CA Huracan VS Rosario Central

Huracan welcome Rosaria Central for this Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional round 8 clash at Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco in Buenos Aires early Friday morning Beijing time. This league is of pretty good level by global standards – but is still far from the level of the best European leagues or the Brazilian Serie A. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of pretty average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have a very lucrative match to bet on here! We have won five of the last six bets betting on this league! The hosts currently occupy the 11h place Group A standings. A total of 14 clubs play in both groups. Rosario on the other hand, are in 7th place in Group A! They have 11 points to their account at the moment. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is a bit lower 10.24 to be precise. They have netted the ball six times and have not fully impressed me offensively. They can, however, improve significantly in this area of the game. Their strikers are relatively skilled individuals for this level. Their attacks have, however, been a bit too slow in many games.. Their offensive structure is better than average though. Rosario Central have conceded seven goals but their number of expected goals (xGA) is lower – 5.99. Huracan, on the other hand, have been very disappointing so far this season. They have managed to grab only five points. As a result, I have lowered their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class with the best starting eleven. Yes, their number of xPTS is higher but not significantly. They definitely have potential for improvement but the bookies seem to give this potential way too much emphasis here. Huracan have netted the ball only four times in this league. However, their number of xG is 5.45.. The visitors do have an edge in terms of defensive quality as well – but only narrow. Indeed, the hosts have conceded eight goals but their number of expected goals allowed is 6.53..

According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the visitors are clearly the bigger team here. Indeed, their squad has an estimated market value of about 34 million euros. In my expert opinion this is still a bit too low though. I would say that around 40 million would be a realistic number. Two of their players are undervalued. The Huracan players have a total market value of approximately 26 million which is also too low though. 29 million would be a fair number. Huracan have been in abysmal form recently! Indeed, they have failed to win any of their last six matches – losing four of these games. They are clearly low in confidence and according to my sources their team spirit is also far from great at the moment. In their last game they played a goalless draw against San Lorenzo at home. They, rather weirdly, failed to record any shots on goal. The xG numbers were 0.21-0.28. Before this they lost to Velez Sarsfield 0-1 and Gimnasia La Plata 1-3. The visitors have won two games in a row. In their last game they beat Newells Old Boys 1-0 away from home as clear underdogs – priced around 4.20 to win by the bookies. The hosts generated more in xG though. Before this they beat Gimnasia La Plata and fully deserved the win after recording more shots on goal as well as xG. The hosts deserve to be slim favourites here but the odds of around 2.20 offered by the bookies on them to win are way too low. We will take the visitors +0.5 goals handicap! 

胡拉坎VS罗萨里奥中央

北京时间周五凌晨，在布宜诺斯艾利斯阿道夫·杜科球场，胡拉坎欢迎罗萨里亚参加阿根廷西甲联赛第8轮的比赛。以全球标准来看，这个联赛的水平相当不错，但与欧洲最好的联赛或巴西甲级联赛的水平相比，还有很大差距。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以这个联赛的标准来看的相当平均水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们有一场非常有利可图的比赛可以下注!我们赢了过去六次赌这个联赛的五次!东道主目前在A组排名第11位。两组共有14家俱乐部参加比赛。另一方面，罗萨里奥在A组排名第七!目前他们的账户上有11分。但是，它们的期望值(xPTS)略低，准确地说是10.24。他们有6次进球，但在进攻端并没有给我留下深刻的印象。然而，他们可以在游戏的这一领域取得显著进步。他们的前锋在这个级别上是相对熟练的。然而，他们的进攻在许多比赛中都有点太慢了。不过他们的进攻结构比平均水平要好。罗萨里奥中央丢了7个球，但是他们的预期进球数(xGA)更低，只有5.99个。另一方面，本赛季到目前为止，Huracan一直很令人失望。他们只拿到了5分。因此，我降低了他们的能量评级，这反映了球队的纯粹等级和最好的首发11人。是的，他们的xPTS数量更高，但并不明显。他们肯定有进步的潜力，但是博彩公司似乎在这里过分强调了这种潜力。Huracan在这个联赛中只进过4次球。然而，他们的xG数量是5.45…客队在防守质量上也有优势，但只是微弱的优势。事实上，东道主已经丢了8个球，但他们的预期失球数是6.53个。

根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，客队显然是这里更大的队伍。事实上，这支球队的市值估计约为3400万欧元。在我的专家看来，这仍然有点太低了。我想说，大约4000万是一个现实的数字。他们的两名球员被低估了。Huracan球员的总市值约为2600万，这也太低了。2900万是个不错的数字。Huracan最近的状态很糟糕!事实上，他们在最近的六场比赛中没有赢过一场，其中输了四场。他们显然缺乏信心，而且根据我的消息来源，他们的团队精神目前也远谈不上强大。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场0比0战平了圣洛伦佐。奇怪的是，他们没有任何射门记录。xG值为0.21 ~ 0.28。在此之前，他们0-1输给了萨斯菲尔德，1-3输给了拉普拉塔。客队连续赢了两场比赛。在上一场比赛中，他们客场1-0击败纽威尔老男孩队，显然处于劣势——博彩公司开出的赔率约为4.20英镑。然而，主机在xG中生成了更多。在此之前，他们击败了拉普拉塔，并在射门和射门次数更多的情况下赢得了胜利。东道主理应在这里获得微弱的夺冠希望，但博彩公司为他们开出的2.20左右的赔率实在太低了。我们将带客队+0.5个进球障碍!