There is no such thing as a completely exact and correct estimation for a football match, but this one from OPTA is a good effort!

There must be a winner from this match, may it be after extra time and penalties, and the winner will face the winner of the match Poland v Estonia. That is Poland, next Tuesday. The winner of that qualifies to EURO2024 in Germany.

It is one of the most important matches of Finland ever, the stakes are high, and even under normal circumstances, this would always be a low-scoring and rather low-quality match. I do no think either of the teams would deserve to qualify.

In the head-to-head history the matches have been even.

Wales are strong at home, or are they really?

Looking at the recent years home record that sentence is starting to feel like a legend, not truth.

Out of their last 18 games they have won only. One in every third. The opponents have varied, they have won over Belarus, Gibraltar and Latvia which do not really count, but also vs Croatia and Austria, so they are capable of winning decent teams at home.

They can also lose against anyone, last summer they even lost 2-4 to Armenia! The best years of Wales seem to be far behind.

Team news talk about a relatively strong Wales squad as Lockyear is the only significant absentee, and the likely lineup is something like this:

Ward; Rodon, Mepham, Davies; Williams, Ampadu, James. Roberts: Wilson, Brooks, Johnson.

That would mean Aaron Ramsey to start from the bench.

Now Finland are not a good team as such, but the relatively good results have kept the morale high, and the few excellent individuals have done the rest. They are not quite as good as their results show, but they are hard to beat these days. The last 15 matches away have shown only 6 losses. To France, Romania, Bosnia, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia.

There was a bad drop in form in the Autumn when Finland lost 3 games in a row and destroyed their hopes of qualifying from the actual qualification group, but now the squad situation is a lot better, and players like Leverkusen keeper Hradecky, Venezia top scorer Pohjanpalo and Leeds midfielder Kamara are shining, and we should never forget Teemu Pukki either. Midfielder Kaan Kairinen is doing well in Sparta Praha, and Robin Lod is back to feed Pukki into 1-on-1:s.

The one questionmark in the Finnish camp is the turmoil caused by Inter Miami s Robert Taylor, who refused to join the team and chose Messi and co instead, but there was too much noise from this case as he was never going to be a starter.

I am happy to place my money here on Finland. Basically this match is a typical first goal wins - kind of a game, but there is a big chance there is no goal at all, and in that case we are the winners!

Good luck!

对于一场足球比赛，没有完全准确和正确的估计，但OPTA的这个估计是一个很好的努力!

这场比赛必须有一个赢家，可能是在加时赛和点球之后，获胜者将面对这场比赛的获胜者波兰对爱沙尼亚。那是波兰，下周二。获胜者有资格参加在德国举行的2024年欧洲杯。

这是芬兰队有史以来最重要的比赛之一，赌注很高，即使在正常情况下，这也是一场低得分、低质量的比赛。我认为这两支球队都不配出线。

在历史上，这两场比赛是势均力敌的。

威尔士在主场很强大，还是他们真的很强大?

看看近年来的家庭记录，这句话开始感觉像一个传说，而不是事实。

在最近的18场比赛中，他们只赢了一场。三分之一。他们的对手多种多样，他们赢过白俄罗斯、直布罗陀和拉脱维亚，这些不算真正的对手，但也赢过克罗地亚和奥地利，所以他们有能力在主场击败像样的球队。

他们也可以输掉任何对手，去年夏天他们甚至以2-4输给了亚美尼亚!威尔士最好的岁月似乎已经远去。

球队新闻谈到了一个相对强大的威尔士阵容，因为洛克year是唯一重要的缺阵者，可能的阵容是这样的:

病房;Rodon, Mepham, Davies;威廉姆斯，安帕杜，詹姆斯。罗伯茨:威尔逊，布鲁克斯，约翰逊。

这意味着拉姆塞将从板凳上首发。

芬兰队本身并不是一支优秀的球队，但相对较好的成绩使士气高涨，少数优秀的个人完成了剩下的工作。他们并不像他们的结果显示的那么好，但这些天他们很难被打败。最近15场客场比赛只输了6场。法国、罗马尼亚、波斯尼亚、瑞典、丹麦和斯洛文尼亚。

今年秋天，芬兰队的状态出现了糟糕的下滑，他们连输3场，从预选赛小组出线的希望破灭了，但现在球队的情况好多了，勒沃库森的门将赫拉德基、威尼斯的头号射手波扬帕洛和利兹的中场卡马拉都很出色，我们也不应该忘记普基。中场卡安·凯里宁在普拉哈斯巴达表现不错，罗宾·罗德也回来帮助普基打1对1的比赛。

芬兰阵营的一个疑问是罗伯特·泰勒(Robert Taylor)拒绝加入国际迈阿密队，而选择了梅西等人，但这一事件引起了太多的噪音，因为他永远不会成为首发球员。

我很乐意把钱押在芬兰身上。基本上，这场比赛是一场典型的第一球获胜的比赛，但有很大的机会根本没有进球，在这种情况下，我们是赢家!

好运！