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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A GREAT match to bet on! $$$

2024-02-27

比赛分析

波兰杯

已完赛

星期三2024-02-28 00:30

解读理由

Piast Gliwice VS Rakow Czestochowa


Piast Gliwice welcome Rakow for this Polish Cup quarter-finals battle at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach in Gliwice very early on Wednesday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of somewhat high level by this league's competitions here. Most importantly we have a very lucrative match to bet on here! Both teams play in Ekstraklasa, the first tier of Polish football. This competition is not the most important thing  for either team this season. Some squad rotation from both teams' head coaches would not be a surprise. However, I believe the hosts to be the slightly more motivated team here. In general when the motivation level is not quite 100% the home team is often surprisingly strong as not wanting to disappoint the home fans is often a deciding element/factor. The hosts currently the 12th the standings with 25 points to their account. They are not in real risk of being relegated but also do not have a chance to make it to the top-3 – consequently having a chance to play in UEFA Champions League or Conference League qualification next season. Rakow still have this chance as they are in 6th place with 36 points. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is smaller though.

Last season the hosts finished in 5th place. Indeed, they have big potential for improvement as the season progresses. Their defence has been very solid so far this season - indeed they have allowed only 20 goals in Ekstraklasa. This is the second-lowest number in this league. We have to give a lot of credit to Piast's coaching team for this. Indeed, their defensive structure has been amazing and silly defensive mistakes have been extremely rare. Furthermore, their midfielders – and sometimes even strikers actively take part in defending – especially when they are protecting a narrow lead. They do not have the biggest names or the most skilled individuals in defence and I do expect them to allow a little more goals per game during the remainder of the season. Rakow have allowed 25 goals and their defence has definitely been a disappointment for me this season. Rakow, however, have more firepower as they have scored 39 goals in Ekstraklasa but as mentioned above their best offensive players might not take the pitch in this game – or at least play for the full 90 minutes.. Piast have netted the ball only 20 goals in Ekstraklasa but do lack some offensive creativity to challenge for a top-4 position this season. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is much higher – 28.87. The bookies see the visitors as favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.70 to get the job done during 90 minutes of play. Based on my expert analysis - taking all factors mentioned before into account – Piast Gliwice deserve to be not clear but still solid favourites. Both teams played a goalless draw in their last game.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Piast Gliwice VS Rakow Czestochowa


北京时间周三凌晨,格列维茨欢迎拉科夫参加波兰杯四分之一决赛,比赛将在格列维茨的米耶斯基体育场举行。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场高水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们有一场非常有利可图的比赛可以下注!两支球队都在波兰足球的第一梯队Ekstraklasa比赛。这场比赛对两支球队来说都不是本赛季最重要的事情。两队主教练的轮换并不令人意外。然而,我相信东道主是更有动力的球队。一般来说,当动力水平不是100%时,主队通常会出乎意料地强大,因为不想让主队球迷失望通常是一个决定因素。东道主目前以25分排名第12位。他们没有真正的降级风险,但也没有机会进入前三,因此他们有机会参加下赛季的欧洲冠军联赛或联盟联赛资格。拉科夫仍然有机会,因为他们以36分排名第6。不过,它们的期望值(xPTS)要小一些。

上个赛季,东道主排名第五。事实上,随着赛季的进行,他们有很大的潜力可以提高。本赛季到目前为止,他们的防守非常稳固——事实上,他们在埃克斯特拉克拉萨只丢了20个球。这是联盟第二低的数据。我们必须为此给予皮亚斯特的教练团队很大的信任。的确,他们的防守结构令人惊叹,愚蠢的防守失误极其罕见。此外,他们的中场球员——有时甚至前锋也会积极参与防守——特别是当他们保持微弱的领先优势时。他们在后防线上没有最大牌的球员,也没有最熟练的球员,我希望他们在本赛季剩下的时间里每场比赛能让对手多进一些球。拉科夫本赛季丢了25个球,他们的防守让我很失望。然而,拉科夫有更多的火力,因为他们在Ekstraklasa进了39个球,但正如上面提到的,他们最好的进攻球员可能不会在这场比赛中上场——或者至少打满90分钟。皮亚斯特在Ekstraklasa只进了20个球,但是缺乏进攻创造力来挑战本赛季前四的位置。然而,他们的预期进球数(xG)要高得多,达到28.87。博彩公司认为客队是最受欢迎的球队,在90分钟的比赛中获胜的赔率约为2.70。根据我的专家分析——把前面提到的所有因素都考虑在内——皮亚斯特·格列维斯应该成为不明确但仍然是绝对的热门。两队在上一场比赛中都以0比0打平。

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