Tapio头像
外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
  • 2

    方案

  • 17

    粉丝

6/6 last WON in this league! $$$

2024-03-07

比赛分析

欧协联

已完赛

星期五2024-03-08 04:00

解读理由

Union Saint-Gilloise VS Fenerbahce


Royale Union SG welcome Fenerbahce for this UEFA Europa Conference 1/8-finals first leg clash at Lotto Park in Anderlecht. This is not Union SG's actual home advantage – hence the home advantage is slightly smaller than it normally would be.. This is third-highest of UEFA's club competitions – after Champions League and Europa League. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of high level by this competition's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another promising betting option here! We have won six bets in a row betting in this league! Royale SG Union are a Belgian team – Fenerbahce come from Turkey. They currently top the Belgian Jupiler Pro League and are the best team in this league. However, the edge over Anderlecht, currently in second place, is not substantial. The hosts have 68 points to their account but their number of expected points (xPTS) is "only" 61.34. They have netted the ball 61 times and have been better offensively than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. However, their number of expected goals is 57.21. Fenerbahce have much more firepower and experience on big international games than the hosts. Fenerbahce have not always been that strong on the road but this season has been different. They have won nine of their last 10 games away from home!

Similarly to Galatasaray's owners Fenerbahce's owners have invested a lot in this season's squad and they are much stronger than a few years ago. Fenerbahce have been extremely strong in the pretty high-level Turkish Super Lig and currently occupy the 2nd place behind Galatasaray. They have lost only one game in this league and have a whopping 75 points in their pocket! They have scored a stunning 72 goals and have allowed only 22. I see Galatasaray and Fenerbahce as equally strong. Gala even played in the Champions League where they beat Manchester United in England and challenged Bayern Munich well – even recording more xG in their home game against one of the biggest clubs in the world. The hosts have won many games in a row but have had quite a lot of luck in many of their games this year. In their last game they beat Leuven away from home 2-0 as big favourites – priced around 1.45 to win by the bookies. Both teams recorded nine goal attempts and had two shots on goal. Leuven also recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks. Union SG did not fully impress me in this game.. Before this they beat Club Brugge KV 2-0 in a Belgian Cup 2-0 but both teams generated 1.67 in xG.. In the last round of Conference League the Belgians beat Frankfurt 4-3 on aggregate but were not the better team! The first leg was a balanced one but in Germany the host generated much more in xG - 1.43-0.52. Beating the Germans probably affects the odds too much here! Fenerbahce very easily beat Hatayspor 2-0 away from home in the last game – generating much more in xG – 2.87-0.53 to be precise. The Turkish visitors are the much better team in terms of estimated squad market value – according to a reliable source, Transfermarkt.com. Indeed, their players are valued at a total of over 200 million euros! The Union SG squad is valued at only about 65 million! The bookies overvalued the hosts here – offering them odds of around 2.35 to win. Based on my sophisticated expert analysis Fenerbahce as marginal favourites here and we will take them with +0.5 goals handicap option here! I will post four more picks on this competition!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

圣吉卢瓦兹VS费内巴切


皇家联盟SG欢迎费内巴切参加欧联杯1/8决赛首回合在安德莱赫特洛托公园的比赛。这并不是联合SG真正的主场优势,因此主场优势比通常情况下要小一些。这是欧足联排名第三的俱乐部赛事,仅次于欧冠和欧联杯。足球迷和我们这些认真的,渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场高水平的比赛,以本届比赛的标准来看。最重要的是,我们这里有另一个有前途的投注选项!我们在这个联赛中已经连续赢了六场了!皇家SG联盟是一支比利时球队,而费内巴切来自土耳其。他们目前在比利时Jupiler职业联赛中排名第一,是这个联赛中最好的球队。然而,目前排名第二的安德莱赫特的优势并不明显。主机的帐户中有68分,但他们的期望点数(xPTS)“仅”为61.34。他们有61次进球,在进攻端比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要好。然而,他们的预期进球数是57.21个。费内巴切在大型国际比赛中的火力和经验要比东道主强得多。费内巴切在客场并不总是那么强大,但本赛季有所不同。他们在过去的10场客场比赛中赢了9场!

与加拉塔萨雷的老板类似,费内巴切的老板在本赛季的阵容上投入了很多,他们比几年前更强大了。费内巴切在高水平的土耳其超级联赛中非常强大,目前排名第二,仅次于加拉塔萨雷。他们在这个联盟中只输了一场比赛,他们的口袋里有75分!他们打进了惊人的72球,只丢了22球。我认为加拉塔萨雷和费内巴切同样强大。加拉甚至参加了欧洲冠军联赛,在那里他们击败了英格兰的曼联,并很好地挑战了拜仁慕尼黑——甚至在主场对阵世界上最大的俱乐部之一的比赛中取得了更多的进球。东道主已经连续赢了很多场比赛,但是今年他们在很多比赛中运气都很好。在上一场比赛中,他们客场2-0击败了鲁汶队,成为夺冠热门——博彩公司开出的赔率约为1.45。两队都有9次射门,2次射正。鲁汶也记录了更多的袭击和危险的袭击。联盟SG在这场比赛中没有给我留下深刻的印象。在此之前,他们在比利时杯上以2比0击败了布鲁日俱乐部KV,但两支球队在世界杯上都取得了1.67的进球。在上一轮的联盟联赛中,比利时人以总比分4-3击败了法兰克福,但他们并不是更好的球队!第一回合是一个平衡的回合,但在德国,东道主在xG - 1.43-0.52产生了更多。打败德国人可能会影响这里的赔率!在上一场比赛中,费内巴切在客场2-0轻松击败了哈塔斯波尔——在xG中产生了更多的进球——准确地说是2.87-0.53。根据可靠的消息来源Transfermarkt.com,土耳其客队在球队市场价值方面要好得多。事实上,他们的球员总价值超过2亿欧元!联盟SG队的价值只有6500万美元!博彩公司高估了东道主的胜率,给出了2.35的赔率。根据我老练的专家分析,费内巴切在这里是边缘热门,我们将在这里选择+0.5个进球障碍选项!我将在这次比赛中再发表四篇文章!

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。