Who will stay in SerieA for next season? 斯佩齐亚vs都灵
2021-05-15
比赛分析
解读理由
In my opinion Spezia have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.
It's a big match for both teams as they are on the edge to be relegated. Only 2 rounds left, both teams with the same number of points, 4 above relegation zone. In that case even draw is great result. I don't see Torino pushing hard in the latest stage of the match if draw will be on the scoreboard.
First match of the season between both teams finished with draw 0:0 and that was big failure from Torino as they played 81 minutes with one more player on the pitch.
Spezia in last months looked very hard to break at home - they didn't lost in 6 of last 7 Serie A home matches. During that run they were able to beat AC Milan or get one point against Inter. Even when they lose against Napoli they didn't looked completely bad: expected goals scored for Spezia 1.38, for Napoli 1.93.
It's hard to trust for Torino in away matches, they recorded only 4 wins in 17 away matches of current season. They coming for today's match match with morale on very low level. In last round they lost 0:7 (!!!) at home against Milan. When last time Torino lost by such big margin in next round they lost again.. Torino in current season didn't won any of 5 matches against league newcomers like Spezia. Torino top striker and team captain Belotti as well have poor streak against newcomers - only one goal in last 7 matches.
Spezia without any new absences, Torino without import central midfielder Linetty (he played in last round).
In current situation I don't see Torino as a favorite here.
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在我看来,斯佩齐亚在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。
这对两队来说都是一场重要的比赛,因为他们都濒临降级。只剩下两轮了,两队得分相同,离降级区4分。在这种情况下,即使平局也是很好的结果。如果平局出现在计分板上,我不认为都灵会在比赛的最后阶段努力。
本赛季两队之间的第一场比赛以0:0平局结束,这是都灵队的一大败笔,他们在81分钟的比赛中只多了一名球员。
斯佩齐亚在过去的几个月里看起来很难在主场取胜——他们在最近7场意甲主场比赛中6场没有输。在这段时间里,他们击败了AC米兰,或者对国际米兰得到一分。即使他们输给了那不勒斯,他们看起来也不是很糟糕:斯佩齐亚的进球预期为1.38,那不勒斯为1.93。
我们很难相信都灵在客场的表现,他们在本赛季的17场客场比赛中只赢了4场。他们来参加今天的比赛,士气很低落。上一轮他们在主场以0:7输给了米兰。上次都灵以如此大的差距输掉了下一轮,他们又输了。都灵在本赛季没有赢过像斯佩齐亚这样的联赛新人。都灵的顶级前锋和队长贝洛蒂对新人的表现也很糟糕——近7场比赛只有一个进球。
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