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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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STRONG results in this league! $$$

2024-03-10

比赛分析

意甲

已完赛

星期日2024-03-10 19:30

解读理由

Lecce vs Verona


Lecce welcome Verona for this Italian Serie A round 29 battle at Stadio Via del Mare Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the fourth-best league in the world. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of lower than average level by this league's standards here. Moreover, we have yet another very strong betting option to make more profit betting on this league here! We have won seven of the last nine bets in this league! Lecce currently occupy the 14th place in the standings. They have a total of 25 points in the pocket. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is only 22.78. They started the season surprisingly well but have been in decline for a long time already – both in terms of performances on the pitch and results. They have scored 25 goals and do have some decent offensive players but overall their offense lacks basically everything needed to do well at this level. Their number of expected goals (xG) is somewhat higher than 25 though. I do not see them having potential for improvement in this area of the game.. Their defence, on the other hand, is among the worst in the Serie A. It has a poor structure, silly individual mistakes are common and the midfielders often do not participate in defending actively enough! They have conceded a whopping 44 goals but their number is significantly higher - 52.87 to be precise! It is impossible to say anything positive about Lecce's defence. They have allowed 11 goals in their last 11 games. Furthermore, they have won only one of their last 11 matches. In their last game they too a point from Frosinone away from home but tht hosts were the better team in this clash. Indeed, they had 65% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal, corner kicks, total passes, competed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 62-26.. Frosinone also generated more in expected goals (xG).

Verona, too, are in threat of being relegated to Serie B. They occupy the 18th place in the league table. A total of 20 clubs play in this league and the last three three teams are relegated. Verona have 23 points to their account but their number of xPTS is much higher – 28.03. They have netted the ball 23 times but their number of xG is 26.04. In this area of the game the teams are more or less equal but Verona have much better defence than Lecce. Indeed, the visitors have allowed only 36 goals – just four goals more than AC Milan, one of the biggest teams in Italy (3rd place in the standings). Verona's form recently has been mediocre – but still a lot better than Lecce's! In their last game they were not quite at their best but still beat Sassuolo, a better team than the standings would suggest, 1-0 at home. Both teams generated 0.55 in xG but Verona recorded many more shots on target – 5-2. Before this they lost to Bologna 0-2 away from home but their performance was okay. Verona were priced around 6.50 to win by the bookies. Both teams recorded three shots on goal and Verona even had many more attacks and dangerous attacks than Bologna. The hosts did generate more in xG though. In round 25 Verona took a point from a big team, Juventus, at home through a 2-2 draw at home as clear underdogs on the betting market. Juventus had more goal attempts (14-18) but Verona recorded many more shots on goal - 9-4! With the expected lineups, according to my expert analysis, the visitors are slightly the better team here but taking the home advantage into account Lecce deserve to be the favourites – but only marginal! The bookies disagree and see them as solid favourites – offering them odds of only about 2.15 to win at the time of writing this in-depth analysis Saturday evening Beijing time. This is much too low and the smart choice here is the Verona +0.5 goals handicap option!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

莱切vs维罗纳


北京时间周日晚,莱切将在马雷球场迎来与维罗纳的意甲第29轮比赛。这是世界上第四好的联赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场低于联赛平均水平的比赛。此外,我们还有另一个非常强大的投注选项,可以在这个联赛中获得更多的利润!我们在这个联赛的最后九场比赛中赢了七场!莱切目前在积分榜上排名第14。他们总共得到了25分。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)只有22.78。他们本赛季的开局出人意料地好,但在很长一段时间里,无论是在场上的表现还是结果上,他们都处于下滑状态。他们进了25个球,也有一些不错的进攻球员,但总的来说,他们的进攻基本上缺乏在这个水平上取得好成绩所需要的一切。他们的预期目标数量(xG)略高于25。我看不出他们在这方面有提升的潜力。另一方面,他们的防守是意甲最差的,结构糟糕,愚蠢的个人失误很常见,中场球员经常不积极参与防守!他们丢了44个球,但他们的失球数要高得多——准确地说是52.87个!我们不可能对莱切的防守做出任何肯定的评价。他们在最近11场比赛中丢了11球。此外,他们在最近11场比赛中只赢了一场。在上一场比赛中,他们在客场也从弗罗西诺内那里得到了一分,但东道主在这场比赛中表现更好。事实上,他们有65%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数、角球次数、总传球次数、竞争传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数——62比26。弗罗西诺内也产生了更多的预期进球(xG)。

维罗纳也面临着降级到乙级的威胁,他们目前在联赛中排名第18位。总共有20个俱乐部参加这个联赛,最后三支球队都降级了。维罗纳目前有23分,但他们的得分要高得多——28.03分。他们有23次进球,但他们的xG数是26.04。在这方面,两队多少有些势均力敌,但维罗纳的防守比莱切好得多。事实上,客队只丢了36个球,只比意大利最大的球队之一(排名第三)AC米兰多了4个球。维罗纳最近的状态一般,但仍然比莱切好得多!在上一场比赛中,他们并没有达到最佳状态,但仍然在主场以1比0击败了萨索洛,这支球队比排名显示的要好。两队在上一场比赛中都产生了0.55的进球,但维罗纳的射门次数更多——5比2。在此之前,他们客场0-2输给了博洛尼亚,但他们的表现还不错。博彩公司给维罗纳开出了6.5英镑的胜率。两支球队都有3次射门,维罗纳甚至比博洛尼亚有更多的进攻和危险的进攻。不过,主机在xG中确实产生了更多。在第25轮比赛中,维罗纳在主场以2比2战平了一支强队尤文图斯,从他们那里拿到了1分。在博彩市场上,维罗纳显然处于劣势。尤文图斯的进球次数更多(14胜18负),但维罗纳的射门次数更多——9比4!根据我的专家分析,根据预期的阵容,客队在这里稍占优势,但考虑到主场优势,莱切应该是最受欢迎的球队——但只是边缘!博彩公司不同意这一观点,认为他们是最受欢迎的人——在北京时间周六晚上撰写这篇深度分析时,他们的赔率只有2.15左右。这太低了,明智的选择是维罗纳+0.5个进球障碍选项!

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