In my opinion Villarreal has excellent chances to at least avoid loss in today’s match. Double chance on the home side looks like a great option to play.

Villarreal had a strong mental advantage before this game as they didn’t lose in 7 of the last 8 home matches against Atletico Madrid.

Villarreal had a horrible start of the season, no doubt about that, but since coach Marcelino Garcia came to the club improvement is very visible. Villarreal now is in excellent form - they won 5 of the last 6 matches in all competitions. If you look at the bigger picture, that also looks great. Since the middle of January, Villarreal played 11 matches in all competitions and lost only once.. They still have some chances to play in European Cups next season so I believe motivation to win this game is on the highest possible level. Villarreal with Marcelino Garcia on the bench plays excellently in front of their home crowd. Since he came to the club, the team played 11 home matches in all competitions and lost only once.

On the other hand, Atletico is far away from convincing on the road. Atletico in the current season of La Liga failed to win in 10 of their 14 away league matches so for me it is very hard to see them as a favorite of this game. Atletico is not in good form at all. Since the start of February they have played 11 matches in all competitions and won only 3 of them (all at home). In addition to that, today Atletico is without 2 of their 3 top players in the current season (according to the ratings) - central defender Hermoso and defensive midfielder De Paul. It's a huge blow and should have a very bad impact on guests’ performance today.

In those circumstances I see great chances for hosts to make at least one point in this game.

在我看来，比利亚雷亚尔在今天的比赛中至少有很好的机会避免输球。主队的双机会看起来是个不错的选择。

比利亚雷亚尔在这场比赛之前有很强的心理优势，因为他们在最近8场主场对阵马竞的比赛中有7场没有输球。

毫无疑问，比利亚雷亚尔本赛季开局糟糕，但自从教练马塞利诺·加西亚来到俱乐部后，进步是非常明显的。比利亚雷亚尔现在状态非常好，他们在最近的6场比赛中赢了5场。如果你从更大的角度来看，这看起来也很棒。自1月中旬以来，比利亚雷亚尔在各项赛事中打了11场比赛，只输了一场。下赛季他们仍然有机会参加欧洲杯，所以我相信赢得这场比赛的动力是尽可能高的。板凳上坐着马塞利诺·加西亚的比利亚雷亚尔在他们的主场球迷面前表现出色。自从他来到俱乐部，球队在所有比赛中打了11场主场比赛，只输了一次。

另一方面，马竞在客场还远没有让人信服。在本赛季的西甲联赛中，马竞在14场客场比赛中有10场没有获胜，所以对我来说，很难把他们看作是这场比赛的热门。马竞的状态一点也不好。自2月初以来，他们在各项赛事中打了11场比赛，只赢了3场(都是在主场)。除此之外，今天的马竞在本赛季的三名顶级球员中没有两名(根据评分)——中卫赫尔莫索和后腰德保罗。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对今天客人的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

在这种情况下，我认为东道主很有可能在这场比赛中至少得一分。