Hamburger SV VS 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Hamburger SV welcome Kaiserslautern for this German 2. Bundesliga round 28 clash at Volksparkstadion late Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the second-best second tier on the planet. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of somewhat mediocre level by this league's standards. We have yet another promising betting opportunity to increase the good streak. We easily won the last pick on this league. The hosts are currently in 4h place in the standings. The visitors are in 17th place. A total of 18 clubs play in this league. Hamburger SV are having a strong season but I expect even more from them. They can improve in all areas of the game. They have 45 points to their account and are in a fierce battle for third, and possibly even 2nd place. The best two teams are promoted directly – the teams that finished in 3rd place will play in the Play Offs against a Bundesliga team. Based on historical success, financial resources, fan-base and players' estimated total market value they would deserve to play at the highest level. Volksparkstadion has a maximum capacity of almost 60 000! They have very loud and demanding fans and the home advantage is substantial. I expect Hamburger SV to be active – even aggressive here right from the kick off - putting huge pressure on the visitors' leaky defense. Kaiserslautern's defensive structure is poor and their midfielders do not defend actively enough. Hamburger have a lot of offensive power and variations.. They have scored 51 goals – the visitors have netted the ball only 43 times. Furthermore, Kaiserslautern have conceded 54 goals – the biggest number on this league! The Hamburger SV defense can be broken by fast and creative attacks but Kaiserslautern's offense has not impressed me. The hosts have allowed 38 goals. The visitors number of expected goals (xG) is 39.76.

Yes, Kaiserslautern have some potential for improvement but the bookies give too much emphasis to this potential. They are having a very poor season and have only 29 points in their pocket. They are at big risk of being relegated to the 3. Bundesliga next season. I don't really trust their coach and according to my sources their team spirit is also not great at the moment. The hosts deserve to be very clear favourites here and the current odds of around 1.65 are too high - based on my in-depth expert analysis. Hamburger played a 1-1 draw away from home against Greuther Furth in their last match. They would have deserved all three points as they controlled the events on the pitch for the most of 90 minutes. They had 56% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (16-4), shots on goal (6-1), shots off goal (10-3), corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 85-33. The visitors generated 1.67 in xG – the hosts managed only 0.40. Before this Hamburger SV crushed Wehen 3-0 and fully deserved the win. Wehen did have their chances but the hosts generated much more in xG. Kaiserslautern beat Saarbrucken 2-0 on the road in their last game. It was a DFB Pokal (cup) game. Saarbrucken are a small team who play in the 3rd tier. Kaiserslautern did not deserve the win. The hosts had 54% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (12-7), shots off goal (4-1), corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 48-39. Moreover, Saarbrucken generated 0.98 in xG – the visitors managed only 0.27. In round 27 Kaiserslautern were very disorganized in defence – losing to Dusseldorf 1-3 at home. The visitors managed 3.23 in xG - the hosts' number was only 1.22. Before this Kaiserslautern were very lucky to get a point away from home against Hannover. The hosts had 58% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (16-4), shots off goal (7-1), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. The host generated 1.97 in xG – Kaiserslautern's number was 0.42. Kaiserslautern cannot match the hosts in any area of the game and would probably need luck to take even a point. Hamburger SV are the much bigger team in terms of players' estimated total market value which is some 45 million euros. The Kaiserslautern squad is about 24 million but this is clearly too high. Four of their players are overvalued.

汉堡包VS . 1。凯泽斯劳滕队

汉堡SV欢迎凯泽斯劳滕的德国2。北京时间周六晚，德甲第28轮比赛将在人民公园球场进行。这是世界上第二好的第二梯队。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以这个联盟的标准来看有点平庸的比赛。我们还有另一个很有希望的投注机会来增加连胜纪录。我们轻而易举地赢得了这个联赛的最后一场比赛。东道主目前在积分榜上排名第四。客队排在第17位。共有18个俱乐部参加这个联赛。汉堡SV本赛季表现强劲，但我对他们的期望更高。他们可以在比赛的各个方面都有所提高。他们现在有45分，正在激烈争夺第三，甚至可能是第二名。最好的两支球队将直接晋级——第三名的球队将在附加赛中对阵德甲球队。基于历史成就，财政资源，粉丝基础和球员的估计总市场价值，他们应该在最高水平上比赛。人民公园体育场的最大容量接近6万人!他们有非常大声和苛刻的球迷，主场优势是巨大的。我希望汉堡SV从开球开始就积极主动，给客队漏洞百出的防守带来巨大的压力。凯泽斯劳滕的防守结构很差，他们的中场防守不够积极。汉堡包有很多进攻力量和变化。他们进了51球，而客队只进了43球。此外，凯泽斯劳滕已经丢了54个球，这是联赛中丢球最多的!汉堡SV的防守可以被快速和创造性的进攻打破，但凯泽斯劳滕的进攻并没有给我留下深刻的印象。东道主已经丢了38个球。客队预期进球数(xG)为39.76。

是的，凯泽斯劳滕有一些改进的潜力，但博彩公司过于强调这种潜力。他们这个赛季打得很糟糕，口袋里只有29分。他们很有可能被降为第三名。下赛季德甲联赛。我真的不相信他们的教练，而且据我所知，他们的团队精神目前也不是很好。东道主应该是非常明显的大热门，根据我深入的专家分析，目前1.65左右的赔率太高了。在上一场比赛中，汉堡队客场1-1战平了格鲁瑟·弗斯队。他们本应该得到这三分，因为他们在90分钟的大部分时间里都控制着场上的局势。他们有56%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数(16-4)、射正(6-1)、射偏(10-3)、角球、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(85-33)。客队在xG中产生了1.67，而主队只产生了0.40。在此之前，汉堡SV以3-0击败了威恩，完全配得上这场胜利。他们确实有机会，但东道主在xG创造了更多的机会。凯泽斯劳滕在上一场比赛中客场2:0击败萨尔布吕肯。这是一场德国足球联赛的波尔卡(杯)比赛。萨尔布吕肯是一支小球队，在第三梯队比赛。凯泽斯劳滕不应该获胜。东道主拥有54%的控球率，并且有更多的进球尝试(12-7)、射偏(4-1)、角球、总传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻——48-39。此外，萨尔布吕肯队在xG的得分为0.98，而客队仅为0.27。在第27轮比赛中，凯泽斯劳滕的防守非常混乱，在主场1-3输给了杜塞尔多夫。客队在xG取得了3.23分，而东道主只有1.22分。在此之前，凯泽斯劳滕非常幸运地在客场对阵汉诺威的比赛中拿到了一分。东道主的控球率为58%，进球次数(16-4)、射偏次数(7-1)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。宿主在xG中产生1.97 - Kaiserslautern的数字为0.42。凯泽斯劳滕在比赛的任何方面都无法与东道主匹敌，甚至可能需要运气才能拿到一分。汉堡SV在球员的估计总市值方面要大得多，约为4500万欧元。凯泽斯劳滕的阵容大约有2400万，但这个数字显然太高了。他们的四名球员被高估了。