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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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We are very HOT! $$$ 欧冠 皇马VS曼城

2024-04-09

比赛分析

欧冠

已完赛

星期三2024-04-10 03:00

解读理由

Real Madrid VS Manchester City


Real Madrid welcome Manchester City for this UEFA Champions League quarter-finals first leg clash at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu early Wednesday morning Beijing time. The stakes are massive between these two world-class teams. Football fans us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of elite quality here. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity to increase the hot streak of five consecutive wins! In this league we have won 7/9 last picks! Manchester City are the reigning European champions but Real Madrid lifted the trophy in 2022 and are the most successful club in the history of the competition. They very often raise their level in the (high-stakes) Champions League. Last season Manchester City defeated them in the semifinals but at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu the first leg was a 1-1 draw and Real Madrid recorded more goal attempts and a little more in expected goals (xG) – 0.88-0.73. In 2022 Real Madrid beat Manchester City 3-1 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in the semi-finals second leg and qualified 6-5 on aggregate. Both teams still have a lot of players from the 2022 teams but Real look much stronger than 2022 and Man City seem to be slightly weaker than two years ago.. Man City are currently in 3rd place in the English Premier League, the best league in the world. They are one point behind Arsenal and Liverpool. Manc City have taken 71 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is "only" 66.65. Real Madrid, on the other hand, have dominated the Spanish LaLiga this season and top the standings with a whopping 75 points in their pocket. Their goal difference is excellent – 66:20. Moreover, they have lost just one game in LaLiga this season. Furthermore, at home they have won 13/15 games and their score difference in these 15 games is amazingly good – 37:7! Real Madrid have not lost a game at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu - in front of very enthusiastic and demanding fans - for a very long time! The home advantage in international club games is often even a bit bigger than the bookies and recreational bettors realize – this is the case here as well. Yes, by pure class Manchester City are the best team on the planet but their edge over Arsenal, Liverpool and Real Madrid is narrow.

The biggest bookies who accept the biggest bets from customers see Man City as favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.45 to win. This is, based on my in-depth, strongly data-based analysis, incorrect! The Real +0.5 goals handicap is the professional bettor's choice here! Neither team have lost any of their last 10 games. Furthermore, both have won three of their last five matches. The hosts comfortably defeated Athletic Bilbao, a dangerous team who currently occupy the 5th place in the standings. 2-0 was the final score. Real Madrid generated 1.33 in xG – Bilbao's number was 0.28. Before this they swept past Osasuna 4-2 away from home generating over 3.00 in xG - the hosts managed only 0.55. In round 28 of LaLiga "Los Blancos" crushed Celta Vigo, who are not a bad team, 4-0 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. They generated a whopping 25 goal attempts and recorded 13 shots on goal. The visitors managed only one shot on target. The xG numbers were 3.21-0.55. Before this they were far from their best but did what was necessary – it was a 1-1 draw at home in the Champions League 2nd leg. Leipzig, a young and fearless team, played better than usual - except for taking advantage of their scoring chances.. Los Blancos did not panic under surprisingly heavy pressure from Leipzig - proving their class and mental strength. They qualified 2-1 on aggregate. Real Madrid played their last game on the last of March so they have had over a week to rest and prepare for this game! Man City played two Premier League games last week – their coach Pep Guardiola did not like this, of course, as he realises that Real has a clear edge in terms of preparation.. Man City beat Crystal Palace 4-2 away from home in their last game. Yes, they deserved the win but did not fully convince me. The xG numbers were 1.55-1.98 in City's favour. Before this they easily beat Aston Villa 4-1 at home – the xG numbers were 2.65-1.02. I want to mention that Aston Villa played below their normal level in this game. In round 30 of the Premier League Man City welcomed Arsenal and the two teams played a very high-level but extremely defensive game at Etihad Stadium. Man City only recorded one shot on goal – Arsenal managed two. Either team could have won this clash but the hosts did generate a little more in xG. Man City were priced around 2.00 to win on the betting market at the time of kickoff. Man City will be without the important Walker (thigh injury). Ake is also out – Gvardiol's situation is questionable at the time of posting. The hosts will be without Courtois and Alaba. The Real players to watch closely include especially the young but ultra-dangerous Englishman Jude Bellingham and Vinicius Jr. - of the city players the in-form Phil Foden,23, and Kevin De Bruyne will surely be dangerous here. Foden scored three goals against Aston Villa. Both teams have an elite coach - Ancelotti and Guardiola. I see both managers as equally good. Pep might be a little better in terms of tactics but Ancelotti's record in big Champions League matches is excellent. He is an excellent leader with motivator!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

皇家马德里VS曼城


北京时间周三凌晨,皇马将在伯纳巴乌球场迎来与曼城的欧冠1 / 4决赛首回合交锋。这两支世界级球队之间的利害关系是巨大的。球迷们,我们这些严肃的、追逐利润的投注者,可以期待一场高质量的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的投注机会来增加五连胜的势头!在这个联赛中,我们赢得了7胜9负!曼城是卫冕欧洲冠军,但皇家马德里在2022年举起了奖杯,是这项赛事历史上最成功的俱乐部。他们经常在(高风险的)欧冠联赛中提高自己的水平。上个赛季,曼城在半决赛中击败了他们,但在圣地亚哥伯纳巴姆乌球场,首回合是1-1战平,皇马的进球次数更多,预期进球(xG)略高(0.88-0.73)。2022年世界杯半决赛次回合,皇马在圣地亚哥伯纳巴乌球场3-1击败曼城,总比分6-5晋级。两支球队仍然有很多来自2022年的球员,但皇马看起来比2022年强得多,曼城似乎比两年前弱一些。曼城目前在世界上最好的联赛——英超联赛中排名第三。他们落后阿森纳和利物浦一分。曼城虽然拿到了71分,但他们的预期积分(xPTS)“只有”66.65分。另一方面,皇家马德里本赛季统治了西甲联赛,并以高达75分的积分排名第一。他们的净胜球非常好——66:20。此外,他们本赛季在西甲只输了一场比赛。此外,他们在主场赢了13/15场比赛,他们在这15场比赛中的比分差距惊人地大——37:7!皇马已经很长一段时间没有在圣地亚哥伯纳姆萨乌球场输过一场比赛了——在非常热情和苛刻的球迷面前!在国际俱乐部比赛中,主场优势往往比博彩公司和娱乐投注者意识到的要大一点——这里的情况也是如此。是的,从纯粹的等级来看,曼城是这个星球上最好的球队,但他们对阿森纳、利物浦和皇马的优势很小。

接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司认为曼城是最受欢迎的球队,他们提供的赔率约为2.45。这是,基于我深入的,强有力的数据分析,不正确的!真正的+0.5进球障碍是专业投注者的选择!两队在最近10场比赛中都没有输过一场。此外,两队在最近五场比赛中都取得了三场胜利。东道主轻松击败了毕尔巴鄂竞技,这是一支目前排名第五的危险球队。2比0是最后的比分。皇马在本赛季打进1.33球,毕尔巴鄂打进0.28球。在此之前,他们客场4-2横扫奥萨苏纳,全场净胜球超过3.00,而东道主只打进0.55球。在西甲联赛的第28轮,“白衣军团”在圣地亚哥伯纳巴姆乌球场以4比0击败了实力不俗的维戈塞尔塔。他们创造了惊人的25次进球尝试,并记录了13次射门。客队只射正了一球。xG值为3.21 ~ 0.55。在此之前,他们远没有达到最佳状态,但他们做了必要的事情——在欧冠第二回合主场1-1战平。莱比锡是一支年轻而无畏的球队,他们踢得比平时好——除了没有抓住进球的机会。在莱比锡的重压下,白衣军团并没有惊慌失措,这证明了他们的水平和精神力量。他们总比分2比1晋级。皇马的最后一场比赛是在三月底,所以他们有一个多星期的时间来休息和准备这场比赛!曼城上周踢了两场英超比赛——他们的教练瓜迪奥拉当然不喜欢这样,因为他意识到皇马在准备方面有明显的优势。在上一场比赛中,曼城客场4-2击败水晶宫。是的,他们理应赢得这场胜利,但并没有完全说服我。xG的比分是1.55比1.98,对曼城有利。在此之前,他们在主场以4比1轻松击败阿斯顿维拉,比分是2.65比1.02。我想说的是,阿斯顿维拉在这场比赛中的表现低于他们的正常水平。在英超联赛第30轮,曼城迎来了阿森纳,两支球队在阿提哈德球场进行了一场高水平但非常防守的比赛。曼城只有1次射门,而阿森纳有2次射门。任何一支球队都有可能赢得这场比赛,但东道主在比赛中确实创造了更多的机会。开球时,曼城在博彩市场上的胜率是2英镑左右。曼城将成为

没有重要的沃克(大腿受伤)。阿克也出局了——格瓦迪奥的情况在这篇文章发表的时候是值得怀疑的。东道主将没有库尔图瓦和阿拉巴。值得密切关注的皇马球员包括年轻但非常危险的英国人裘德·贝灵汉和小维尼休斯。在曼城球员中,状态良好的23岁的菲尔·福登和凯文·德布鲁因在这里肯定是危险的。福登在对阿斯顿维拉的比赛中进了三个球。两支球队都有一个精英教练——安切洛蒂和瓜迪奥拉。我认为两位经理同样优秀。佩普也许在战术上更胜一筹,但安切洛蒂在欧冠大赛中的记录非常出色。他是一个很有进取心的优秀领导!

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