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外籍分析师
芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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Fresh legs!

2021-05-11

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期三2021-05-12 01:00

解读理由

I would go for over 2.5 if it was available here, as at this point this is the first match of the season for both teams where they can enjoy the game and breathe freely! Both are safe from relegation after a very tough season, and have no reason to save energy or their own goal.

Some rotations are likely, there will be fresh blood eager to fight for a contract, but also a let-down feeling especially at Cadiz who were not believed to stay up in their promotion season.

Osasuna were in the bottom for a long time, they had a horribly bad run since their 100th year celebration and they went more than 10 games without a win, but the form changed, they believed in themselves and they have been one of the best teams recently.

Osasuna have lost 4 games in last 14, v Real Madrid, Barcelona, Sevilla and Celta, but against these bottom-half teams they have been too good to beat, especially at home.

Osasuna last 7 league games with xG:


如果可以的话,我的选择超过2.5,因为这是两支球队本赛季的首场比赛,他们可以尽情享受比赛并自由呼吸!在艰难的赛季结束后,两人都可以保级,也没有理由节省精力或实现自己的目标。 可能会轮换,渴望为合同而战的新鲜血液,但尤其是在加的斯(Cadiz)令人沮丧,他们不认为自己会在晋升赛季中坚持下来。

奥萨苏纳(Osasuna)长期处于低谷,自从他们成立100周年以来,他们的表现一直很糟糕,参加了超过10场比赛而没有获胜,但是他们的表现改变了,他们相信自己,并且他们是最好的球队之一最近。

奥萨苏纳(Osasuna)在最近14场比赛中输了4场,分别是皇马,巴塞罗那,塞维利亚和塞尔塔,但在面对这些下半场的球队时,他们表现出色,尤其是在主场作战。

奥萨苏纳最近7场比赛的表现:

Osasuna performance data is hand in hand with results in a bigger picture, but the expected points are 5 points more than of Cadiz already before this game and I believe the gap will grow tonight, as Osasuna look like an established league team in contrary to Cadiz who have to always be on their best - and a bit lucky - to gain points.

Not that there is anything wrong with Cadiz latest results, but as the xG points out they could had gone a lot worse!

Cadiz last 7 league games with xG:


奥萨苏纳(Osasuna)的表现数据与更大范围的结果并驾齐驱,但预期得分比本场比赛前的加的斯(Cadiz)高5点,我相信今晚的差距将会扩大,因为奥萨苏纳(Osasuna)看起来像是一支与加迪斯相反的老牌球队他们必须始终处于最佳状态-有点幸运-才能获得积分。

并不是说Cadiz的最新结果有什么问题,但是正如xG指出的那样,它们可能会变得更糟!

加的斯最近7场比赛的表现:

Basically the only match where they have been the better side was v Granada, a team suffering from injuries and over the Barcelona win away a few days earlier!

There is mental strenght though, but as they miss today half a dozen players unvoluntarily, and from the important mid axis as cb Fali and mf Jose Mari are out, as well as key defender Cala the task for the home side is easier, and in these matches where the stakes are not as high the home teams tend to control the games. Winger Salvi is also out, as well Alex Fernandez.

Local paper sees lineups like this, and if it is so surely Osasuna will win this more than 50% of the times.


基本上,他们唯一表现更好的一方是v格拉纳达,这支受伤的球队在几天前就赢得了巴塞罗那冠军!

虽然有精神上的力量,但由于他们今天不由自主地错过了六名球员,并且在重要的中轴位置,例如法利和法拉利(Jose Mari)以及关键后卫卡拉(Cala),主队的任务更加轻松,在这些赌注不那么高的比赛中,主队倾向于控制比赛。温格·萨尔维(Winger Salvi)以及亚历克斯·费尔南德斯(Alex Fernandez)也都缺席了。

当地报纸预测的阵容,如果可以肯定的话,奥萨苏纳有超过50%的概率赢球。

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