In my opinion Rangers have really good chances to at least avoid loss in today's match.

First match between both teams in Lisbon finished with draw 2:2. I believe Rangers at Ibrox have all the required tools to make even bigger troubles for Benfica.

Rangers lost at home to Motherwell two week's ago after winning 10 games in a row in all competitions. That was an undeserved result: Rangers were expected to score 3.71 goals, whereas Motherwell scored 0.99. Regardless of the outcome, guests undoubtedly are in great form. At the weekend they recorded routine 2:0 win on the road in quarter final of FA Cup. 11 wins in 12 domestic matches is still a fantastic achievement. During that run, they kept seven clean sheets and scored more than one goal ten times. Consistency and steadiness are clearly obvious.

Benfica, on the other hand, is in a really poor situation. Before game against Rangers, they lost two matches in a row. They lost two very significant games: a derby against Sporting in the Cup and an essential league game against Porto. Benfica lost 0:5 on the road to Porto over the weekend, which was quite unpleasant. In last round Benfica played at home against poor Estoril (relegation zone) and won 3:1. Results looks better than really should - Benfica had 1.60 expected goals scored value in that game and failed to keep clean sheet against low quality opposition. The team's confidence is extremely low, and the environment is completely negative. According to multiple local reports, coach Schmidt's position is under grave danger. He came into this game under tremendous pressure.

Rangers appear to be particularly dangerous opponents under those conditions. Rangers have competed in 71 Europa League games, including qualifiers and play-offs, winning 35 of them. Over the last seven years, 22 games have been drawn and 14 have been lost, for an amazing loss record of under 20%.

I see bigger chances for hosts than bookies want to suggest for us in their odds.

在我看来，流浪者队在今天的比赛中至少有很好的机会避免输球。

两队在里斯本的首场比赛以2:2的平局结束。我相信流浪者队在伊布罗克斯拥有给本菲卡制造更大麻烦的所有必要工具。

流浪者队两周前在主场输给了马瑟韦尔，此前他们在各项赛事中取得了10连胜。这是一个不应得的结果:流浪者队预计会进3.71球，而马瑟韦尔队只进0.99球。不管结果如何，客人们的状态无疑都很好。上周末他们在足总杯四分之一决赛中客场2:0大胜，12场国内比赛11胜仍然是一个了不起的成绩。在那场比赛中，他们保持了7次零失球，并有10次进球超过1球。一致性和稳定性是显而易见的。

另一方面，本菲卡的情况很糟糕。在与流浪者队的比赛之前，他们连输两场比赛。他们输掉了两场非常重要的比赛:在杯赛中对阵竞技队的德比和一场对阵波尔图的重要联赛。本菲卡在周末客场0:5输给了波尔图，这很不愉快。上一轮本菲卡在主场对阵糟糕的埃斯托里尔(降级区)，以3:1获胜。结果看起来比实际情况要好——本菲卡在那场比赛中有1.60个预期进球值，在面对低水平的对手时未能保持零封。球队的信心非常低，环境完全是消极的。据多家当地媒体报道，施密特教练的位置岌岌可危。他在巨大的压力下进入这场比赛。

在这种情况下，流浪者队似乎是特别危险的对手。流浪者队参加了71场欧联杯比赛，包括预选赛和附加赛，赢了35场。在过去的七年里，有22场比赛平局，14场输球，这是一个惊人的输球率低于20%的记录。

我认为东道主赢球的机会比博彩公司给出的赔率要大。