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Who wins in J1 League? 日职 东京绿茵VS京都

2024-03-29

比赛分析

日职

已完赛

星期五2024-03-29 18:00

解读理由

Tokyo Verdy is a newly promoted team and has one of the worst squads in the league. They are still winless and are struggling to adapt to the J1 League, with 2 draws and two defeats, and being outplated in the majority of games so far.

Verdy were very lucky last season, as they managed to get promoted thanks to their draw in the final game against Shimizu. And the goal came at 96’ from the penalty.

They have a lack of goal due to their low quality upfront, but also are unable to keep the goal to nil as they are conceding chances and goals very easily. Their best player is Fuki Yamada, who has scored two goals already, as well as the new transfer Miki Tomoya who has been performing very well so far.

The main problem I see in this team is the defense. They lack quality and players simply don’t have the level required for this league. And with this defense will be very difficult for Verdy to win games as they’ll need to score 2-3 goals at least, something they won’t do easily either.

On the other hand, Kyoto Sanga had a good season last year finishing 13th, which is their target: mid-table and avoiding relegation. They have started this campaign with one victory, one draw and two defeats: one against Yokohama Mariners (a very strong team) and another one against Shonan, the worst team in the league.

However, in both games were competitive and played well, especially against Yokohama where they received a red card at 8’, but ultimately they just ran out of energy with one player less.

Kyoto Sanga has shown (last season and this one) a good ability to score goals, scoring in every single game. I see them taking advantage of the weak Verdy’s defense here.

Although they lost they lost last season topscorer Patric (10 goals), they still have Yuta Toyokawa who is a great striker (and also scored 10 goals last season), as well as Tachi Hara who played with Alaves in Spain a couple seasons ago, and also scored 7 goals last season with Kyoto.

I see this as a total 50-50 game. Verdy cannot be favorite as they have a worse team and a terrible defense. Kyoto has a decent attack and surely will be able to score at least a couple of goals here, which should be enough to avoid a defeat.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

东京Verdy是一支新晋升的球队,他们的阵容是联盟中最差的球队之一。他们仍然没有赢球,正在努力适应J1联赛,2平2负,目前大多数比赛都处于劣势。

Verdy上赛季非常幸运,因为在最后一场与清水的比赛中战平,他们成功晋级。这个进球来自于96分的点球。

他们缺乏进球,因为他们的锋线质量不高,但也无法将进球保持为零,因为他们很容易失去机会和进球。他们最好的球员是山田福树,他已经进了两个球,还有新转会来的朋也美树,他到目前为止表现非常好。

我认为这支球队的主要问题是防守。他们缺乏实力,球员根本没有达到这个联赛所要求的水平。这样的防守对Verdy来说很难赢得比赛,因为他们至少需要进2-3个球,这也是他们不容易做到的。

另一方面,京都上甲去年的表现不错,排名第13位,这是他们的目标:中游和保级。他们以一胜一平两负的战绩开始了这个赛季:一场是对阵横滨水手队(一支非常强大的球队),另一场是对阵雄南队,联盟中最差的球队。

然而,在这两场比赛中,他们都很有竞争力,踢得很好,特别是对阵横滨,他们在8英尺时收到了红牌,但最终他们只是在少了一名球员的情况下耗尽了能量。

京都上甲(上个赛季和本赛季)表现出了良好的进球能力,每场比赛都有进球。我看到他们利用了威尔第薄弱的防线。

虽然他们失去了上赛季的最佳射手帕特里克(10球),但他们仍然拥有出色的前锋丰川裕太(上赛季也打入了10球),以及几个赛季前在西班牙与阿拉维斯一起踢球的原太齐,上赛季也在京都打入了7球。

我认为这是一场五五开的比赛。弗雷迪不可能被看好,因为他们的球队更糟糕,防守也很糟糕。京都有一个不错的进攻,肯定能在这里至少进几个球,这应该足以避免失败。

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