Tapio头像
外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
  • 2

    方案

  • 17

    粉丝

5/5 last WON in this league! $$$

2024-04-13

比赛分析

西乙

已完赛

星期日2024-04-14 03:00

解读理由

Levante VS SD Amorebieta


Levante and Amorebieta lock horns in this Spanish LaLiga2 round 35 battle at Estadi Ciutat de València in Valencia very early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the 4th-best second tier in the world. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of below average quality by this league's standards here. I expect the hosts to push hard right from the kickoff- controlling the events for the most of the 90 minutes of play. Most importantly my fans and I have yet another promising betting opportunity here! We have won five consecutive picks betting on this league! Valladoli are having a relatively strong season. They can, however, still improve in all areas of the game during the rest of the season. Levante have not been as strong at home as I would have expected but still do have loud and enthusiastic fans by this league's standards. Amorebieta, on the other hand, have been poor on the road, winning just twice in their 16 away games in LaLiga2. Their score difference in these games is abysmal – 11:26. They are usually too passive in away games, especially against the top-10 games and end up chasing the ball too much. This causes much fatigue especially late into the second half. Levane have a fine 51 points in their pocket and have a pretty good chance of making it to the top-6 and must be hungry for a win here. I expect them to take some risk if the score is level in the latter half of the second half.. They would, after all, have to topple three teams to make it to the top-6 and a draw is only worth one point.. The teams that finish 3-6th will compete for a place in LaLiga for next season. The top-2 are promoted directly. Levante, in all honesty, sometimes lack some speed, creativity and passing accuracy at critical moments compared to Espanyol (2nd place) and Eibar in 3rd place. The hosts have netted the ball 41 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is higher 46.32. They are clearly the bigger team here in terms of players' estimated market value – according to a well-known and respected German website. Transfermark.com. Indeed, their squad is valued at around 25 million euros – this is too low. Around 32-33 would be a more accurate number. The Amorebieta squad, on the other hand, is valued at only approximately 10 million which is more or less correct.

The visitors are in 20th place and are in a fierce struggle to avoid relegation. Indeed, they, too, will surely be motivated here. However, they are much worse than the hosts in all areas of the game. Only a few of their players have the skills needed to effectively play at this level. They are at big risk of being relegated to the 3rd tier for the next season.. The current odds of around 1.65 on the home win are a little lower than I would have hoped for but are still too high! Levante have been in fine form recently – not losing any of their last eight games. They have now won two games in a row and are high in confidence, I presume.. In their last game they beat Zaragoza, a tricky opponent, 2-1 at home. They had 60% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (17-13), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. The xG numbers were 1.23-0.55. Before this they beat a strong team, Valladolid, away from home as big underdogs, priced over 4.00 to win on the betting market. It was a high-quality but pretty uneventful game. No goals were eventually scored. In round 32 they beat Elche, a better team than the league table would suggest. 3-2 at home as underdogs on the betting market. Elche did record more goal attempts though. The visitors have 34 points to their account but their number of xPTS is higher though. They have unarguably been in fine form recently – especially result-wise.. However, they have also had quite a lot of luck on their side in many matches lately! They bookies have started to respect this small team - with limited players for this level - too much now! In their last game they beat Ferrol 3-1 at home but the visitors had 62% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (14-6), shots off goal (6-0), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this Amorebieta played relatively well on the road and it was a 1-1 draw against Alcorcon. Amorebieta recorded one more shot on target but the hosts had 55% ball possession and three more goal attempts. Both teams generated 0.83 in xG.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

莱万特VS阿莫列塔


北京时间周日凌晨,莱万特和阿莫雷比塔将在西甲第35轮比赛中在瓦伦西亚瓦伦顿西亚球场展开较量。这是世界上第四好的二线球队。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场低于联赛平均水平的比赛。我希望东道主从开球开始就大力推进,在90分钟的比赛中控制局势。最重要的是,我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个很有希望的投注机会!我们赌这个联赛已经连续赢了五次了!巴利亚多利队本赛季表现相对强劲。然而,在本赛季剩下的时间里,他们仍然可以在比赛的各个方面有所提高。莱万特在主场的表现并不像我想象的那么强,但按照这个联盟的标准,他们仍然拥有大声而热情的球迷。另一方面,阿莫雷比塔在客场表现不佳,他们在西甲的16场客场比赛中只赢了2场。他们在这几场比赛中的比分差简直糟透了——11:26。他们通常在客场比赛中过于被动,尤其是面对排名前十的比赛时,他们最终会过多地追球。这导致了很多疲劳,尤其是在下半场后期。莱文已经拿到了51分,他们有很大的机会进入前六,他们一定渴望在这里取胜。如果下半场下半场比分持平,我预计他们会冒一些风险。毕竟,他们必须击败三支球队才能进入前六,而一场平局只值一分。排名第3-6的球队将在下赛季争夺西甲联赛的席位。前2名直接晋升。老实说,莱万特在关键时刻缺乏速度、创造力和传球准确性,而西班牙人(第二名)和埃巴尔(第三名)则位居第二。东道主取得了41次进球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)要高出46.32个。根据一家知名且受人尊敬的德国网站,就球员的估计市场价值而言,他们显然是这里更大的球队。Transfermark.com。事实上,他们的阵容价值在2500万欧元左右——这太低了。大约32-33是更准确的数字。另一方面,阿莫雷比塔队的价值只有大约1000万欧元,这或多或少是正确的。

客队排在第20位,正在为保级进行激烈的斗争。事实上,他们也肯定会受到激励。然而,他们在比赛的各个方面都比东道主差得多。他们的球员中只有少数人具备有效发挥这一水平所需的技能。下个赛季他们很有可能被降级到第三梯队。目前主场获胜的赔率约为1.65,比我希望的要低一些,但仍然太高了!莱万特最近状态很好,最近8场比赛没有输过一场。他们现在已经连赢两场了,我想他们信心十足。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以2比1击败了对手萨拉戈萨。他们有60%的控球率,进球次数(17-13次)、角球、进攻和危险进攻都更多。xG值为1.23 ~ 0.55。在此之前,他们在客场击败了一支强大的球队,巴利亚多利德队,他们在博彩市场上的胜率超过4.00。这是一款高质量但平淡无奇的游戏。最终没有进球。在第32轮,他们击败了埃尔切队,这是一支比积分榜更强的球队。主场3胜2负,在博彩市场上处于劣势。不过埃尔切的进球次数确实更多。访问者的帐户有34分,但他们的xPTS数量更高。毫无疑问,他们最近的状态很好,尤其是在结果方面。然而,他们在最近的许多比赛中也有相当多的运气!这些博彩公司已经开始尊重这支小球队了——在这个级别上球员有限——现在太过分了!在上一场比赛中,他们在主场3-1击败了费罗尔,但客队的控球率为62%,并且有更多的射门次数(14胜6负)、射门次数(6胜0负)、角球次数、进攻和危险进攻。在此之前,阿莫雷比塔在客场的表现相对较好,他们1-1战平了阿尔科康。阿莫雷比塔又一次射正,但主队控球率为55%,并有三次射门尝试。两支球队在xG上的得分都是0.83。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。