Bordeaux VS Bastia

Bordeaux lecome Bastia this French Ligue 2 round 32 battle a Matmut Atlantique early Sunday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of slightly better than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly my fans and I have yet another promising betting opportunity here! We have reached good long-term results betting on this league! Bordeaux are a traditional and pretty big team in terms of fan-base, financial resources and players'' estimated total market value. They played in the Ligue 1 for years and were some of the strongest candidates to be promoted to the first tier for the next season. However, they are playing a disappointing season and realistically do not have a chance to make it to the Promotion Playoffs anymore. Last season they finished in 3rd place and were only a few points away from being promoted. Bastia finished in 4th place last season but were very lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Their level has dropped a lot this season and they are in 15th place at the moment in this league with a total of 20 clubs. Their offense has lacked basically everything needed to challenge for a top-8 position this season. Most of their attacks are pretty slow and predictable. Away from home they very often play very cautious football, trying to get a draw.. Bastia have allowed 39 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 43.11. Bordeaux should have the quality to score once or twice if Bastia, once again, let the opponent control the events on the pitch. Last season Bordeaux comfortably beat Bastia 2-0 at home. The Bordeaux offense has not fully impressed me this season - they have scored 36 goals in this league so far. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is significantly higher. They should be able to improve in all areas of the game. On paper they have one of the strongest squads in Ligue 2. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Bordeaux are the much bigger club here. Their players' have an estimated market value of some 26 million. The Bastia squad is valued at some 13 million. 

Bordeaux have lost only one of their last eight games but have played too many draws to really climb up the standings significantly. In their last game they faced Caen, a dangerous team, 1-0 on the road. Bordeaux were solid underdogs in this match – priced around 3.30 to win by the bookies. Both teams recorded three shots on goal but Bordeaux generated more in xG – 1.67-1-09 to be precise. I liked the way Bordeaux defended in this challenging game. Before this Bordeaux welcomed Paris FC, a strong team, who are currently in 6th place and it was a 3-3 draw. However, Bordeaux had 56% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots off goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Bastia have been in mediocre form recently. However, they were very lame in their last game - against Dunkerque at home. Bastia were priced around 1.90 to win by the bookies. It was a 1-1 draw and yet another example of Bastia being overvalued on the betting market. Dunkerque had a whopping 66% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (10-6), shots off goal (5-0), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Moreover, the visitors generated 1.62 in xG – poor Bastia managed only 0.42. Odds of around 1.95 are available on the Bordeaux win here. This is too high as based on my strongly data-based expert analysis they have a 58% chance of taking all three points.

波尔多VS巴斯蒂亚

北京时间周日凌晨，法甲联赛第32轮波尔多与巴斯蒂亚对战马特穆特。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平稍好一点的比赛。最重要的是，我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个很有希望的投注机会!我们已经在这个联赛上取得了很好的长期成果!波尔多是一支传统的大球队，在球迷基础、财政资源和球员的估计总市值方面都是如此。他们在法甲踢了很多年，是下赛季升入甲级联赛的最有力的候选人之一。然而，他们打出了一个令人失望的赛季，实际上已经没有机会再进入季后赛了。上个赛季他们排名第三，离升班线只有几分之遥。巴斯蒂亚上赛季以第四名的成绩结束了比赛，但就预期积分(xPTS)而言，他非常幸运。本赛季他们的水平下降了很多，目前他们在联赛中排名第15位，总共有20家俱乐部。他们的进攻基本上缺乏挑战本赛季前8名所需的一切。它们的大多数攻击都是相当缓慢和可预测的。在客场，他们经常踢得非常谨慎，试图取得平局。巴斯蒂亚丢了39个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是43.11个。如果巴斯蒂亚再一次让对手控制场上的局势，波尔多应该有能力打进一两个球。上个赛季，波尔多在主场2-0轻松击败巴斯蒂亚。波尔多的进攻本赛季并没有给我留下深刻的印象——他们在联赛中已经进了36个球。然而，他们的预期目标数量(xG)要高得多。他们应该能够在比赛的各个方面都有所提高。理论上，他们是法甲最强的球队之一。根据德国知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，波尔多是这里更大的俱乐部。他们的球员的市场价值估计在2600万美元左右。巴斯蒂亚队的身价约为1300万英镑。

波尔多在过去的8场比赛中只输了1场，但他们打了太多的平局，因此排名没有明显上升。在上一场比赛中，他们客场1-0战胜了一支危险的球队卡昂。波尔多在这场比赛中绝对处于劣势，博彩公司开出的胜率在3.30左右。两支球队都有3次射门，但波尔多在1.67-1-09的射门次数更多。我喜欢波尔多在这场富有挑战性的比赛中的防守方式。在此之前，波尔多迎来了目前排名第六的强队巴黎FC，双方以3比3战平。然而，波尔多有56%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。巴斯蒂亚最近状态平平。然而，他们在上一场主场对阵敦刻尔克的比赛中表现非常糟糕。博彩公司对巴斯蒂亚的赔率定在1.9美元左右。这是一场1比1的平局，也是巴斯蒂亚在博彩市场被高估的又一个例子。敦刻尔克的控球率高达66%，他的进球次数(10胜6负)、射偏次数(5胜0负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。此外，访问者在xG中产生了1.62，而可怜的巴斯蒂亚只产生了0.42。在这里，波尔多葡萄酒获胜的赔率约为1.95。这实在是太高了，因为根据我基于数据的专家分析，他们有58%的机会拿到全部三分。