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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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An interesting game in Russia! $$$ 俄杯 莫斯科罗迪纳VS乌拉尔

2024-03-13

比赛分析

俄杯

已完赛

星期三2024-03-13 23:00

解读理由

Rodina Moscow VS Ural Yekaterinburg



Rodina Moscow welcome Ural for this Russian Cup Regions Path Play Offs 1/16-finals clash at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina late Wednesday evening Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of better than than average level by this competition's standards here. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another very strong betting option to make more profit! Rodina Moscow currently occupy the 6th place in the FNL, the second-highest level of Russian football. They have 34 points in their pocket. However, Rodina have been unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Indeed, they would have deserved only 37 or 38 points. They have scored a strong 34 goals in the 22 FNL games so far this season. This is the second-highest number in this league. Only Khimki, who top the standings, have scored more goals – 34 to be precise. Their offense has a fine structure and have many talented offensive players. Some of these players could do pretty well in the first tier as well. Their defence has been solid but not as good as their offense, in all honesty. They have allowed 20 goals and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 18.33. I would not be very surprised if they were to be promoted to the Premier League for next season. The top-2 teams are promoted directly – teams who finish 3rd and 4th will challenge a Premier League team for the place in the first tier. They have played well at home recently – winning many games in a row at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina. Rodina have taken three wins and one draw in their last four games. They have won two of their last games – both competitive matches – not friendly games. 

In their last game the hosts beat Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-0 on the road and had an impressive 62% ball possession. They also recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (4-1), shots off goal (8-2), attacks and dangerous attacks 40-18 than the hosts. Before this they defeated Akron Togliatti 2-0 away from home and deserved the three points. Ural, on the other hand, are having a disappointing season. They are in big risk of being relegated to the FNL. They currently occupy the 13th place in the Premier League with only 19 points to their account. Teams who finish 15th and 16th are relegated directly – teams that end up 13th and 14th will face FNL teams to save their place in the first tier. Ural have been in abysmal form recently. They have lost seven of their last eight games and are clearly low in confidence. According to my sources their team spirit is also far from great. They have now lost three matches in a row. In their last game they lost to Zenit 1-4 at home and looked very vulnerable defensively. They have conceded 33 goals in the Premier League. This is the biggest number in this league. Their offense is a little better than defence. They have netted the ball 19 times in the Premier League. Before this they deservedly lost to Akhmat Grozny 0-1 away from home. Both were competitive games. On the 18th of last month they lost to Krasnodar 0-1 in a friendly match. Avoiding relegation must be their main focus this season and some squad rotation by their coach would not surprise me at all here. Taking this factor, the home advantage and current form of both teams into account Rodina deserve to be narrow favourites here. The big bookies (that even offer odds on Russian football) disagree with me and offer Ural odds of around 2.35-2.40 to win in 90 minutes of play. Rodina +0.5 goals handicap option is the obvious smart bet here!



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罗迪纳莫斯科VS乌拉尔叶卡捷琳堡



北京时间周三晚,莫斯科罗迪纳欢迎乌拉尔参加俄罗斯杯地区附加赛1/16决赛,对手是斯巴达科维奇。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场高于比赛平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我的粉丝和我还有另一个非常强大的投注选项来赚取更多的利润!罗迪纳莫斯科目前占据FNL第六名,俄罗斯足球的第二高水平。他们已经拿到了34分。然而,罗迪纳在期望积分(xPTS)方面并不走运。事实上,他们只配得37或38分。本赛季到目前为止,他们在22场FNL比赛中打入了34球。这是联盟第二高的数字。只有排名第一的希姆基进了更多的球,准确地说是34个。他们的进攻结构很好,有很多有天赋的进攻球员。其中一些玩家在第一梯队也可以做得很好。老实说,他们的防守很稳固,但不如他们的进攻好。他们丢了20个球,他们的预期失球数(xGA)是18.33个。如果他们下赛季升入英超,我不会感到非常惊讶。前两名的球队直接晋级,第三名和第四名的球队将与英超球队争夺第一梯队的位置。他们最近在主场打得很好,在斯巴达科维奇的比赛中连续赢了很多场。罗迪纳在最近四场比赛中取得了三胜一平的成绩。他们在最近的比赛中赢了两场,都是正式比赛,而不是友谊赛。

在上一场比赛中,主队客场2-0击败雅罗斯拉夫尔,控球率高达62%。他们的进球次数、射正次数(4比1)、射偏次数(8比2)、攻击次数和危险攻击次数(40比18)也比东道主多。在此之前,他们在客场2-0击败了阿克伦·陶里亚蒂,理应获得三分。乌拉尔,另一方面,有一个令人失望的赛季。他们很有可能沦为民族解放力量的一员。目前他们仅以19分的成绩排在英超第13位。排名第15位和第16位的球队直接降级,排名第13位和第14位的球队将面对FNL的球队,以保住他们在第一梯队的位置。乌拉尔最近一直处于糟糕的状态。他们在最近的8场比赛中输了7场,显然信心不足。据我所知,他们的团队精神也很差。他们已经连输了三场比赛。在上一场比赛中,他们主场1-4输给了泽尼特,防守看起来非常脆弱。他们在英超联赛中丢了33球。这是联盟中最大的数字。他们的进攻比防守好一点。他们在英超联赛中有19次进球。在此之前,他们在客场0-1输给了格罗兹尼,这是他们应得的。两者都是竞争性游戏。上个月18日,他们在一场友谊赛中0-1输给了克拉斯诺达尔。保级一定是他们本赛季的主要目标,他们教练的一些阵容轮换不会让我感到惊讶。考虑到这个因素,考虑到主场优势和两队目前的状态,罗迪纳在这里应该是微弱的热门。大型博彩公司(甚至提供俄罗斯足球赔率)不同意我的观点,他们给出乌拉尔队在90分钟内获胜的赔率约为2.35-2.40。罗迪纳+0.5个进球障碍选项显然是明智的选择!

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