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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A GREAT match to bet on! $$$

2024-04-11

比赛分析

欧罗巴

已完赛

星期五2024-04-12 03:00

解读理由

Liverpool VS Atalanta


Liverpool welcome Atalanta for this UEFA Europa League quarter-finals 1st leg battle at Anfield early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest of UEFA's club competitions, after the Champions League of course. The stakes are big between these two teams. Not every major team prioritize this in the group stage – and rotate the squad - but at this phase of the competition all teams usually are usually fully motivated. Liverpool's legendary coach, Jurgen Klopp, fielded a pretty strong group in the first leg against Sparta Prague in the last round. In the second leg, Klopp picked more or less his best squad – to many fans' and bettors' surprise. Atalanta are a pretty big team but only Liverpool are world-class at the moment! They are only marginally worse than Manchester City and Arsenal but pure class at the moment. Once again I need to mention that the English Premier League is clearly the best league on the planet. The Italian Serie A where Atalanta play is the 4th-best league in the world. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of good quality by this league's standards here. However, I expect Liverpool to be pretty dominant here for the most of the 90 minutes of play. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity to increase the hot streak of 6/7 last picks won! I will be posting many more picks on big games during the next 2-10 hours. I expect Liverpool to put huge pressure on the visitors' defence. The Atalanta defence is not bad but they very rarely face opponents even close to Liverpool's caliber. Liverpool are a stunningly strong team at Anfield and extremely rarely lose games in front of their fans who are among the best in the world. Even Manchester City, the best team on the planet, usually fail to win at Anfield! Liverpool have won 10/11 of their last games at Anfield, most of these 10 games by a margin of more than two goals. I expect them to aim at taking a clear win at home - leaving them an opportunity to do some squad rotation in the second leg in Italy. Liverpool are, after all, in a fierce battle for the Premier League championship with Arsenal and Manchester City. Liverpool are currently in 2nd place with a fine 71 points to their account. Arsenal, too, have taken 71 points – Man City have grabbed 70 points. Liverpool have scored a fine 71 goals in the Premier League and their number of expected goals (xG) is the highest in this league. Odds of around 1.90 are widely available on the Liverpool -1.5 goals handicap option. This is too high and I'm happy to take these odds!

Klopp will quit at Liverpool after this season and after the news was released I was unsure as to how this would affect the team. However, Liverpool have improved after Klopp told the players and media about his decision. Many Liverpool players have publicly said that they "want to play for Klopp" and win everything possible! Their team spirit seems to be excellent at the moment. Liverpool have been in strong form recently winning 10/13 of their last matches. In their last game they faced Manchester United who are in 6th place in the Premier League. It was an away game and the final score was 2-2. Liverpool should have won this game by a margin of two goals but wasted many huge scoring opportunities. They recorded a whopping 28 goal attempts. They generated a stunning 4.43 in xG – the hosts managed only 0.67. Before this they comfortably defeated Sheffield United 3-1 at home. Liverpool recorded 29 goal attempts in this clash. On the last of March they beat Brighton, who are not a bad team at all, 2-1 at home. In this game they recorded 30 goal attempts. The xG numbers were 3.12-0.43. Indeed, Liverpool have massive offensive power with the likes of Salah, Nunez and Diaz. They also have extremely skilled midfielders. Defensively they are, in all honesty, not as good as Arsenal or Manchester City. However, even their defence is much better than Atalanta's! The Italian visitors have not been in good form result-wise recently and have been in decline in terms of performances on the pitch.. They have won only three of their last 10 matches and have been lame offensively in many games lately. They have now lost two games in a row. In their last game they lost to a pretty limited team, Cagliari, 1-2 on the road as clear favourites – priced around 1.75 on the betting market. The hosts even recorded more goal attempts (11-7), shots on goal and shots off target. Moreover, they generated more than Atalanta in xG - 0.77-0.55. Before this they were disappointing and lost to Fiorentina, currently in 10th place in the Serie A, 0-1. It was a Coppa Italia (Italian Cup) semi-finals 1st leg battle. Fiorentina recorded more goal attempts (20-10), shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. The xG numbers were 1.33-0.33. Atalanta are currently in 6th place in the Serie A with 50 points to their account. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is lower though – 47.67 to be precise. According to Transfermarkt.com, a well-known German website, Liverpool are the much bigger team here. Their squad has an estimated total market of over 900 million euros. The Atalanta players are valued at close to 350 million but this is clearly too high in my expert opinion. Liverpool swept past Sparta Prague in the last round 12-1 on aggregate. Yes, they were big favourites to do so but Sparta Prague, a Czech team are not a bad team by any means. At home Liverpool won 6-1! Atalanta qualified over Sporting CP, a Portuguese team, 3-2 on aggregate. Both legs were pretty balanced as a whole.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

利物浦VS亚特兰大


北京时间周五凌晨,利物浦将在安菲尔德球场迎来亚特兰大的欧联杯1 / 4决赛首回合大战。这是欧足联第二高的俱乐部比赛,当然仅次于冠军联赛。这两个队之间的利害关系很大。并不是所有的主要球队都在小组赛阶段优先考虑这个问题,并且轮换阵容,但在这个阶段,所有的球队通常都是充满动力的。利物浦的传奇教练尤尔根·克洛普在上一轮对阵布拉格斯巴达的首回合中派出了一支相当强大的队伍。在第二回合比赛中,克洛普挑选了他最好的阵容,这让许多球迷和投注者感到惊讶。亚特兰大是一支相当强大的球队,但目前只有利物浦是世界级的!他们只比曼城和阿森纳差一点点,但现在是一流的。我需要再次提到的是,英超联赛显然是这个星球上最好的联赛。亚特兰大队所在的意甲联赛是世界上排名第四的联赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的高质量比赛。然而,我希望利物浦在90分钟的比赛中占据统治地位。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有希望的投注机会,以增加6/7的连胜纪录!在接下来的2-10小时内,我将发布更多关于大型比赛的精选。我希望利物浦能给客队的后防线施加巨大的压力。亚特兰大的防守还不错,但是他们很少面对像利物浦这样水平的对手。利物浦在安菲尔德是一支非常强大的球队,很少在世界上最好的球迷面前输掉比赛。即使是曼城,这个星球上最好的球队,也经常无法在安菲尔德取胜!利物浦最近在安菲尔德的比赛中取得了10胜11负的战绩,这10场比赛中大多数都以2球以上的优势取胜。我希望他们的目标是在主场取得一场明显的胜利,这样他们就有机会在第二回合对意大利的比赛中进行阵容轮换。毕竟,利物浦正在与阿森纳和曼城争夺英超冠军。利物浦目前以71分的罚分排名第二。阿森纳也拿到了71分,曼城拿到了70分。利物浦在英超联赛中打进了71球,他们的预期进球数(xG)是联赛中最高的。利物浦-1.5个进球障碍选项的赔率约为1.90。这太高了,我很乐意接受这个机会!

克洛普将在本赛季后离开利物浦,在消息公布后,我不确定这将对球队产生怎样的影响。然而,在克洛普告诉球员和媒体他的决定后,利物浦已经有所改善。许多利物浦球员公开表示,他们“想为克洛普效力”,并赢得一切可能的胜利!此刻他们的团队精神似乎非常出色。利物浦最近的状态很好,他们在最近的比赛中取得了10胜13负。在上一场比赛中,他们面对的是排名英超第六的曼联。这是一场客场比赛,最终比分是2比2。利物浦本应该以两球的优势赢得这场比赛,但却浪费了很多绝佳的得分机会。他们射门次数高达28次。他们在xG中创造了惊人的4.43分,而东道主只创造了0.67分。在此之前,他们在主场3-1轻松击败谢菲尔德联队。利物浦在这场比赛中有29次射门。三月底,他们在主场2-1击败了布莱顿,这支球队一点也不差。在这场比赛中,他们有30次射门。xG值为3.12 ~ 0.43。事实上,利物浦拥有像萨拉赫、努涅斯和迪亚兹这样的球员,拥有强大的进攻力量。他们也有技术高超的中场球员。老实说,他们的防守不如阿森纳和曼城。然而,即使是他们的防守也比亚特兰大强得多!意大利客队最近表现不佳,在球场上的表现也有所下降。他们在最近的10场比赛中只赢了3场,而且在最近的许多比赛中进攻都很差劲。他们已经连输两场了。在上一场比赛中,他们输给了实力相当有限的球队卡利亚里(Cagliari),客场1-2的比分被认为是最受欢迎的球队,在博彩市场上的价格约为1.75。东道主的进球次数(11胜7负)、射正和射偏次数都更多。此外,他们在xG - 0.77-0.55的产量超过亚特兰大。在此之前,他们的表现令人失望,并以0比1输给了目前意甲排名第十的佛罗伦萨。这是一场意大利杯半决赛首回合的比赛。佛罗伦萨没有记录

射门次数(20胜10负)、射正、射偏、角球、进攻和危险进攻。xG值为1.33 ~ 0.33。亚特兰大目前在意甲排名第六,积分榜上有50分。他们的期望值(xPTS)更低,准确地说是47.67。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,利物浦在这里的实力要大得多。据估计,他们的总市场价值超过9亿欧元。亚特兰大球员的价值接近3.5亿美元,但在我的专家看来,这显然太高了。在上一轮比赛中,利物浦以总比分12比1横扫布拉格斯巴达队。是的,他们是夺冠的大热门,但是布拉格斯巴达,一支捷克球队无论如何都不是一支糟糕的球队。在主场,利物浦以6比1获胜!亚特兰大以总比分3-2击败葡萄牙的Sporting CP出线。两条腿整体上都很平衡。

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