2,我会很惊讶。哈姆卡姆最终排在第11位,但本赛季他可以有所提高——尤其是在防守方面。

布兰恩的记录是1胜1平1负。总的来说,他们没有给我留下深刻的印象。事实上,他们在第一轮主场0-2不敌腓特烈斯塔德,博彩公司开出的胜率约为1.35。到目前为止,哈姆卡姆在精英赛中取得了一场平局,两场失利。然而,两场失利都以一球之差险胜。在上一场比赛中,他们打得还行,但缺乏进攻创造力和速度。他们在客场0-1输给了罗森堡,显然处于劣势。不过哈姆卡姆防守得很好。在此之前,他们在一场杯赛中客场5-0击败了里达布。是的,当然,布兰恩在比赛的各个方面都比客队有优势,但在发表这篇分析时,主场获胜的赔率约为1.30,这显然太低了!哈姆卡姆肯定会很努力地防守——也许10个球员都很厉害——在这里,布莱恩可能会发现打破客队漂亮的防线相当具有挑战性。显然明智的赌注是HamKam +1.5个进球障碍,有56.50%的获胜机会!大约2.00的赔率很普遍。

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