Real Valladolid VS Eldense

Valladolid host Eldense for this Spanish LaLiga2 round 35 battle at Estadio José Zorrilla very early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the 4th-best second tier in the world. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of mediocre quality by this league's standards here. I expect the hosts to put bg pressure on the visitors' pretty leaky defence right from the kickoff. Most importantly my fans and I have yet another promising betting opportunity here! We have won five picks in a row betting on this league! Valladolid are having a very strong season – as I expected before the season started! They can, however, still improve during the rest of the season. They have been very strong at home – taking the second-highest number in this league at home. Their score difference at Estadio José Zorrilla is impressive – 28:10. Eldense have been poor on the road – especially recently. They have lost four away games in a row – allowing a total of 11 goals in these matches. They are usually too passive on the road – lacking confidence to keep the ball in an attempt to build promising scoring chances. Valladilid have a fine 55 points in their pocket and have a genuine chance of taking 2nd place. However, Elche, in 7th place, are only two points behind.. The teams that finish 3-6th will compete for a place in LaLiga for next season. The top-2 are promoted directly. Valladolid's offense sometimes lacks speed and creativity compared to Espanyol (2nd place) and Eibar in 3rd place. The hosts have netted the ball "only'' 40 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is still 45.33. Valladolid were relegated from the LaLiga to this level for this season and have a very strong squad by the LaLiga2 standards. They are the much bigger team here in terms of players' estimated market value – according to a well-known and respected German website. Transfermark.com. Indeed, their squad is valued at around 40 million euros. The Eldense squad, on the other hand, is valued at only about 10 million. In my expert opinion both numbers are fair.

Valladolid have allowed 31 goals and have a gigantic edge over the visitors in terms of defensive quality. The Eldense defence has a poor structure and silly individual mistakes are common. They have conceded 49 goals. Only the two rock-bottom teams Albacete and Villarreal have allowed more goals. Eldense's offense is not totally useless and they have scored 41 goals in LaLiga2. Their number of xG is only 35.66 though. Eldense have been in awful form recently and even a point from this match would be a surprise – unless they will turn out to be very lucky. Odds of around 1.70 are widely available on the home win at the time of posting. We will gladly take these odds with a 65.50% chance of winning - once again! Eldense have lost four of their last five games and are low in confidence at the moment. In their last game they faced Andorra at home as solid favourites according to the bookies but lost 0-2. They did not play terribly as a whole but most of their attacks were too slow and predictable. They generated only 0.51 in xG – the visitors managed 1.22. Before this they faced Eibar on the road and got humiliated. Their defence seemed to be a total "mess"! Eibar generated 3.31 in xG. In round 32 they faced Racing Santander away from home and lost 1-2 despite the hosts playing clearly below their normal level. Valladolid have won two of their last games. In their last game they beat Cartagena 2-0 away from home despite not being even close to their best offensively. Cartagena also played better than usual - Valladolid generated only a little more in xG. Before this Valladolid faced Levante, a dangerous team, at home and would have deserved a narrow win. However, it was a 0-0 draw. Valladolid had 59% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, shots, corner kicks attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 52-33. They also generated much more in xG than Levante – 0.79-0.32. In round 32 Valladolid easily beat Eibar 3-1 at home, recording 19 goal attempts – the visitors managed four. Eibar's J. Berrocal was sent off in the first half though.

巴利亚多利德VS埃尔登塞

北京时间周日凌晨，巴利亚多利德主场迎战西班牙甲级联赛第35轮的埃尔登塞。这是世界上第四好的二线球队。足球爱好者和我们这些抱着长远利益的严肃投注者，可以期待一场以联赛标准来看质量一般的比赛。我希望东道主从开球开始就对客队漏洞百出的防线施加压力。最重要的是，我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个很有希望的投注机会!我们已经连续五次赌这个联赛赢了!巴利亚多利德正在经历一个非常强劲的赛季——正如我在赛季开始前所预料的那样!然而，在本赛季剩下的时间里，他们仍然可以提高。他们在主场的表现非常强劲，在主场取得了联赛第二高的成绩。他们在佐拉球场的比分差距令人印象深刻——28:10。埃尔登塞人在路上一直很穷，尤其是最近。他们已经连续输掉了4场客场比赛，在这些比赛中总共丢了11个球。他们在客场通常过于被动，缺乏控球的信心来创造有希望的得分机会。巴利亚迪利德拿到了55分，他们很有可能获得第二名。然而，排名第七的埃尔切只落后两分。排名第3-6的球队将在下赛季争夺西甲联赛的席位。前2名直接晋升。与排名第二的西班牙人和排名第三的埃巴尔相比，巴利亚多利德的进攻有时缺乏速度和创造力。东道主“只有”打进40球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)仍然是45.33。巴利亚多利德本赛季从西甲降级到这个级别，按照西甲的标准，他们拥有一支非常强大的球队。根据一家知名且受人尊敬的德国网站，就球员的估计市场价值而言，他们是一支更大的球队。Transfermark.com。事实上，他们的阵容价值约为4000万欧元。另一方面，埃尔登塞队的价值仅为1000万欧元左右。在我看来，这两个数字都是公平的。

巴利亚多利德已经丢了31个球，在防守质量上比客队有很大的优势。埃尔登塞的防守结构很差，个人愚蠢的失误很常见。他们已经丢了49个球。只有两支垫底的球队阿尔巴塞特和比利亚雷亚尔丢了更多的球。埃尔登塞的进攻也不是一无是处，他们在西甲打进了41球。但他们的xG数只有35.66。埃尔登塞最近的状态很糟糕，即使从这场比赛中得到一分也会是一个惊喜——除非他们非常幸运。在发布时，主场获胜的赔率约为1.70。我们将很高兴以65.50%的机会再一次获胜!埃尔登塞在最近的五场比赛中输掉了四场，现在他们的信心很低。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场面对安道尔，根据博彩公司的说法，他们是最受欢迎的，但却以0比2输掉了比赛。他们的整体表现并不糟糕，但他们的大部分进攻都太慢了，而且是可预测的。他们在xG中只产生了0.51，而客队则产生了1.22。在此之前，他们在路上遇到了Eibar，并受到了羞辱。他们的防守似乎完全“一团糟”!Eibar在xG中生成3.31。在第32轮比赛中，他们在客场面对桑坦德竞技，尽管东道主的表现明显低于他们的正常水平，但他们还是以1比2输掉了比赛。巴利亚多利德在最近的比赛中赢了两场。在上一场比赛中，他们客场2-0击败了卡塔赫纳，尽管他们的进攻还没有达到最佳状态。卡塔赫纳的表现也比平时好，巴利亚多利德的射门只多了一点点。在此之前，巴利亚多利德在主场面对的是一支危险的球队莱万特，他们本应以微弱优势取胜。然而，这是一场0-0的平局。巴利亚多利德有59%的控球率，并且有更多的进球尝试、射门、角球进攻和特别危险的进攻——52比33。他们在xG的产出也比Levante高得多——0.79-0.32。在第32轮比赛中，巴利亚多利德主场3-1轻松击败了埃巴尔，全场19次进球，而客队只有4次。埃巴尔的贝罗卡尔在上半场被罚下。