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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A FINE match to bet on! $$$ 挪甲 阿萨纳VS松达尔

2024-04-15

比赛分析

挪甲

已完赛

星期二2024-04-16 01:00

解读理由

Åsane vs Sogndal


Åsane welcome Sogndal for this OBOS-Ligaen round 3 battle at Åsane Arena early Tuesday morning Beijing time. However, Åsane have played only one game some far. This is the second tier of Norwegian football and the level of this league is pretty low by European standards.. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of somewhat average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly my fans and I have yet another promising betting opportunity here! As this is only the third round it is important to take a look at last season's results and statistics. Sogndal finished in 7th place with a pretty good 43 points in their pocket. Their number of expected points (xPTS) was higher though. They missed the Promotion Playoffs by a margin of only one point. I would not be at all surprised if they were to succeed in this effort this season! Åsane, on the other hand, ended up in 12th place with only 37 points in their pocket. As a whole Sogndal were much better than the hosts last season. It would not surprise me if they were to be relegated at the end of the season. Indeed, this pretty small team in terms of financial resources, fan-base as well as players total market value according to Transfermarkt.com has a pretty limited squad. Their defence looks decent but their offense lacks skill, speed, creativity and individual skill. They faced Levanger, a newly-promoted team, in the first round as solid favourites according to the bookies. They did have 56% ball possession but I did not like their performance as a whole. It was a 2-2 draw in the end and the visitors recorded more goal attempts, shots on target as well as shots off goal. In their last game they beat Fjora 5-2 away from home in a NM Cup clash. The hosts are a very small amateur club. Åsane were priced around 1.03-1.05 to win during the 90 minutes of play. I will not give this win much emphasis.

I need to mention that Åsane have not been able to beat Sogndal in any of the last five games between the two teams. Last season Sogndal beat Åsane 3-2 on the road. The biggest bookies with the largest stake limits do see the hosts as quite narrow favourites but based on my strongly data-based analysis Sogndal deserve to be solid favourites! They have a 47.50% chance of taking all three points here. With the recommended +0.5 goals handicap my fans and I have a big chance of winning. Sogndal have been in fine form recently .In their last game they beat a very tiny team Forde 6-2 on the road in a NM Cup battle. Before this they took a fine win at home over Mjondalen. 3-1 was the final score. Sogndal recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off target and dangerous attacks than Mjondalen. I liked the way Sogndal attacked in a pretty straightforward way in this match. Before this they faced a big team for this level, Vålerenga, on the road and it was a 1-1 draw as big underdogs – priced around 6.50 to win on the betting market. Våleranga played in the first tier last season and have a strong squad by the OBOS-Ligaen standards, especially on paper. Sogndal were forced to defend quite a lot in this game but did so in an an organized way. I liked the way they fought – and also seems to have a terrific team spirit!



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Åsane vs Sogndal


Åsane欢迎索格达尔参加北京时间周二凌晨在Åsane体育馆举行的OBOS-Ligaen第三轮比赛。然而,Åsane目前只玩了一场游戏。这是挪威足球的第二梯队,以欧洲的标准来看,这个联赛的水平相当低。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等质量的比赛。最重要的是,我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个很有希望的投注机会!由于这只是第三轮,所以回顾一下上赛季的成绩和数据是很重要的。索格达尔以43分的好成绩获得了第七名。但他们的期望值(xPTS)更高。他们仅以一分之差无缘晋级季后赛。如果他们本赛季在这方面的努力取得成功,我一点也不会感到惊讶!另一方面,Åsane仅以37分的成绩排在第12位。总的说来,索格达尔上赛季比东道主强多了。如果他们在赛季结束后降级,我不会感到惊讶。的确,根据Transfermarkt.com的数据,这支在财力、球迷基础和球员总市场价值方面都相当小的球队阵容相当有限。他们的防守看起来不错,但他们的进攻缺乏技巧、速度、创造力和个人技巧。根据博彩公司的说法,他们在第一轮面对的是一支新升班马莱万格,他们是最受欢迎的球队。他们确实有56%的控球率,但我不喜欢他们整体的表现。最后双方以2比2战平,客队的进球次数、射正次数和射偏次数都有所增加。在上一场比赛中,他们在客场5-2击败了Fjora。东道主是一个很小的业余俱乐部。在90分钟的比赛中,Åsane的价格在1.03-1.05左右。我不会过多强调这次胜利。

我需要提到的是,Åsane在两队最近的五场比赛中都没能击败索格达尔。上赛季Sogndal客场3-2击败Åsane。拥有最大赌注限制的最大博彩公司确实将东道主视为相当狭窄的热门,但根据我强烈的基于数据的分析,索格达尔应该是可靠的热门!他们有47.50%的机会拿到全部三分。在建议的+0.5个进球障碍下,我和我的球迷有很大的机会获胜。索格达尔最近状态很好,在上一场比赛中,他们在客场6-2击败了一支非常弱小的球队福特。在此之前,他们在主场以3:1大胜Mjondalen。索格达尔的进球次数、射正次数、射偏次数和危险进攻次数都比姆永达伦多。我喜欢索格达尔在这场比赛中直截了当的进攻方式。在此之前,他们在客场面对的是同级别的强队v<s:1>莱伦加,双方以1比1战平,在博彩市场上,他们的赔率在6.50左右。v<s:1>莱兰加上赛季效力于一线队,按照OBOS-Ligaen的标准,他们拥有一支强大的阵容,尤其是在纸面上。在这场比赛中,索格达尔被迫进行了很多防守,但他们的防守方式很有组织。我喜欢他们战斗的方式,而且他们似乎有一种了不起的团队精神!

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