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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Who will be closer to Premier League?

2021-05-17

比赛分析

英冠

已完赛

星期二2021-05-18 01:00

解读理由

In my opinion Brentford have really good chances to make good result in today's match up.

This first leg of play off semifinal to get promotion into Premier League. In previous season Brentford lost in big final against Fulham after extra time. I believe now they have very valuable experience and that should give them good advantage.

Both teams without any new absences. Bournemouth is still without one of their best player in current season, winger Stanislas (10 goals and 4 assists). Important central midfielder Cook is unavailable as well. Brentford is still without important right defender Dalsgaard and central midfielder Dasilva, but team still is able to work on high level without them. Key left defender Henry is available today and this is great info.

Brentford have good mental advantage before today's match as they played at this stadium one month ago. Brentford recorded 1:0 win here and that was fully deserved 3 points: expected goals scored Brentford 2.86, for Bournemouth only 0.54.

Bournemouth form for me is under question mark, they lost last 3 matches of the season and they even not scored a single goal. On the other hand Brentford won last 4 matches in a row and conceded only one goal in the process.

Bournemouth for me doesn't looked superb at home in current season - 13 wins in 23 is not bad result, but they had a lot luck. According to the expected goals scored model they should score 29.93 (they scored 40..), they conceded 24 goals (they should 24.17). On the other hand Brentford didn't lost in 18 of 23 away matches in current season. 36.69 expected goals scored and 18.77 expected goals conceded. I see big difference. Brentford have in their squad best striker in whole league - Ivan Toney - and this is always big advantage in such big stake matches.

Double chance option on away side looks like very good call.


我认为布伦特福德在今天的比赛中确实有很好的机会取得好成绩。

升级附加赛半决赛的第一回合。上个赛季布伦特福德在附加赛输给了富勒姆(Fulham)。我相信现在他们拥有非常宝贵的经验,这应该给他们带来很好的优势。

两支球队都没有新的缺席。伯恩茅斯仍然缺少他们本赛季最好的球员之一,边锋斯坦尼斯拉斯(10球和4助攻)。重要的中场库克也无法出场。布伦特福德仍然没有缺少的右后卫达尔斯加德和中场中场达西尔瓦,但即使没有他们,球队仍然能够处在高水平。关键左后卫亨利(Henry)今天会回归,这是个很好的信息。

一个月前,布伦特福德(Brentford)在今天的比赛之前拥有良好的心理优势,因为他们曾这座球场参加比赛,布伦特福德取得了1:0的胜利,这是当之无愧的3分:伯恩茅斯的预期进球近为0.54,,布伦特福德2.86。 对我来说,伯恩茅斯的状态令人质疑,他们输掉了本赛季的最后3场比赛,甚至没有打进一个进球。另一方面,布伦特福德连续赢得了四场比赛,并且在此过程中仅失一球。

伯恩茅斯在本赛季看起来并不出色,在23场比赛中取得13场胜利并不算差,但他们运气很好。根据预期目标得分模型,他们应该得到29.93人(实际得分为40 ..),他们丢了24球(实际应该为24.17)。另一方面,布伦特福德在本赛季23场客场的比赛中有18场没有输球。预期进球36.69,失球18.77。布伦特福德拥有联赛最好的前锋-伊万·托尼(Ivan Toney)-在如此重要比赛中,这始终是巨大的优势。

选择客队不败看起来非常不错。

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