Barnsley VS Bolton Wanderers

Barnsley welcome Bolton for this League One round 38 clash at Oakwell early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the third tier of English football. This league is definitely the strongest third-highest level in the world. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of very good level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another lucrative betting option to increase the good winning streak of 5/6 last bets won in this league! The hosts currently occupy the 4th place in the standings. A total of 24 clubs play in this league. Both teams are playing a strong season and have a genuine chance of being promoted to Championship. Barnsley have 66 points to their account. However, they have been somewhat lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Their offense has been a bit stronger than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. They have netted the ball 64 times in League One. This is the biggest number in this league. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is "only" 59.43. Their offensive structure is solid but some of their offensive players lack speed, creativity and passing accuracy at critical moments – compared to the strongest team in this league. I also need to mention that many of their offensive players have played above their normal level so far this season. Bolton have scored 62 goals but their number of xG is 64.67. They have allowed one goal less than Barnsley but in reality the difference between the two teams is bigger than the number of goals conceded would suggest!

Bolton have grabbed 69 points but their number of xPTS is a bit bigger. Moreover, Bolton are the bigger team here in terms of players' estimated total market value – according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. The Barnsley squad is valued at around 12 million euros – this is a bit too high in my expert opinion though. The Bolton squad, on the other hand, has a market value of around 16 million but around 18 million would be a more accurate number. Barnsley have achieved good results recently – winning four of their last six matches. However, this is misleading as they have had a lot of luck on their side lately. In their last game they beat Wycombe away from home 4-2. Yes, they had 68% ball possession but the hosts generated much more in xG – 1.45-0.78 to be precise. Indeed, they have become too hot on the betting market! The bookies offer odds of around 2.35 on them to send Bolton home empty-handed. Based on my strongly data-based analysis this is way too low! Bolton are the better team by pure class but taking the home advantage into account this match is a coin toss – without a favourite. Bolton were not quite at their best in February but were very strong in their last game - easily beating Cambridge at home 2-0. They recorded a whopping 24 goal attempts and shots on goal. The visitors managed only one shot on target. Bolton generated 2.11 in xG – Cambridge's number was only 0.22.

巴恩斯利VS博尔顿

巴恩斯利欢迎博尔顿参加北京时间周三凌晨在奥克韦尔举行的第38轮联赛。这是英国足球的第三梯队。这个联赛绝对是世界上最强的第三高水平联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场按照联赛标准非常高水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个有利可图的投注选项，以增加在这个联赛中赢得的5/6最后投注的良好连胜!东道主目前排名第四。共有24个俱乐部参加这个联赛。这两支球队都打出了一个强劲的赛季，并有真正的机会升入冠军。巴恩斯利队有66分。然而，就期望值(xPTS)而言，它们还是比较幸运的。他们的进攻比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要强一些。他们在英甲联赛中进球64次。这是联盟中最大的数字。然而，他们的预期目标数量(xG)“只有”59.43。他们的进攻结构很稳固，但是他们的一些进攻球员在关键时刻缺乏速度、创造力和传球准确性——与联盟中最强的球队相比。我还需要提到的是，到目前为止，他们的许多进攻球员都超出了他们的正常水平。博尔顿虽然进了62球，但是他们的xG数是64.67。他们比巴恩斯利少丢了一个球，但实际上两队的差距比丢球数要大得多!

博尔顿已经拿到了69分，但是他们的积分要多得多。此外，根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，博尔顿在球员的总市值方面是最大的球队。巴恩斯利的总价约为1200万欧元，这在我的专家看来有点高了。另一方面，博尔顿队的市值约为1600万英镑，但更准确的数字是1800万英镑左右。巴恩斯利最近取得了不错的成绩，在过去的六场比赛中赢了四场。然而，这是一种误导，因为他们最近运气很好。在上一场比赛中，他们客场4-2击败了维康比。是的，他们有68%的控球率，但主队的控球率要高得多——准确地说是1.45-0.78。事实上，他们在博彩市场上已经变得太火了!博彩公司开出的赔率约为2.35，博尔顿将空手而归。根据我强烈的基于数据的分析，这太低了!博尔顿纯粹是实力更强的球队，但考虑到主场优势，这场比赛就像抛硬币一样——没有夺冠热门。博尔顿在二月份并没有达到最佳状态，但在上一场比赛中表现非常强劲，他们在主场2-0轻松击败了剑桥。他们记录了高达24次的进球尝试和射门。客队只射正了一球。博尔顿在xG的得分为2.11，而剑桥只有0.22。