Both teams have almost full squads available, the biggest question mark at Real is still the absence of a top keeper. Lunin has played well, he saves the shots but he does not stop and catch the balls, and that is dangerous. Looking at his stats he has even more expected xG-data than Courtois, but he does not yet convince me and does not pass my eye test!

Expected lineups:

Lunin: Carvajal, Tchouaméni, Rüdiger, Mendy: Kroos, Valverde, Camavinga, Bellingham: Rodrygo y Vinicius.

Gulacsi; Henrichs, Orban, Lukeba, Raum; Olmo, Schlager, Hadira, Xavi Simons; Sesko, Openda.

How did it go in Leipzig?

The stats show it was even game at both halves, the difference was the superb goal by Ibrahim Diaz.

The form?

Real have not lost for a long time, but there are draws - which would make them progress - and several rather mediocre performances lately.

Out of their last 7 games in La Liga they have the better side only vs Las Palmas, Getafe and Girona who are regressing to the mean.

Leipzig have 3 of their last 7 games, and it is a bit worrying that they have not been able to match Leverkusen, Stuttgart or Bayern as this is not any easier opponent, but on the other hand they are able to score, even maybe a few.

Real will probably sit back and take it carefully from the start. Yesterday we sided with Mbappe in counters, today there is a similar challenge in Vinicius. However as the first leg ended only in a one goal win the first goal for Real might perhaps decide the qualifying team, but it would not kill the hope for the bet.

Yes, Real are the better team and they are at home, but as they do not need to win, they have a keeper who still is a doubt, and they face an opponent who gave them a real scare last time I see value in X2.

And remember the Lunin effect. Leipzig know now very well what kind of a keeper he is, and they will chase the 2nd balls more closely tonight in Madrid. Maybe we see Leipzig scoring from a rebound?

Oh yes, one more thing that might distract Carlo Ancelotti. The Spanish tax authorities want him jailed for tax fraud, for almost 5 years for unpaid taxes some 10 years ago.

Good luck!

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

两支球队都几乎满员，皇马最大的问题仍然是缺少一名顶级门将。鲁宁踢得很好，他扑出了射门，但他没有停下来接住球，这很危险。看看他的数据，他比库尔图瓦有更多的xg数据，但他还没有说服我，也没有通过我的视力测试!

预期的阵容:

鲁宁:卡瓦哈尔、tchouamsamuni、r<e:1>迪格、门迪:克罗斯、巴尔韦德、卡马文加、贝灵汉:罗德里戈·维尼修斯。

租借;亨利希斯，欧尔班，路克巴，劳姆;奥尔莫、施拉格、哈迪拉、哈维·西蒙斯;Sesko Openda。

在莱比锡怎么样?

数据显示两场比赛不分胜负，唯一的区别是迪亚兹的进球。

表单吗?

皇马已经很长一段时间没有输球了，但是有一些平局——这将使他们进步——以及最近一些相当平庸的表现。

在西甲联赛的最后7场比赛中，他们只有对阵拉斯帕尔马斯、赫塔菲和赫罗纳时表现更好，而这三场比赛都在回归平均水平。

莱比锡在最近的7场比赛中有3场，他们没能与勒沃库森、斯图加特或拜仁竞争，这有点令人担忧，因为这不是一个容易对付的对手，但另一方面，他们能够进球，甚至可能是一些。

皇马可能会坐下来，从一开始就小心翼翼。昨天我们支持姆巴佩，今天维尼修斯也面临同样的挑战。然而，由于首回合仅以一球取胜，皇马的首个进球可能会决定出线队伍，但这不会扼杀赌注的希望。

是的，皇马是一支更好的球队，而且他们是在主场，但他们不需要赢球，他们有一个仍然是一个疑问的门将，他们面对的是一个上次我看到X2价值时给他们带来真正恐慌的对手。

记住鲁宁效应。莱比锡现在非常清楚他是什么样的门将，他们将在今晚的马德里比赛中更紧密地追逐第二球。也许我们会看到莱比锡靠反弹得分?

哦，是的，还有一件事可能会分散安切洛蒂的注意力。西班牙税务当局希望他以税务欺诈罪入狱，大约10年前他因未缴纳税款被判近5年监禁。

好运！

03月07日皇家马德里 VS RB莱比锡比赛分析直播