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Who is favorite in Conference League? 欧协联 维拉VS里尔

2024-04-11

比赛分析

欧协联

已完赛

星期五2024-04-12 03:00

解读理由

Aston Villa is in my opinion the main title contender.

After setting a record of 25 top-flight victories this calendar year with a total tally of 85 points in 2023, bettered only by Manchester City's 93, Villa saw in the New Year joint-top of the Premier League table. This is the 16th consecutive season Emery has managed in Europe and he is one of the seven managers who have won four or more European trophies in history, so he has a lot of experience for this kind of games.

They are performing very well this season and undoubtedly the surprise of the Premier League. Surprise because nobody expected them to be in the TOP4, but they are deservedly in that fight with Tottenham.

With 11 points advantage with 6th (Manchester United), they can also focus on the Conference League, a title they can win because they are undoubtedly the best team for me.

Villa manager Unai Emery is likely to field a strong starting eleven, despite the absence of several key players due to injuries. Jacob Ramsey, Matty Cash, Tyrone Mings, Boubacar Kamara, and Emiliano Buendia are all set to miss the crucial tie.

They made a very strong group stage, qualifying directly to the ⅛ finals and easily beating Ajax in the second home game (4:0) after drawing 0:0 in the first leg.

Aston Villa has a great squad, coach, and several players in top form. They are creating plenty of chances and scoring goals easily, mainly thanks to their topscorer Watkins who has scored 18 goals and gave 10 assists in the PL, whilst in Conference League has scored 6 in 8 games. However, he is not the only danger in this team. Other players like Moussa Diaby, Bailey, Douglas Luiz or McGinn are contributing with goals and assists this season. Definitely are a team who can generate chances from different situations and players.

On the other hand, Lille is also performing well this season in the Ligue 1, sitting 4th and fighting for the TOP3 (UCL) with Monaco and Brest, who are three and four points above respectively.

They had an easy group stage where they finished as unbeaten leaders whilst the ⅛ finals were played against a weak team like Sturm Graz from Austria.

However, the away games have been a concern for them. In the Ligue 1 they are the 9th best away team, with only 3 victories in 14 games.

Although they have quality in their squad and a key player like Jonathan David, who has scored 16 goals in the Ligue 1, i see their squad with less quality than Aston Villa. Edon Zhegrova, Lille's in-form winger who recently scored a brace against Lens, could also prove to be a handful for Villa's defence.

They’ll play this fixture without Samuel Umtiti and the new signing Andrej Ilic. Angel Gomes (6 assists so far) is doubtful.

This match has all the makings of a closely fought battle, with both teams possessing quality in attack and a desire to progress in the competition. Aston Villa's home advantage and Unai Emery's European experience could give them a slight edge, but Lille's defensive resilience and attacking flair cannot be underestimated. A hard-fought win for Villa seems like a plausible outcome for me, setting the stage for an intriguing second leg in France.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

阿斯顿维拉在我看来是冠军的主要竞争者。

比利亚在2023年创造了25场顶级联赛胜利的纪录,总积分为85分,仅次于曼城的93分,在新的一年里,比利亚在英超积分榜上并列榜首。这是埃梅里连续第16个赛季在欧洲执教,他是历史上赢得4个或更多欧洲冠军的7位教练之一,所以他对这种比赛有很多经验。

他们本赛季表现非常出色,毫无疑问是英超的惊喜。令人惊讶是因为没有人预料到他们会进入TOP4,但他们在与热刺的战斗中当之无愧。

与第6名曼联相比,他们有11分的优势,他们也可以专注于联盟联赛,他们可以赢得这个冠军,因为对我来说,他们无疑是最好的球队。

维拉主帅埃梅里可能会派出强大的11人首发阵容,尽管几名主力球员因伤缺阵。拉姆齐、卡什、明斯、卡马拉和布恩迪亚都将缺席这场关键的比赛。

他们在小组赛中表现非常出色,直接晋级决赛,在首回合0:0战平阿贾克斯之后,在第二场主场比赛中轻松击败阿贾克斯(4:0)。

阿斯顿维拉有一个伟大的阵容,教练,和几个球员在最佳状态。他们创造了大量的机会并轻松进球,这主要归功于他们的头号射手沃特金斯,他在英超联赛中打进18球并送出10次助攻,而在联盟联赛中,他在8场比赛中打进6球。然而,他并不是这支球队唯一的威胁。其他球员如穆萨·迪亚比、贝利、道格拉斯·路易斯和麦克金本赛季也贡献了进球和助攻。毫无疑问,这是一支可以从不同的情况和球员身上创造机会的球队。

另一方面,里尔本赛季在法甲联赛中也表现出色,排名第四,与分别领先3分和4分的摩纳哥和布雷斯特一起争夺冠军杯前3名。

他们在小组赛中轻松过关,以不败领先者的身份结束了比赛,而在决赛中对阵的是一支实力较弱的球队,比如奥地利的格拉茨风暴队。

然而,客场比赛对他们来说是一个问题。在法甲联赛中,他们是排名第九的客场球队,在14场比赛中只取得了3场胜利。

虽然他们的阵容很有实力,而且有像乔纳森·大卫这样在法甲打进16球的关键球员,但我认为他们的阵容不如阿斯顿维拉。莱尔状态良好的边锋哲格罗瓦最近在对阵朗斯的比赛中打进两球,他也可能成为维拉后防线的一大障碍。

他们将在没有乌姆蒂蒂和新援伊利奇的情况下进行比赛。安吉尔·戈麦斯(目前6次助攻)能否上场值得怀疑。

这场比赛是一场势均力敌的比赛,两支球队在进攻方面都很有实力,而且都渴望在比赛中取得进步。阿斯顿维拉的主场优势和乌奈埃梅里的欧洲经验可能会给他们带来一点优势,但里尔的防守弹性和进攻天赋不容小觑。对我来说,维拉一场来之不易的胜利似乎是一个合理的结果,为在法国的第二回合比赛奠定了基础。

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