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Sevilla to avoid relegation in La Liga?

2024-03-30

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期六2024-03-30 21:00

解读理由

Motivation difference here.

Getafe is already in the safe zone with 38 points. A quiet position, no pressure for them, and Europe positions aren’t either a target (and are 8 points above). They hav had poor performances lately: since their last victory against Sevilla in December, they won just three league games in 12 fixtures: two of them against Granada (one above the bottom) and Celta 3:2, both very weak teams. Furthermore, the one against Celta came at 89’.

The other victory was in their last game against Girona, where they were pretty lucky as they conceded many chances, 1.73 expected goals against, and Girona deserved at least a draw.

They are a very competitive team, but are conceding much more than usual. 42 goals received so far is a high number for a team like Getafe. However, they achieved the target of avoiding relegation with many rounds of antelation, so their season is already a success.

For this fixture they’ll miss important defender Djene (national team) and their best striker Mayoral, who has been injured for a few months and will miss the rest of the season. Before the injury, he was one of the best strikers in La Liga.

On the other hand, I expect to see Sevilla much more motivated here. After their last game against Celta where they lost 1:2, they are now just 6 points above relegation, and with only 38 they’ll need around 6-8 more to avoid it.

Their season has been a disaster, because a team like Sevilla cannot be fighting for avoid relegation. They have quality, good players, and a recent history, but have had poor performances. However, with Sergio Ramos they have been more competitive and improved in defense.

Sevilla has several players who are class above, so they don’t need to make a perfect game or have too many chances to score. Their effectiveness is high, as opposed to other relegation teams, and this will make the difference.

Before that disaster game against Celta they were playing well, with only one defeat (against Real Madrid by minimum difference - 1:0) in 7 games, including strong rivals like Atletico (where won 1:0), Real Sociedad (3:2) or Osasuna (1:1).

Sevilla has more quality here, I think they’ll just be dominated tactically as Getafe has a great coach and knows very well how to execute their plan. However, I also think that Sevilla will be more motivated, because a defeat here could make things even worse and put them in a difficult situation, especially if Cadiz (main relegation competitor) wins.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

动机不同。

赫塔菲已经以38分进入了安全地带。一个安静的位置,对他们没有压力,欧洲的位置也不是一个目标(并且是8分以上)。他们最近的表现不佳:自从去年12月战胜塞维利亚之后,他们在12场联赛中只赢了3场:其中两场是对阵格拉纳达(一场排名垫底)和塞尔塔(3:2),这两支球队都很弱。此外,对阵塞尔塔的那场比赛发生在89分。

另一场胜利是在上一场对阵赫罗纳的比赛中,他们相当幸运,因为他们丢了很多机会,1.73个预期进球,赫罗纳至少应该平局。

他们是一支很有竞争力的球队,但是失球比平时多了很多。到目前为止,42个进球对于赫塔菲这样的球队来说是很高的数字。然而,他们通过多轮的调整达到了保级目标,所以他们的赛季已经取得了成功。

在这场比赛中,他们将错过重要的后卫杰内(国家队)和他们最好的前锋马约拉尔,他已经受伤了几个月,将缺席本赛季剩下的比赛。在受伤之前,他是西甲最好的前锋之一。

另一方面,我希望看到塞维利亚在这里更有动力。在上一场对阵塞尔塔的比赛中,他们以1:2的比分输掉了比赛,现在他们离保级只差6分了,而现在他们只剩下38分了,他们还需要6-8分才能保级。

他们这个赛季是一场灾难,因为像塞维利亚这样的球队不可能为保级而战。他们有实力,有优秀的球员,还有最近的历史,但表现不佳。然而,有了拉莫斯,他们更有竞争力了,防守也有了提高。

塞维利亚有几名高水平的球员,所以他们不需要踢出一场完美的比赛,也不需要有太多的进球机会。与其他保级球队相比,他们的效率很高,这将带来不同。

在与塞尔塔那场灾难性的比赛之前,他们踢得很好,在7场比赛中只输了一场(与皇马的最小差距为1:0),其中包括马竞(1:0获胜)、皇家社会(3:2)和奥萨苏纳(1:1)等强敌。

塞维利亚在这里更有实力,我认为他们会在战术上被控制,因为赫塔菲有一个伟大的教练,他知道如何执行他们的计划。然而,我也认为塞维利亚会更有动力,因为在这里的失败可能会让事情变得更糟,让他们陷入困境,尤其是如果加的斯(主要的保级竞争对手)获胜的话。

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