In my opinion Nagasaki has a bigger chances to win than bookies want to suggest for us based on their odds.

In overall Nagasaki have really good record against Echime as they won in 11 of last 17 matches against them. Nagasaki came for this game with big mental advantage as they won last 3 league matches at this stadium.

In addition to that, both teams played each other at this stadium just 3 weeks ago in League Cup and Nagasaki won here after extra time. In that game, Varen showed great squad depth. Today with the strongest possible, they should be able to show difference between both teams on the pitch.

I believe team from Nagasaki is able to score more than one goal today and that should be simply enough to win this game. Guests' are full of confidence - 3 consecutive wins. No problems with goalscoring as they scored 8 goals during that run. On the other hand, I don't trust Echime defensive formation. They lost 3 of last 4 matches and conceded 9 goals in the process. In addition to that, today they are without their key defender Morishita. It's huge blow and should have very bad impact on hosts performance in the back.

In those circumstances Nagasaki looks like very valuable option to play.

在我看来，长崎获胜的机会比博彩公司根据他们的赔率给我们的建议要大。

总的来说，长崎在过去的17场比赛中取得了11场胜利，他们对Echime的战绩非常好。长崎在这场比赛中有很大的心理优势，因为他们在这个球场赢了过去的三场联赛。

除此之外，两支球队三周前在这个球场进行了联赛杯比赛，长崎在加时赛后获胜。在那场比赛中，瓦伦展示了强大的阵容深度。今天有了最强的实力，他们应该能够在球场上展示两支球队的不同。

我相信长崎队今天能进不止一个球，这应该足以赢得这场比赛。客人们信心满满——三连胜。进球方面没有问题，他们在那场比赛中进了8个球。另一方面，我不相信埃奇姆的防守阵型。他们在最近4场比赛中输了3场，丢了9个球。除此之外，今天他们失去了他们的关键后卫森下。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对东道主在后场的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

在这种情况下，长崎看起来是一个非常有价值的选择。