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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Who will stay in league for next season?

2021-05-15

比赛分析

德甲

已完赛

星期六2021-05-15 21:30

解读理由

In my opinion Augsburg have really good chances to make good result in today's match up.

In previous season Augsburg won 2:1 at home against Werder. In overall they likes to play against them - 9 Bundesliga wins (only against Mainz they have more league wins). Augsburg scored 33 Bundesliga goals against Werder and this is their best result in comparison to the other teams.

Augsburg without any new absences, their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. On the other hand Werder is without important defender Veljkovic (he played in last round).

It's a big match for both teams as they are on the edge to be relegated. Augsburg ia only 2 points above relegation, Werder is above red zone because of goals margin. Augsburg in last round will play against Bayern, so small chances for points there. In that case I expect big motivation from them to get something today.

Both teams don't have good results in this moment, but in my opinion Augsburg is in much better form. Werder lost 7 of last 8 Bundesliga matches. In previous round they made 0:0 draw against Leverkusen at home, but that was lucky. According to the expected goals scored model Leverkusen should win that match - they had 1.14, Werder only 0.67. Augsburg lost last 3 matches in a row, but they should achieve much better results in these matches. They lost 0:2 on away against storing Frankfurt, but they had bigger expected goals scored number (1.63 against 1.28). They lost 2:3 at home against Koln, but they had bigger expected goals scored number (1.99 against 1.76). In last round they lost on away against Stuttgart, but they had bigger expected goals scored number (2.29 against 1.66).

If Augsburg continue to play on same level, good result should finally come, especially against poor opponents like Werder.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,奥格斯堡有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得好成绩。

上个赛季,奥格斯堡在主场2:1战胜云达。总的来说,他们喜欢和他们比赛- 9场德甲胜利(只有对美因茨他们的联赛胜利更多)。奥格斯堡在德甲对云达的比赛中攻入33球,这是他们与其他球队相比最好的成绩。

奥格斯堡没有任何新球员缺席,他们的阵容应该和上一轮一样。另一方面,云达失去了重要的后卫韦杰科维奇(他上一轮出场)。

这对两队来说都是一场重要的比赛,因为他们都濒临降级。奥格斯堡只比保级高出2分,云达因为进球差距在红区之上。奥格斯堡上一轮将对阵拜仁,所以在那里得分的机会很小。在这种情况下,我希望他们有很大的动力,今天就能有所收获。

两支球队现在都没有取得好成绩,但在我看来奥格斯堡的状态要好得多。云达在德甲近8场比赛中输掉了7场。上一轮他们在主场0:0战平勒沃库森,但那是幸运的。根据勒沃库森的进球预期模型,他们有1.14个进球,而云达只有0.67个。奥格斯堡输掉了近三场比赛,但他们应该会在这些比赛中取得更好的结果。他们在客场0:2输给了法兰克福,但是他们的进球数比预期的要多(1.63对1.28)。他们在主场以2:3输给了科隆队,但他们的进球数比预期的要多(1.99对1.76)。上一轮他们在客场输给了斯图加特,但是他们的进球数比预期的要多(2.29对1.66)。

如果奥格斯堡继续打出同样的水平,好的结果应该最终会到来,特别是对像不来梅这样弱的对手。

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