As you may remember I went against Wales last week in their match v Finland, and they made me ridiculous by winning 4-1, and it could had been by more!

But it was not because Wales is a great team, but Finland played the worst match of recent history. The coach failed brilliantly and fielded in three players from Nordic leagues with very little playing experience as the season is not started. His selection for key centreback role was Tenho from Djurgården, and he played his part in all of the 4 goals conceded! Also the players in best form and talent recently, Antman and Kairinen were benched, and the return to a 5-4-1 formation was a massive failure!

All of this led to a blood bath and Wales looked a lot more better than they actually are, and their keeper who is without any first team games for a year or so did not really have to take part at this at all. He plays for the reserve side of Leicester.

There is now self-confidence at the Welsh camp, they play again Cardiff, but maybe some of the confidence is not so well-based?

Remember that there have been horrible matches recently by the Welsh - just look at the results vs Armenia - and as the Poles got now fresh intelligence of them especially from the set pieces there will not be that advantage. Top man Brennan Johnson was good as expected, but there are not so many quality players in the team really.

Poland are the stronger team, and should not be underdogs despite playing away. They did beat Estonia by 5-1 and that surprised no one, especially because of the early red card for Estonia. It was a walk in the park, the players got basically a nice training session and for example Lewandowski played a full 90 minute match - without scoring - but also without running.

There were a few injuries for Poland though, Przemyslaw Frankowski and Matty Cash were subbed out due injuries, both from the right wing, and here they might start with Kaiserslautern's Tymoteusz Puchacz.

It is a huge game! The winner goes to EURO2024 in Germany, the loser gets nothing and it could be low-scoring. Against Finland Wales were aggressive from the start, now I am expecting a more defense-minded approach to try to save keeper Danny Ward from troubles, but as there is both Lewandowski in the box and Zielinski outside of it there will be a goal or two behind his back sooner or later.

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你可能还记得我上周在威尔士vs芬兰的比赛中对阵威尔士，他们以4比1的比分赢了我，这让我很可笑，而且比分可能会更大!

但这并不是因为威尔士是一支伟大的球队，而是芬兰队打出了近代史上最糟糕的一场比赛。教练失败了，因为赛季还没有开始，他派出了三名来自北欧联赛的球员，他们几乎没有什么比赛经验。他选择了来自djurgajrden的Tenho作为关键的中后卫，他在所有的4个失球中都发挥了作用!还有最近状态最好、最有天赋的球员，安特曼和凯宁都坐了板凳，回到5-4-1阵型是一个巨大的失败!

所有这些都导致了一场血战，威尔士看起来比实际情况要好得多，他们的门将一年左右没有参加任何一线队比赛，实际上根本没有必要参加这场比赛。他为莱斯特预备队效力。

现在威尔士阵营有了自信，他们又要打卡迪夫了，但也许有些信心不是很有基础?

请记住，威尔士队最近的比赛都很糟糕——看看对阵亚美尼亚的比赛结果就知道了——波兰人现在对他们有了新的了解，尤其是在定位球方面，他们将不会有那种优势。顶级球员布伦南-约翰逊的表现和预期的一样好，但是球队中真正有实力的球员并不多。

波兰队实力更强，尽管在客场比赛，他们也不应该处于劣势。他们确实以5-1击败了爱沙尼亚，这并不让人感到意外，尤其是爱沙尼亚在比赛开始前就吃到了红牌。就像在公园里散步一样，球员们基本上进行了很好的训练，比如莱万多夫斯基打满了90分钟的比赛——没有进球——但也没有跑动。

波兰队也有一些伤病，弗兰科夫斯基和卡什都因伤缺阵，他们都是右翼，而他们可能会从凯泽斯劳滕的普恰奇开始。

这是一场盛大的比赛!胜者将参加2024年在德国举行的欧洲杯，败者将一无所获，而且可能是低分。对芬兰的比赛，威尔士从一开始就很有侵略性，现在我希望威尔士能有更强的防守意识，让门将丹尼·沃德免于麻烦，但由于莱万多夫斯基在禁区内，齐林斯基在禁区外，他的背后迟早会有一两个进球。

03月27日威尔士 VS 波兰比赛分析直播