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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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9/11 last picks WON! $$$ 德乙 杜塞多夫VS不伦瑞克

2024-04-07

比赛分析

主队杜塞多夫LOGO

杜塞多夫

德乙

已完赛

星期日2024-04-07 19:30

客队不伦瑞克LOGO

不伦瑞克

解读理由

Fortuna Dusseldorf VS Eintracht Braunschweig


Dusseldorf welcome Braunschweig for this German 2. Bundesliga round 28 clash at Merkur Spiel-Arena Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the second-best second tier in the world. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of somewhat mediocre level by this league's standards. We have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity to increase the good streak of 9/11 last picks won. We easily won the last two picks on this league. The hosts are currently in 3rd place in the standings. The visitors, on the other hand, occupy the 17th place. A total of 18 clubs play in this league. Dusseldorf SV having another strong season but I expect even more from them! They can still improve further in all areas of the game. Last season they ended up in 4th place with a fine 58 points to their account. The visitors, on the other hand, played a bad season – finishing in 16th place. They were very close to being relegated to the 3. Bundesliga. At the moment they are in 16th place and are, again, at big risk of being sent to the third tier. I would not be at all surprised if Kaiserslautern, currently in 17th place were to topple Braunschweig during the rest of the season.. The hosts are in a fierce fight for third place with Hamburger SV. This place would earn them a ticket in the Playoffs against a Bundesliga team! This must be hugely motivating for the hosts. However, Braunschweig have not given up but lack quality in all areas of the game to challenge Dusseldorf here. They would probably need some luck to take even a point here.. Their defence is not awful – they have conceded 39 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is much higher – 44.32 to be precise. Their offense is, despite a pretty good structure – lame. Their offensive players simply lack skill and speed.

Dusseldorf scored a whopping 59 goals in this league and it is hard to write anything negative about their offense! The 59 goals is clearly the biggest number in this league. The best teams can hurt Dusseldorf's defence through intense pressing but Braunscweig are not really capable of playing this way. They have been very poor away from home this season, losing 10/13 matches in this league with a score difference of 10:22. I expect the hosts to put huge pressure on the visitors here – right from the kick off. Their fans demand aggressive football from the team – especially against the lowly teams. Odds of around 1.65 are widely available on the home win at the time of posting and this is clearly too high! Dusseldorf are the much bigger team in terms of players' estimated total market value which is some 38 million euros – according to a reliable source, Transfermarkt.com. This is still a little too low in my expert opinion. The Braunschweig squad is valued at only about 15 million but this is slightly too high. Two of their players are overvalued. The hosts have won three of their last five 2. games and four of their last five Bundesliga matches. In their last game they lost to Bayer Leverkusen, the current Bundesliga leaders and almost certain champions, 0-4 away from home. Leverkusen have not lost a single game this season and were gigantic favourites in this DFB Pokal match. Yes, Leverkusen deserved to win, of course, but the final score is still misleading. Leverkusen had seven shots on goal, Dusseldorf managed four. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 2.78-0.77. Before this Dusseldorf were strong away from home, defeating Kaiserslautern 3-1.The visitors managed 3.23 in xG - the hosts' number was only 1.22. In round 26 Dusseldorf crashed Vfl Osnabrück 4-0 away from home after an impressive offensive performance. They generated almost 3.50 in xG. Dusseldorf defended the center well – allowing the hosts no shots on goal. Braunschweig have won two of their last six games. In their last game they beat Elversberg, a pretty small team, 5-0 ar home as solid favourites – priced around 2.20 to win by the bookies. Yes, they deserved to win but the visitors also had 14 goal attempts and recorded many more dangerous attacks. Moreover, Elversberg had 57% ball possession and generated 1.67 in xG. The bookies seem to give this win too much emphasis here..


I will be posting many more picks for Sunday - GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

杜塞尔多夫VS不伦瑞克


杜塞尔多夫欢迎布伦瑞克参加德国世界杯。北京时间周日晚,德甲第28轮比赛将在默克斯皮尔竞技场进行。这是世界上第二好的二线球队。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以这个联盟的标准来看有点平庸的比赛。我们还有另一个非常有利可图的投注机会来增加9/11最后一次获胜的良好势头。我们轻松赢得了这个联盟的最后两个选秀权。东道主目前排名第三。另一方面,游客排在第17位。共有18个俱乐部参加这个联赛。杜塞尔多夫SV又一个强劲的赛季,但我对他们的期望更高!他们在比赛的各个方面还可以进一步提高。上赛季他们以58分的积分排名第四。另一方面,客队这个赛季踢得很糟糕,排在第16位。他们差一点就被降到第三名了。德甲。目前,他们排在第16位,再次面临着被降至第三梯队的巨大风险。如果目前排名第17位的凯泽斯劳滕在赛季余下的时间里超越布伦瑞克,我一点也不会感到惊讶。东道主正与汉堡SV激烈争夺第三名。这个地方会让他们赢得一张季后赛对阵德甲球队的门票!这对东道主来说一定是巨大的激励。然而,布伦瑞克并没有放弃,而是在比赛的各个方面都缺乏质量来挑战杜塞尔多夫。他们可能需要一些运气才能拿到一分。他们的防守并不糟糕——他们丢了39个球,但他们的预期失球(xGA)要高得多——准确地说是44.32个。他们的进攻,尽管结构很好,但很蹩脚。他们的进攻球员缺乏技术和速度。

杜塞尔多夫在联赛中打进了59球,很难写出任何关于他们进攻的负面评论!59个进球显然是这个联赛中最多的数字。最好的球队可以通过激烈的压迫来伤害杜塞尔多夫的防线,但不伦瑞克并没有这种能力。他们本赛季在客场表现非常糟糕,在联赛中输掉了10/13场比赛,比分差为10:22。我希望东道主从开球开始就给客队施加巨大的压力。他们的球迷要求球队踢出有侵略性的足球,尤其是面对实力较弱的球队。在发布时,主场获胜的赔率约为1.65,这显然太高了!根据可靠的消息来源Transfermarkt.com,杜塞尔多夫在球员的总市值方面要大得多,约为3800万欧元。以我的专业意见来看,这还是有点太低了。布伦瑞克队的价值仅为1500万英镑,但这个数字略高。他们的两名球员被高估了。东道主在最近5场比赛中赢了3场。以及最近5场德甲联赛中的4场。在上一场比赛中,他们客场0-4输给了目前德甲领头羊、几乎可以肯定的冠军勒沃库森。勒沃库森本赛季没有输过一场比赛,并且在这场德国足协的波卡尔比赛中是最大的热门。是的,勒沃库森当然应该获胜,但最终的比分仍然是误导。勒沃库森7次射正,杜塞尔多夫4次射正。预期目标(xG)值为2.78-0.77。在此之前,杜塞尔多夫在客场表现强劲,3-1击败了凯泽斯劳滕。客队在xG取得了3.23分,而东道主只有1.22分。在第26轮比赛中,杜塞尔多夫凭借令人印象深刻的进攻表现,在客场以4比0击败了奥斯纳布尔<e:1>。他们在《xG》中创造了3.5个。杜塞尔多夫中路防守很好,没有让主队射门。布伦瑞克在最近的六场比赛中赢了两场。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以5比0击败了一支相当小的球队埃尔弗斯伯格队,这是他们最受欢迎的球队,博彩公司开出的胜率约为2.20英镑。是的,他们配得上胜利,但是客队也有14次进球尝试和更多的危险进攻。此外,埃尔弗斯伯格的控球率为57%,全场得分为1.67。博彩公司似乎把这场胜利看得太重了。


我会在周日发布更多的精选-祝你好运!

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