In my opinion Barcelona has a really good chance to at least avoid loss in today's match. I see good value on the away side.

Barcelona raised the bar in last week's, no doubt about that. Since end of the January they played 11 matches in all competitions and not recorded even a single loss. Team confidence for sure is on the highest possible level.

I believe Barcelona have all the required tools to score at least one goal in today's game. Top striker Lewandowski is in very good form in 2024. He scored in both matches against Napoli in previous round. On the other, PSG defensive formation is not convincing at all. According to the expected goals conceded model, even in poor Ligue1 they are not top4. PSG failed to keep clean sheet in 5 of last 7 matches in all competitions. In addition to that, today they are without key right back Hakimi.

Obviously, Mbappe is the biggest offensive star of PSG, but this is last season for him and in those circumstances I'm not 100% sure about him and it's hard to expect spectacular things. On top of that Barcelona currently is rock-solid and super consistent at the back. They conceded only one goal in last 6 matches in all competitions (!!!). I don't see easy goals for hosts here.

Odds on hosts are simply too low. Double chance on Barcelona looks like excellent option to play.

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

在我看来，巴萨在今天的比赛中至少有很好的机会避免输球。我认为这很有价值。

巴塞罗那在上周的比赛中提高了标准，这是毫无疑问的。自1月底以来，他们在各项赛事中打了11场比赛，没有一场失利。团队的信心肯定处于最高水平。

我相信巴萨拥有在今天的比赛中至少进一个球所需要的一切条件。顶级前锋莱万多夫斯基在2024年的状态非常好。他在上一轮对那不勒斯的两场比赛中都有进球。另一方面，巴黎圣日耳曼的防守阵型一点也不令人信服。根据预期失球模型，即使在糟糕的法甲，他们也不是前四名。巴黎圣日耳曼最近7场比赛中有5场没有保持零封。除此之外，今天他们缺少了关键的右后卫哈基米。

显然，姆巴佩是巴黎圣日耳曼最伟大的进攻明星，但这是他的最后一个赛季，在这种情况下，我对他不是百分之百的肯定，很难期待他会有精彩的表现。除此之外，巴萨目前在后防线上坚如磐石，而且超级稳定。在所有比赛的最后6场比赛中，他们只丢了一个球(!!)我不认为东道主能轻松进球。

东道主的几率实在太低了。对巴萨的双重机会看起来是个不错的选择。

04月11日巴黎圣日尔曼 VS 巴塞罗那比赛分析直播