Sporting Gijon VS FC Cartagena

Gijon welcome Cartagena for this Spanish LaLiga 2 round 35 battle at Estadio El Molinón late Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the 4th-best second tier on the planet. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of mediocre quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly my fans and I have yet another promising betting opportunity here! We have won five picks in a row betting on this league! Gijon are having a pretty strong season - much better than last season when they ended up in 17th place - after being rumored to have some internal problems. They were, however, also very unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) last season. They currently occupy the 8th place in the standings and have a fine 52 points in their pocket. Their number of xPTS is somewhat higher. They have a genuine chance of making it to the Promotion Playoffs! The teams that finish 3-6th will compete for a place in LaLiga for next season. The top-2 are promoted directly. Gijon are currently only one point behind Racing Santander, currently in 6th place. They must be very motivated for a win in front of their loud and loyal fans! They have netted the ball 41 times and have conceded 33 goals. They have been a little unlucky in terms of expected goals (xG). In terms of expected goals allowed (xGA) they have been marginally lucky. Indeed, they have allowed less goals than Espanyol, a big team for this level who are currently in 2nd place. Even so, it is hard to write anything very negative about the hosts' defence. Perhaps their midfielders could sometimes be a little more active in defending – especially when they have a lead by a margin of one goal late into the second half. Gijon are the much bigger team here in terms of players' estimated market value – according to a well-known and respected German website. Transfermark.com. Indeed, their squad is valued at around 30 million euros. The Cartagena squad, on the other hand, is valued at only about 10 million. In my expert opinion both numbers are more or less correct.

Odds of around 1.75 on the home win are widely available at the time of writing this preview Saturday morning Beijing time. This is definitely too high. The hosts have a clear edge over Cartagena in all areas of the game and have a 62.50% chance to send the visitors home empty-handed. Gijon have not been in terrific form recently – at least results-wise. They have won two of their last five games. However, they have had quite a lot of bad luck in a few games lately. In their last game they did beat Mirandes 3-1 away from as solid underdogs - priced around 3.40 to win on the betting market. They had 59% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts and shots off goal than the hosts. Both teams had three shots on target. Before this they were unlucky to lose to Racing Santander 2-3 at home. Gijon had many more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off goal as well as attacks. They also generated more in xG – 1.78-1.15 to be precise. Cartagena are having a lame season and are in 16th place in this league with a total of 22 clubs. They do, however, seem to probably be safe from relegation. They have grabbed 39 points but their number of xPTS is only 36.76. They have taken a decent number of points lately but have also had some luck on their side. In their last game they lost to Valladolid 0-2 at home despite playing okay as a whole. Before this they were lucky to get even a point away from home against Leganes. Cartagena had only one shot on goal and generated a pathetic 0.13 in xG. Leganes were not at their best in this game and no goals were scored in the end. In round 32 Cartagena took a very lucky win over a quite limited team, Andorra, 1-0 at home. Indeed, the visitors, despite being the underdogs according to the bookies, had a whopping 68% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (20-6), shots off goal (11-1), attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 86-33. They also generated much more in xG than poor Cartagena – 1.75- 0.55.

希洪竞技VS卡塔赫纳

北京时间周六晚，希洪将在西班牙西甲联赛第35轮主场Molinón球场迎战卡塔赫纳。这是世界上排名第四的第二梯队。足球爱好者和我们这些抱着长远利益的严肃投注者，可以期待一场以联赛标准来看质量一般的比赛。最重要的是，我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个很有希望的投注机会!我们已经连续五次赌这个联赛赢了!希洪本赛季的表现相当强劲，比上个赛季的第17名要好得多，当时有传言说他们有一些内部问题。然而，他们上赛季的期望积分(xPTS)也非常不走运。他们目前在积分榜上排名第8，并且已经拿到了52分。它们的xpt数量要高一些。他们有真正的机会进入季后赛!排名第3-6的球队将在下赛季争夺西甲联赛的席位。前2名直接晋升。希洪目前只落后桑坦德一分，目前排名第六。他们一定很有动力在他们忠实的球迷面前赢得比赛!他们打进41球，丢了33球。他们在预期进球方面有点不走运。在预期进球方面(xGA)，他们还算幸运。事实上，他们丢的球比西班牙人少，西班牙人是这个级别的一支强队，目前排名第二。即便如此，我们也很难对东道主的防守做出任何负面评价。也许他们的中场有时可以在防守上更积极一点——特别是当他们在下半场最后阶段领先一球的时候。根据一家知名的德国网站的数据，希洪在球员的市场价值方面要大得多。Transfermark.com。事实上，他们的阵容价值约为3000万欧元。另一方面，卡塔赫纳队的价值仅为1000万欧元左右。在我的专家看来，这两个数字或多或少是正确的。

在北京时间周六上午撰写这篇预告时，主场获胜的赔率约为1.75。这确实太高了。东道主在比赛的各个方面都明显领先卡塔赫纳，有62.50%的机会让客队空手而归。希洪最近的状态不是很好——至少在成绩方面。他们在最近五场比赛中赢了两场。然而，他们在最近的几场比赛中运气不太好。在上一场比赛中，他们在客场3-1击败了米兰德斯，尽管米兰德斯在博彩市场上的胜率约为3.40。他们有59%的控球率，进球次数和射门次数都比东道主多。两队都有三次射正。在此之前，他们不幸在主场以2-3输给了桑坦德竞技。希洪有更多的进球尝试，射门，射门以及进攻。他们在xG - 1.78-1.15中也产生了更多。卡塔赫纳本赛季表现不佳，在联赛中排名第16位，总共有22家俱乐部。然而，他们似乎很可能不会降级。他们拿到了39分，但是他们的得分只有36.76分。他们最近拿到了相当多的积分，但也有一些运气在他们这边。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场0-2输给了巴利亚多利德，尽管他们整体表现还不错。在此之前，他们很幸运地在客场对阵莱加内斯的比赛中拿到了一分。卡塔赫纳只有一次射门，射门命中率只有可怜的0.13。莱加内斯在这场比赛中没有发挥出最佳状态，最后没有进球。在第32轮比赛中，卡塔赫纳非常幸运地在主场1-0战胜了实力相当有限的安道尔。事实上，尽管根据博彩公司的数据，客队处于劣势，但他们的控球率高达68%，进球次数(20胜6负)、射偏(11胜1负)、进攻尤其是危险进攻(86胜33负)也更多。他们在xG的得分也比贫穷的卡塔赫纳高得多——1.75比0.55。