Cheltenham Town VS Charlton Athletic

Cheltenham and Charlton lock horns in this League One round 38 clash at Whaddon Road early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the third tier of English football. This league is clearly the third-highest level on the planet. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of slightly worse than average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another interesting betting option to increase the good streak of 5/6 last bets won in this league. The hosts currently occupy the 21st place in the standings. A total of 24 clubs play in this league. They are, once again playing a disappointing season and are in huge risk of being relegated at the end of the season. Indeed, teams that finish 20-24th will suffer this awful fate. They have only 34 points to their account. They have not been either lucky or unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Their offense has been extremely lame and they have netted the ball only 28 times in League One. This is the second-lowest number in this league. Their offensive structure is not terrible but their offensive players lack individual skill, creativity and passing accuracy at critical moments. Their defence is leaky but not the worst in League One. Silly individual mistakes are pretty common. They have allowed 45 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 51.46. They have been in rather disappointing form lately. Indeed, they have not won any of their last three games. In their last game they faced Burton at home as clear favourites – priced around 1.75 to win on the betting market. The visitors had only 39% ball possession but recorded many more goal attempts (16-8), shots on goal and shots off goal than poor Cheltenham. Burton also generated much more in expected goals (xG) – 1.67-0.77 to be precise. Cheltenham failed to record any shots on goal! Before this they lost to Wycombe 0-2 on the road after an abysmal performance. They, again, failed to record any shots on goal! Wycombe had seven and also recorded a whopping 25 goal attempts. Wycombe also had many more attacks and dangerous attacks and generated 2.45 in xG – Cheltenham managed 0.16. Charlton were much stronger than Cheltenham last season already. Indeed, they ended up in 10th place – Cheltenham finished in 16th place. 

Charlton are the much bigger team here in terms of players' estimated total market value – according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. The Cheltenham squad is valued at around four million euros – this is marginally too low in my expert opinion though. The Charlton squad has a market value of over 12 million but around 16 million would be a more accurate number. Charlton occupy the 18th place in the standings with 38 points to their account. Their number of xPTS is 42.11. Their offense has been pretty good - they have scored 50 goals. Their defence, however, does not have the best structure but they can improve in this area of the game – perhaps even significantly. They have conceded 54 goals but their number of xGA is "only"47.88. They have not lost any of their last five games. With the expected lineups they deserve to be solid favourites here – with a 41% chance of winning. The bookies disagree and see Cheltenham as slim favourites. In their last game they played a 1-1 draw on the road against Northampton but recorded more shots on goal (4-1), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks than the hosts. Both teams had 10 goal attempts. Before this they were excellent – beating Derby away from home 2-1 as big underdogs - priced around 6.00 to win by the bookies. They generated 1.77 in xG – Derby managed only 0.54!

切尔滕纳姆城VS查尔顿竞技

北京时间周三凌晨，切尔滕纳姆和查尔顿将在英超第38轮比赛中在沃登路进行交锋。这是英国足球的第三梯队。这个联赛显然是这个星球上第三高的联赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场比联赛平均水平略差的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个有趣的投注选项，以增加在这个联赛中5/6的最后一次投注获胜的良好势头。东道主目前排名第21位。共有24个俱乐部参加这个联赛。他们又一次打出了一个令人失望的赛季，并且在赛季结束时面临着降级的巨大风险。事实上，排名20-24的球队将遭受这种可怕的命运。他们的账户上只有34分。就期望积分(xPTS)而言，他们既不幸运也不不幸。他们的进攻非常差劲，在英甲联赛中只有28次进球。这是联盟第二低的数据。他们的进攻结构并不可怕，但他们的进攻球员缺乏个人技术、创造力和关键时刻的传球准确性。他们的防守漏洞百出，但还不是英甲最差的。愚蠢的个人错误是很常见的。他们丢了45个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是51.46个。他们最近的状态相当令人失望。事实上，他们在最近的三场比赛中没有赢过一场。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场面对伯顿队，他们显然是夺冠热门，在博彩市场上的胜率约为1.75。客队只有39%的控球率，但他们的进球次数(16-8次)、射正和射偏次数都比可怜的切尔滕纳姆多。伯顿也创造了更多的期望进球(xG)——准确地说是1.67-0.77。切尔滕纳姆没有任何射门!在此之前，他们在表现糟糕的情况下客场0-2输给了维康比。他们又一次没有射门!威科姆有7次进球，并且有惊人的25次射门。维康比也有更多的进攻和危险的进攻，全场创造了2.45个进球，切尔滕纳姆创造了0.16个进球。查尔顿上赛季已经比切尔滕纳姆强多了。事实上，他们最终获得了第10名，而切尔滕纳姆则获得了第16名。

根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，从球员的总市值来看，查尔顿队要大得多。切尔滕纳姆队的总价约为400万欧元，但以我的专业观点来看，这个价格太低了。查尔顿队的市场价值超过1200万英镑，但更准确的数字是1600万英镑左右。查尔顿以38分排在积分榜第18位。他们的xPTS数是42.11。他们的进攻相当不错，已经进了50个球。然而，他们的防守结构并不是最好的，但他们可以在这方面有所提高——甚至可能是显著的。他们丢了54个球，但他们的射门次数“只有”47.88次。他们最近五场比赛没有输过一场。从预期的阵容来看，他们应该是最受欢迎的球队，有41%的获胜机会。博彩公司不同意，认为切尔滕纳姆是微弱的热门。在上一场比赛中，他们在客场1-1战平北安普顿，但他们的射门次数(4-1)、角球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都比东道主多。两队都有10次射门机会。在此之前，他们的表现非常出色——客场2-1击败德比，成为大冷门——博彩公司开出的赔率在6.00左右。他们在xG比赛中产生了1.77个进球，而德比只产生了0.54个!