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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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GREAT results in this league! $$$

2024-03-14

比赛分析

主队佛罗伦萨LOGO

佛罗伦萨

欧协联

已完赛

星期五2024-03-15 01:45

客队海马卡比LOGO

海马卡比

解读理由

Fiorentina VS Maccabi Haifa


Fiorentina welcome Maccabi Haifa for this UEFA Europa Conference 1/8-finals second leg clash at Stadio Artemio Franchi very early Friday morning Beijing time. This is third-highest of UEFA's club competitions – after the iconic Champions League and Europa League. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of somewhat mediocre level by this competition's standards here. However, we have yet another very promising betting option here! We have won 10 of the last 11 bets betting on this league! Maccabi Haifa are an Israeli team – Fiorentina come from Italy. Maccabi Haifa currently occupy the 2nd place in the Israeli Ligat Ha'al with 54 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is "only" 50.34. They have netted the ball 55 times. Haifa's number of expected goals (xG) is 49.98.They have conceded 18 goals. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is much though - 20.89 to be precise. We must understand that the level of this league is substantially lower than the Italian Serie A! Maccabi Haifa were very disappointing in their last game, losing to Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-2 on the road as big favourites – priced around 1.50 to win on the betting market. They had 57% ball possession but the hosts recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal as well as shots off target. Before last week's first leg against Fiorentina Haifa won three games in a row against Israeli teams but I want to mention that the opponents were lowly. I will not give these matches a lot of emphasis ahead of the match against a massively stronger opponent in terms of pure class.. Fiorentina won the first at Bozsik Arena in Budapest and deserved the win. They had 64% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (24-7), shots on goal, shots off target (9-1), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks 82-17. Haifa's midfielder named Show was sent off in the 80th minute. I expect Fiorentina to dominate the events on the pitch in front of their enthusiastic and loud fans – giving the Israelis very few dangerous scoring chances. We will take the -1.5 handicap. Odds of around 2.00 are widely available at the time of posting. Fiorentina have a 56.50% chance of winning by a margin of at least two goals!

Fiorentina occupy the 8th place in the 4th-best league in the world! They have a decent 43 points in their pocket and are fighting hard for a top-6 place, possibly even top-5. Their score difference is quite strong – 41:33. They have a gigantic edge over the visitors in all areas of the game! Some squad rotation would not be a big surprise but Fiorentina have a long list of strong – even excellent players in the squad who are ready to prove their worth to the coach! Almost all of their players are better than any of Haifa's optimal starting eleven players. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the difference between the two teams is huge! Indeed, the Fiorentina squad is valued at about 250 million euros! The Maccabi Haifa players have an estimated total market value of only approximately 25 million. In their last game Fiorentina faced Roma, who have been in great form under Daniele de Rossi, who replaced Jose Mourinho in January. Roma have lost only to Inter, the dominant team in the Serie A under de Rossi. It was a 2-2 at home against Roma but Fiorentina generated much more in xG – 2.34-0.55. Before beating Maccabi Haifa Fiorentina met Torino away from home as underdogs on the betting market. It was a goalless draw but Fiorentina were the better team on the pitch. They had 65% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (14-8), shots on goal, shots off target (7-5), corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks! They also generate more in expected goals (xG). Before this they were very strong at home against Lazio – despite winning only 2-1. Lazio, rather surprisingly, even played in the Champions League Playoffs where they beat Bayern Munich at home about a month ago – but lost in Munich 0-3 though. Fiorentina dominated Lazio in this match. They had only 54% ball possession but recorded massively more goal attempts (22-5), shots on goal (7-1), shots off target, corner kicks (13-2), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks! They also generated a lot more in xG – 3.02-0.33 to be precise.



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佛罗伦萨VS海法马卡比


北京时间周五凌晨,佛罗伦萨欢迎海法马卡比参加欧联杯1/8决赛次回合比赛。这是欧足联第三高的俱乐部赛事,仅次于标志性的欧冠和欧联杯。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以本届比赛的标准来看有点平庸的比赛。然而,我们还有另一个非常有前途的投注选项!我们在过去的11次投注中赢了10次!海法马卡比是一支以色列球队,佛罗伦萨来自意大利。海法马卡比目前在以色列联赛中以54分排名第二。然而,他们的预期点数(xPTS)“只有”50.34。他们已经把球打进了55次。海法的预期进球数(xG)为49.98。他们丢了18个球。但他们的预期失球数(xGA)很高——准确地说是20.89个。我们必须明白,这个联赛的水平远远低于意甲!海法马卡比在上一场比赛中表现非常令人失望,在客场以1比2的比分输给了马卡比,他们是最大的夺冠热门,在博彩市场上的胜率约为1.50。他们有57%的控球率,但主队的射门次数、射正次数和射偏次数都更多。在上周与佛罗伦萨的首回合比赛之前,海法在与以色列球队的比赛中取得了三连胜,但我想说的是,对手的实力很低。我不会给这些比赛太多的强调,因为在比赛之前,我将面对一个强大得多的对手。佛罗伦萨在布达佩斯的博兹克竞技场赢得了第一场比赛,他们理应获得胜利。他们有64%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数(24-7次)、射正、射偏(9-1次)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(82-17次)。海法中场休在第80分钟被红牌罚下。我希望佛罗伦萨能在他们热情而喧闹的球迷面前主宰比赛,给以色列人很少的得分机会。我们将采用-1.5的差点。大约2.00的赔率在发布时广泛可用。佛罗伦萨有56.50%的机会以至少两球的优势获胜!

佛罗伦萨在世界排名第四的联赛中排名第八!他们的口袋里有43分,他们正在努力争夺前6的位置,甚至可能是前5。他们的比分差距很大——41:33。他们在游戏的所有领域都比游客有巨大的优势!一些阵容轮换并不会让人感到惊讶,但佛罗伦萨有一长串强大的球员——甚至是优秀的球员,他们已经准备好向教练证明自己的价值了!他们几乎所有的球员都比海法最佳的11名首发球员要好。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,两支球队之间的差距是巨大的!事实上,佛罗伦萨队的价值约为2.5亿欧元!海法马卡比球员的总市值估计只有大约2500万英镑。在上一场比赛中,佛罗伦萨面对的是在德罗西的带领下状态良好的罗马,德罗西在一月份接替穆里尼奥。罗马只输给了德罗西治下的意甲霸主国米。主场对阵罗马的比分是2-2,但佛罗伦萨在比赛中创造了更多的比分。在击败马卡比海法之前,佛罗伦萨在客场遇到了都灵,在博彩市场上处于劣势。这是一场0比0的平局,但佛罗伦萨在球场上表现得更好。他们有65%的控球率,记录了更多的射门次数(14胜8负)、射正、射偏(7胜5负)、角球、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数!它们还会产生更多的预期目标(xG)。在此之前,他们在主场对阵拉齐奥的比赛中非常强大,尽管他们只赢了2-1。令人惊讶的是,拉齐奥甚至参加了一个月前的欧冠季后赛,他们在主场击败了拜仁慕尼黑,但却以0-3输给了慕尼黑。佛罗伦萨在这场比赛中压制了拉齐奥。他们只有54%的控球率,但他们的进球次数(22-5)、射正(7-1)、射偏、角球(13-2)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都要多得多!准确地说,他们在xG - 3.02-0.33中也产生了更多。

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