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Two good Serie A picks for Sunday!

2024-03-17

比赛分析

意甲

已完赛

星期日2024-03-17 19:30

意甲

已完赛

星期一2024-03-18 01:00

解读理由

ROMA - SASSUOLO

Roma should win this easily. Both teams are at the peak of their performance curves: Roma at their best moment and Sassuolo, at their worst in a precipitous decline.

They have been performing well this season, fighting for the UEL position (5th) where they have just one point advantage with Atalanta and 4 with Napoli, who is pushing from behind.

The TOP4 is 6 points above, but Bologna has one more game so winning this fixture they could continue in the fight for the TOP4. But before that, they need to beat Sassuolo.

Roma is coming from a defeat against Brighton in the UEL (1:0), which was enough to qualify to 1/4 finals thanks to the result at home (4:0). In the Serie A last weekend they drew 2:2 against Fiorentine. Recently they have suffered defeats only against top teams in the league (Inter, Milan, Lazio, Bologna).

At home, only a few teams managed to take points from the Stadio Olimpico this season: Inter, Fiorentina, Atalanta, AC Milan and Salernitana in the first round of the league in a crazy game which finished 2:2 with Salernitana generating just 0.14 expected goals and making two shots on target.

The main strength of Roma this season is their attack, where they have scored 54 goals in 28 games, having the second best attack in the league thanks to the goals of Dybala and Lukaku.

The Belgian striker will undergo one final fitness test to determine his eligibility for the match. However, Roma are unlikely to risk him. Instead, Daniele De Rossi will probably opt to rely on Sardar Azmoun as Lukaku’s direct replacement on Sunday evening. Dybala is set to return to Roma’s line-up after having been rested on Thursday night.

On the other hand, Sassuolo is struggling with relegation, as they have 23 points but are only 2 below the safe zone, where there’re a lot of teams involved. Their last victory against Frosinone was crucial for them, because Frosinone is just above them and also to finish their terrible run of 8 games winless with 7 defeats. However, the majority of those games were played against top teams.

Sassuolo has been totally outplayed by the top teams recently: 1:6 Napoles, 3:0 and 3:1 Atalanta, 3:0 Juventus, 4:2 Bologna.. And the problem is that although they have quality upfront, are conceding a lot of goals and have conceded 55 in 28 games already.

They managed to make only two goals to nil so far this season: Frosinone last weekend and Fiorentina in January is a very lucky game where Fiorentina missed a penalty and had one goal disallowed by VAR (offside).

Their topscorer Berardi (9 goals and 3 assists) is out for this fixture due to an injury.

Roma has much more quality here, are strong at home and should be able to win to stay in the fight for the TOP4. Sassuolo has been totally outplayed by similar teams to Roma this season, including the previous game played between both teams which finished 1:2 for Roma.

JUVENTUS - GENOA

Juventus is performing very well this season, taking advantage of the fact that they are not playing in Europe so have plenty of time to rest and prepare for all league games. Inter Milan looks unstoppable, but they are fighting for the TOP2 with AC Milan and have lost only 4 games so far.

They are in the worst moment of the season, with only one victory in the last 7, against relegation side Frosinone, which was also a tight one (3:2) scoring at 95’. 3 of those 4 defeats so far in the Serie A came in this period, against Inter, Napoles and Udinese. However, I expect them to improve their level and make a good performance here, taking the much needed three points.

Before this bad period they had numbers to be fighting for the title, so I expect them to show this level again in the last rounds of the season because the team don’t have any fatigue accumulated as they don't have midweek games.

In the last 4 games they have conceded 8 goals, whilst in the previous 24 rounds conceded just 15. That’s why i want to insist that this has been only a small bad period (affected also by the level of their rivals), but during the previous 20-22 rounds they were a very strong team so I’m confident we’ll see that level again.

On the other hand, Genoa is a newly promoted team without any ambition at the moment. Europe has never been a target for them, whilst relegation is 9 points below, which is a huge success for them.

They have been recently a difficult team to beat, are a competitive team but playing away are struggling.

I expect Juventus to dominate this game. They’ll have more motivation, home support and have more quality. The previous game finished 1:1 with Juventus dominating and deserving the victory, but here I expect a better performance and also a worse one for Genoa.

Another interesting fact: The last time that Genoa won at Juve’s stadium was in 1991, with 19 victories in the last 23 games for Juventus.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

罗马——萨索洛

罗马应该轻松赢得这场比赛。两支球队都处于他们表现曲线的巅峰:罗马在他们最好的时候,萨索洛在他们最糟糕的时候,处于急剧下滑的状态。

他们本赛季表现不错,正在为联盟排名(第五)而战,他们只领先亚特兰大1分,领先那不勒斯4分,后者正在后起之秀。

积分榜前4比积分榜前4高6分,但博洛尼亚还有一场比赛,如果赢得这场比赛,他们就可以继续争夺积分榜前4。但在此之前,他们需要击败萨索洛。

罗马在客场1比0负于布莱顿后,凭借主场4比0的成绩晋级1/4决赛。在上周末的意甲联赛中,他们2:2战平佛罗伦萨。最近他们只输给了联赛中的强队(国际米兰,拉齐奥,博洛尼亚)。

在主场,本赛季只有几支球队能从奥林匹克球场拿到积分:国米、佛罗伦萨、亚特兰大、AC米兰和萨勒尼塔纳。这场疯狂的比赛以2:2结束,萨勒尼塔纳只创造了0.14个预期进球,并有2次射正。

本赛季罗马的主要优势是进攻,在28场比赛中攻入54球,凭借迪巴拉和卢卡库的进球,他们的进攻排名联赛第二。

比利时前锋将接受最后一次体能测试,以确定他是否有资格参加比赛。然而,罗马不太可能拿他冒险。相反,德罗西可能会选择阿兹蒙作为卢卡库在周日晚上的直接替补。迪巴拉将在周四晚上休息后回到罗马的大名单中。

另一方面,萨索洛正在为保级而挣扎,因为他们有23分,但只比安全区低2分,而安全区有很多球队参与。他们上一场对弗罗西诺内的胜利对他们来说是至关重要的,因为弗罗西诺内刚刚超过他们,并且结束了他们可怕的8场7负无胜的历史。然而,大多数比赛都是与顶级球队进行的。

萨索洛最近完全被顶级球队击败了:1:6那不勒斯,3:0和3:1亚特兰大,3:0尤文图斯,4:2博洛尼亚……问题是,尽管他们的锋线实力很强,但他们丢了很多球,而且已经在28场比赛中丢了55球。

本赛季到目前为止,他们只取得了两球:上周末的弗罗西诺内和1月份的佛罗伦萨是一场非常幸运的比赛,佛罗伦萨错过了一个点球,并被VAR(越位)吹掉了一个进球。

他们的头号射手贝拉尔迪(9球3助攻)因伤缺席本场比赛。

罗马在这里的实力更强,在主场也很强大,他们应该能够赢得比赛,继续为前四而战。萨索洛在本赛季被类似罗马的球队完全击败,包括上一场罗马1:2结束的两队比赛。

尤文图斯-热那亚

尤文图斯本赛季的表现非常好,他们没有参加欧洲联赛,所以有足够的时间休息和准备所有的联赛。国际米兰看起来势不可挡,但他们正在与AC米兰争夺TOP2,目前只输了4场比赛。

他们正处于本赛季最糟糕的时刻,在过去的7场比赛中只赢了一场,对阵保级球队弗罗西诺内,也是一场势均力敌的比赛(3:2)。到目前为止,意甲联赛的4场失利中有3场是在这段时间里输给国米、那不勒斯和乌迪内斯的。然而,我希望他们能提高自己的水平,在这里取得好成绩,拿到急需的三分。

在这段糟糕的时期之前,他们有足够的数据来为冠军而战,所以我希望他们在赛季的最后几轮再次展现出这种水平,因为球队没有任何疲劳积累,因为他们没有周中比赛。

在过去的4场比赛中,他们丢了8球,而在之前的24轮比赛中,他们只丢了15球。这就是为什么我想坚持说这只是一个小的糟糕时期(也受到他们对手水平的影响),但在之前的20-22轮中,他们是一支非常强大的球队,所以我相信我们会再次看到那种水平。

另一方面,热那亚是一支刚刚升级的球队,目前没有任何野心。欧洲从来都不是他们的目标,而保级只差9分,这对他们来说是一个巨大的成功。

他们最近一直是一支很难被击败的球队,是一支有竞争力的球队,但在客场比赛中表现不佳。

我希望尤文图斯能主宰这场比赛。他们会有更多的动力,主场支持和更高的质量。上一场比赛以1:1结束,尤文图斯占据主导地位,理应获胜

我希望在这里有更好的表现,在热那亚也会有更糟糕的表现。

另一个有趣的事实是:热那亚上一次在尤文球场获胜是在1991年,当时尤文图斯在过去的23场比赛中取得了19场胜利。

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