I see excellent value in this bet. +0 AH looks like very safe option to play. Odds are simply too high and should go down prior to the kickoff.

At next Thursday West Ham is going to play revenge against Leverkusen in Europa League, but I don't worry about that so much. Lucas Paqueta (best player in current season, according to the ratings) have been carded in first match and is unavailable for the revenge so for sure we will see him on the pitch today.

Paqueta is super important player for West Ham and real game changer. With him on the pitch, West Ham played 42 matches and won 40%, without him West Ham played 18 league matches and recorded only 17% wins. Huge difference.

West Ham have amazing record at home against Fulham. They didn't lost against them in front of their home crowd in Premier League since 2001 (!). West Ham have huge mental advantage as they won last 5 home matches against Fulham and 4 times scored more than two goals. Fulham won first match of the season at home, but they not recorded double league win against West Ham since 1965-1966.

Home ground should really make huge difference. West Ham didn't lost in 10 of last 11 home league matches. On the other hand, Fulham recorded only one win in their last 15 away league matches (!!!).

In those circumstances +0 AH looks like outstanding value to play.

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

我认为这个赌注很有价值。+0 AH看起来是一个非常安全的选择。赔率太高了，应该在开球前降低。

下周四西汉姆联将在欧联杯对勒沃库森复仇，但我不太担心。卢卡斯·帕奎塔(根据收视率，本赛季最佳球员)已经在第一场比赛中被罚出场，无法参加复仇，所以我们肯定会在今天的比赛中看到他。

帕奎塔是西汉姆联超级重要的球员，也是真正的比赛改变者。有他在的时候，西汉姆联打了42场比赛，胜率40%，没有他的时候，西汉姆联打了18场联赛，胜率只有17%。巨大的差异。

西汉姆在主场对阵富勒姆的比赛中有着惊人的战绩。自2001年以来，他们还没有在英超主场输给过他们(!)。西汉姆有巨大的心理优势，他们最近5次主场战胜富勒姆，4次进球超过2球。富勒姆在主场赢得了本赛季的第一场比赛，但他们自1965-1966赛季以来就没有在联赛中对西汉姆联取得过两场胜利。

主场应该会有很大的不同。在过去的11场主场比赛中，西汉姆联10场未输。另一方面，富勒姆在最近的15场客场比赛中只取得了一场胜利(!!)。

在这种情况下，+0 AH看起来是非常值得玩的。

04月14日西汉姆联 VS 富勒姆比赛分析直播