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Who will qualify to 1/4 finals?

2024-03-12

比赛分析

欧冠

已完赛

星期三2024-03-13 04:00

解读理由

A late winner from Galeno in the first leg puts Porto in a strong position ahead of their trip to London to face an in-form Arsenal. This already feels like a huge moment for the Gunners, who need to overturn a 1-0 deficit to reach the next round. Qualification would also be a seismic moment for Porto, especially to overturn a team who were expected to beat them.

Arsenal went into the away leg at the Estadio do Dragao as favorites and dominated with 65% possession but Porto put on a defensive masterclass, managing to halt the Gunners, frustrating them and stifling their attacks.

Then in the fourth minute of injury time, Porto managed to seal a late winner for a famous victory, a truly great defensive performance, in which they managed to stop Arsenal from registering a single shot on target.

They’ll be confident heading to the Emirates that they can keep Arsenal at bay. After all, they’ve done it once already.

The Gunners have been flying in the league – scoring so many goals and winning by huge margins as they fight for the Premier League title.

Bukayo Saka is fantastic on the right wing. His big threat is cutting inside onto his left foot where he can be devastating so, for me, the Porto defenders need to prevent him from doing that. Likewise, Gabriel Martinelli’s pace on the other wing to latch onto through balls is another huge threat. If he’s not fit after his injury scare, I believe Leandro Trossard will start on the left.

Kai Havertz is also growing in confidence and adding another dimension to Arsenal’s forward play, while Martin Odegaard is pulling the strings in midfield, creating chance after chance. With Gabriel Jesus also back from injury, they have so many forward options.

I expect Arsenal to take control from the start, but we’re unlikely to see Arsenal go gung-ho, they’ll try and score but they won’t go overboard, knowing that a mistake could gift Porto a goal and seal the tie for the away side. Porto will have to stay disciplined and get players behind the ball, but they could get opportunities on the counter if the Gunners commit too many players forward – which is why I can see Mikel Arteta starting Jorginho in the holding midfield role.

Porto’s Brazilian forwards Galeno, Evanilson and Pepe Aquino can pose problems going forward, as can attacking left-back Wendell, so I also see the Portuguese side creating plenty of chances.

However, if there’s anything that we need to take from that first leg it’s that Porto can defend. This is not a vintage Porto team by any means but in Pepe and Otavio, they have two very talented defenders.

Otavio has impressed since arriving from Famalicao in January and the 21-year-old has formed a strong partnership with Pepe, who despite being 20 years his senior has immense knowledge and experience, and is still a good defender, even if his physical abilities are on the decline. Porto managed to limit Arsenal to zero shots on target in the first leg and they will be looking to frustrate Arsenal again here.

Arsenal have had many problems in the Round of 16 previously, and perhaps their focus is more on the league right now.

For those reasons, I see Porto able to progress to the next round making another brilliant defensive performance in the Emirates.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

加莱诺在首回合最后时刻的绝杀让波尔图在前往伦敦迎战状态良好的阿森纳之前处于有利地位。对于枪手来说,这已经是一个重要的时刻,他们需要扭转1-0的落后才能进入下一轮。出线对波尔图来说也将是一个惊天动地的时刻,尤其是击败了一支有望击败他们的球队。

阿森纳以65%的控球率在龙高球场的客场比赛中占据优势,但波尔图在防守上表现出色,成功阻止了枪手的进攻,挫败了他们,扼杀了他们的进攻。

在伤停补时阶段的第4分钟,波尔图在最后时刻锁定胜局,取得了一场著名的胜利,他们的防守表现非常出色,成功阻止了阿森纳一脚射正。

他们将自信地前往酋长球场,他们可以阻止阿森纳。毕竟,他们已经做过一次了。

枪手在联赛中表现出色——进了那么多球,并且在争夺英超冠军的过程中取得了巨大的胜利。

坂釜雄在右翼的表现非常出色。他最大的威胁是他的左脚内切,在那里他可以是毁灭性的,所以,在我看来,波尔图的后卫需要阻止他这样做。同样,加布里埃尔·马蒂内利在另一侧边路的传球速度也是一个巨大的威胁。如果他在受伤后不能恢复,我相信特罗萨德会在左路首发。

哈弗茨的信心也在增长,他为阿森纳的前锋增添了另一个维度,而马丁·奥德加德在中场发挥作用,创造了一次又一次的机会。加布里埃尔·热苏斯也伤愈复出,他们有很多前锋选择。

我希望阿森纳从一开始就能控制局面,但我们不太可能看到阿森纳全力以赴,他们会尝试进球,但他们不会太过火,因为他们知道一个失误可能会给波尔图一个进球,并为客场锁定平局。波尔图将不得不保持纪律,让球员在球后跑动,但如果枪手让太多前锋上场,他们也能获得反击的机会——这就是为什么我认为米克尔·阿尔特塔会让若日尼奥担任控球中场的原因。

波尔图的巴西前锋加莱诺、埃瓦尼尔森和佩佩·阿基诺可以在前场制造麻烦,左后卫温德尔也可以,所以我也认为葡萄牙球队创造了很多机会。

然而,如果我们需要从第一回合中得到什么,那就是波尔图可以防守。无论如何,这不是一支古老的波尔图球队,但佩佩和奥塔维奥,他们有两个非常有天赋的后卫。

奥塔维奥今年1月从法马利考转会而来,他给人留下了深刻的印象。21岁的奥塔维奥与佩佩结成了牢固的伙伴关系。佩佩虽然比奥塔维奥年长20岁,但他拥有丰富的知识和经验,尽管他的身体能力在下降,但他仍然是一名出色的后卫。波尔图在首回合将阿森纳限制在0次射正,他们将在这里再次挫败阿森纳。

阿森纳在之前的16强中遇到了很多问题,也许他们现在更关注的是联赛。

基于这些原因,我认为波尔图能够晋级下一轮,并在酋长球场再次表现出色。

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