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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A GREAT match to bet on! $$$

2024-03-06

比赛分析

主队邓弗姆林LOGO

邓弗姆林

苏冠

已完赛

星期三2024-03-06 03:45

客队艾尔德里联LOGO

艾尔德里联

解读理由

Dunfermline Athletic VS Airdrie United


Dunfermline and Airdrieonians lock horns in this Scottish Championship round 21 battle at East End Park  early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Scottish football. This league is of pretty low level by European standards – for a second tier. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of pretty mediocre level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another lucrative betting option here. The hosts currently occupy the 5th place in the standings. A total of 10 clubs play in this league. Both teams are playing a pretty strong season and have a slim chance of being promoted to the first level. Both clubs were promoted to Championship for this season after a strong last season in the third tier. Dunfermline have 32 points to their account. However, they have been somewhat lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) and would have deserved only 29.56 points. They have netted the ball 30 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is only 26.78. Their offense does lack creativity and speed to challenge for a top-3 place. The visitors have scored 26 goals but their number of xG is higher than the hosts'.

The visitors, too, have 32 points in their pocket but would have deserved three or four more points! Their defence is definitely better structured than Dunfermline's. Their defenders make a lot less silly mistakes than those of the hosts. Dunfermline have allowed 34 goals – the visitors have conceded 30 goal. Dunfermline does not have very good home fans and the home advantage here is not very big. However, we have to take this factor into account - the match is, in my expert opinion a coin toss – a 50/50 game without an actual favourite. The bookies see the hosts as solid favourites so we will side with the visitors +0.5 handicap option. Both team have taken a win and a draw in their last two games. I expect a tough and physical low-scoring game here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

邓弗姆林竞技VS艾德里联队


北京时间周三凌晨,邓弗姆林和埃尔德里翁将在苏格兰锦标赛第21轮的比赛中在东区公园打响。这是苏格兰足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平很低——对于一个二线联赛来说。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以这个联赛的标准来看相当平庸的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个有利可图的赌博选择。东道主目前排名第五。共有10个俱乐部参加这个联赛。这两支球队本赛季的表现都相当强劲,晋级甲级联赛的机会渺茫。这两家俱乐部在上个赛季表现强劲后,本赛季都升入了英冠联赛。邓弗姆林队有32分。然而,他们在期望积分(xPTS)方面有些幸运,本应得到29.56分。虽然进球30次,但期望进球(xG)只有26.78个。他们的进攻确实缺乏创造力和速度来挑战前三的位置。客队进了26个球,但他们的进球数比主队多。

客队也拿到了32分,但他们本可以再得到3到4分!他们的防守结构肯定比邓弗姆林好。他们的后卫犯的愚蠢错误比东道主少得多。邓弗姆林丢了34个球,客队丢了30个球。邓弗姆林没有很好的主场球迷,主场优势也不是很大。然而,我们必须考虑到这个因素——在我的专家看来,这场比赛是一场50/50的比赛,没有真正的最爱。博彩公司认为东道主是大热门,所以我们支持客队+0.5障碍的选项。两队在最近两场比赛中各取得一胜一平。我预计这将是一场艰苦的低得分比赛。

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